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spx

2j1po46.gif
 
For all that this data appeared to disappoint, and will certainly have the FOMC doves 'cooing', there are a number of aspects to take on board:

- Seasonal adjustment looks to be struggling with unseasonal patterns, which in the technological era area are rather more fluid in calendar terms than in days of yore

- Retail Sales - these were weak on Autos (known), gasoline (price), Internet sales, Furniture and Building/Garden Equipment, but there was strength in Clothing (after protracted weakness) and Restaurants, Hotels & Leisure - tending to suggest a holiday pattern effect

- Industrial Production / Manufacturing Output - weakness across the board, with the exception of Mining, Autos and to a lesser extent High tech; all of this following strength in July, again implying a holiday, seasonal shutdown effect

- PPI - as was to be expected after the Import and Export Price readings yesterday, there was a big drag from Food, Energy and to a certain extent Trade Services, however core PPI (ex Food, Energy & Trade) was robust at 0.3% m/m, jumping up to 1.2% y/y from 0.8%; Ex-Trade, Transport, Warehousing +0.5% m/m 1.8% y/y

- NY and Philly Fed surveys - NY roughly as expected, while the Philly Fed headline (which is not a composite) jumped smartly, with a recovery in Orders and Employment sub-indices

..........................................................................

Marc Ostwald
Strategist
ADM Investor Services International
 
dax
if supp holds that internal trendline could break
ftse also

15pn40n.gif

10428 and 10476 possibly
lets see
 
Morning all.

FTSE looking at my charts; Support areas 6720, 6710 (minor), 6700, 6800. Rez 6760 (big one), 6780, 6800.

Interesting start I think; See if we can get a bounce into rez. Options expiry - how will that affect?

Pre-market holding sp @6720 ish
 
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