SOCRATES
Veteren member
- Messages
- 4,966
- Likes
- 136
AllanXT said:Thank you Soc for your contributions to this thread as well. Your point seems to be that if I used "trend direction" as a filter then I would not have traded any of those breakouts on the chart by Skim. Additionally, I could use the ADX as a filter for determining periods of congestion (do not take breakout trade unless ADX is below a certain value). Am I on the right track?
thanks,
Allan
Allan,
Your conclusion is the correct one. I repeat: Congestions are interruptions that occur in the general direction of a trend (Bramble pay attention) therefore these congestions may or may not be overcome. If they are overcome they are breakouts, that continue. If they are not overcome, they may take off as breakouts and then fail. Therefore, the first lot are continuations and the second lot are reversals.
I have no idea what ADX is or what it is purported that it can do or can not do.
I am concerned with excercising judgement from the point of view of of the correct mindset that does not rely on indicators. Some of these even rely on astrology and some are even purported to make the tea for you, but what does work is a mark one eyeball properly focused on events as they unfold. The market delivers unexpected information shocks to the unprepared and the unwary. Relying on indicators prevents you from proactively engaging brain and directing focus.