clam61 said:no problem. i post a lot because quite frankly i am right now obsessed with trading forex. day and night thast all i think about.
so i just post wherever i find discussions.
Today, 04:49clam61 said:i dont know...that would depend if wolfe waves were complete crap as you and silvertip claim them to be.
you dared me to post live trades and i did and now you're eager to learn huh?
Mr.Black said:Finding point #2
How do you know if a new peak/valley point is # 2 or just a future # 1? How do you know if this point #2 is a #2 for a bull or bear WW? at this point, how do you know what to look for: a bearish or bullish WW????
If anyone knows and willing to post here the answer WITHOUT a try to sell us the manual, I am sure that it will be greatly apprechiated by all members of the this thread.
jacinto said:c) lines 1-3-5 and 2-4 HAVE TO CONVERGE or you have no wave
peto said:Hi jacinto, thanks for that explanation. One query though... do you mean line 1-3? As I understand it 5 will often cross above the 1-3 line, and 1-5 would not necessarily converge?
$750 in the post....
Gosh well it answers the first question but raises 2 more, sorry.jacinto said:no worries mate
line 1-3 extended gives the point where 5 should be (my mistake originally for calling it the 1-3-5 line)
line 2-4 cannot be paralell to 1-3.......should form a wedge type pattern, have a steeper up (down for the bullish pattern) slope than the 1-3 line. if they are paralell they form a channel, and dont converge.
if you draw line 2-4 as a paralell from 3, when you get to 5 (which sometimes crosses 1-3), the space above (below for the bullish case) between that parallel and the 1-3 line is called the sweet spot.
dont know if that answers the question.
j
thanks for the 750...lol
peto said:Gosh well it answers the first question but raises 2 more, sorry.
a. When I draw line 2 - 4 as a parallel from 3 ( in the bearish case) the space between it and the 1 - 3 line is below the parallel, not above?
b. Assuming I'm right so far and a. relates to a misprint, what is the significance of the 'sweet spot". I'm guessing that 5 should ideally fall somewhere on or between these lines to be valid or to give the best chance of success, i.e. this is where you Short?
c. and Stop above the sweet spot?
oops that was 3 questions. Have to write another cheque.
Tzachi said:Jacinto,
Thanks.
So is there a way to know if we looking for a short or long setup just after getting point#3? And how do we know that its a #3 and not a new #2 for the opposit setup?
jacinto said:OK Peto, hope you have your paypal ready,
assuming the above chart is a valid WW (which I personally think is not), lets see what we can get to
Please try to picture step by step
1) points 1 2 and 3 have been identified. currently price is starting to drop, and we suspect this will be a WW.
2) Draw blue line connecting 1-3
3) paralell line 1-3 starting at 2 WHITE line. When forming 4, price cannot get to the white line, otherwise, no wedge, and no convergence. if it touches it, we get a channel, and WW is not valid.
4) price stops where it is pointed, and starts to go back up to test line 1-3. point 5 is there.
5) draw a line connecting 2-4. we have a wedge now.
6) paralell line 2-4 on 3 (red line). Area between red line and blue line 1-3 is the sweet spot. that is where you short
7) when price touches or goes above line 1-3 it forms point 5. In a perfect case, price only touches, and doesnt go through.
In this case, price goes above line 1-3, and through paralell line (red) sweetspot (I dont know if that invalidates the setup, so dont ask ).
8) Draw line 1-4 (yellow), that is the target.
9) convergence of blue lines 1-3 and 2-4 signal the target time.....doesnt necessarily happen.
In this case, I think that this is a wave that will fail if it is a wave at all, but then again, it could not. i personally wouldnt trade a setup like this based on a weekly chart, but, well, you never know.
J
ah, and in case you forget, that is 750x3 :cheesy:
peto said:The mist is clearing....!
Yes thanks jacinto just about got that now. Not sure why you doubt that it is a ww, unless it is because point5 overshot the sweet spot, otherwise understood all thanks.
Babel fish thinks your signature means "To the bull it bushes when together the hands" which I full agree with....
I have decided to pay you with reputation points: one point = $2250. I'm hard to bribe.
The lesson on Gravity is :cheesy:
geldmeister said:Jacinto,
Nice chart, but I would say that most that tried to trade that last setup got bit by the Wolfe. I doubt they would have been able to ride the stops that deep in the red to stay with it. Stops set at the channel top taken from the 2 to 4 line projected from the 3 or even set at the top of the penetrating candle would have been wiped out. Will have to wait and see if it plays out
Just my 2 cents, nice post.