Luck??? How long do you think your luck will past?
Competition is played out across 3 monthly intervals with quarterly winners and a final winner at the of a year.
That is after 52 forecasts the winner can be chosen.
By virtue of the point you refer to luck instead of probabilities, you are being flippant. No problem.
Personally, I use levels. To me PPs, Fib levels and Elliott waves all complement beautifully. The trick is getting direction (entry) and exit right.
I look forward to your return to find out just how lucky or unlucky I am