The truth about this guy is that he made a killing making about $13m in one day on an overnight trade and that elevated him to a different level. Day trading and spoofing did not make him rich but just this one shot.
Now he will be a frequent visitor to courts of law for the next 2-3 years, eventually will be proved not guilty of rougue trading but will still lose much of his fortune due to sanctions for his tax evasion. That's the most probable scenario.
Exactly, this must be the case! Think about it logically, he is supposed to have been spoofing on the ASK, 600 lots and at .25 levels on ES. The idea is that he switches to the bid (1 level below as an estimate) as the HFT transact short, then when the order is met he then goes ASK to off-load
So, are you telling me (the press etc) he had chance to do this on the day of the flash crash - get real. More likely he just bought what he could after price settled back down - if he indeed did so?.
No one has stated he made money by being short the market! (unless I have missed this evidence).
What the investigators need to really do is find out why all bids we pulled or severely depleted. Would be great if anyone had real screen footage on DOM etc on the day of the flash crash.
Again, logically it makes more sense that this was caused by spoofing the BID at vulnerable times which shows us virtually all these stories are utter BS.
There are so many private traders that have lost their accounts trying to spoof, especially in the wrong markets, then the big dog say thanks ill have that. Next thing the spoofer is forced to dump what he cant really afford, so don't play cat and mouse.
Think about it- $400 day margin on a $50,000 account- lets have a go at 100+ contracts 2 pts above current ask in a lighter market - it happens all the time, simply watch DOM, then watch to see what happens when the big dog sweeps!
This happened to Paul Rotter in the past, as there are bigger players than him!
In fact all of this links nicely into a thread recently about manipulation, MM, pivots, HFT which Im sure many have read.
1. Guilty of spoofing? Most likely.
2. Guilty of causing the crash - come on