Trading with point and figure

pips on offer this morning just taking the break outs, pink to go long and orange to go short.

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The Week Ahead - Bullet point highlights: 22 to 26 August 2016

- A relatively subdued week in terms of the statistical schedule, with surveys featuring heavily ('flash' PMIs, Ifo, national business and consumer confidence, CBI Industrial Trends Orders & Retailing Sales), alongside US Home Sales, Durable Goods, and revised / detailed Q2 GDP readings in US, UK and Eurozone

- Yellen's Jackson Hole Symposium speech on the Fed's "Monetary Policy Toolkit" on Friday will be the most anticipated event, not only from the aspect of divisions on the FOMC about the near-term policy outlook, but also following SF Fed's Williams paper "Monetary Policy in a Low R-star World" (http://www.frbsf.org/economic-resea...licy-and-low-r-star-natural-rate-of-interest/) earlier this week.

- Markets seem likely to continue to be in peak 'summer holidays' mode, with oil price gyrations and speculation about whether the official chatter about a production cut is anything more than an attempt to shore up oil prices against adverse seasonal trends.

- Govt bond supply is typically light, with the US conducting its usual end of month sales of 2, 5 & 7-yr Treasuries totalling $88.0 Bln, plus $13.0 Bln 2-yr FRN); Germany sells EUR 4.0 Bln 5-yr, and Japan offers 20-yr JGBs. As ever there will be a close eye kept on the Bank of England's QE Gilt reverse auctions, above all the over 15-yr leg on Tuesday.

- On the political front, rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine will be carefully monitored, as will Frau Merkel's round of EU Diplomacy that includes a meeting with Hollande and Renzi, and trips to the Czech Republic and Estonia.

- Central Banks: Turkey's TCMB is seen tightening its rate corridor once again with a 25 bps cut to its overnight Lending Rate, but keeping the lower bound unchanged despite huge political pressure for a more meaningful cut. Rates in Hungary, Iceland, Paraguay are seen unchanged.

- The US Corporate Earnings is largely done, though it will be a relatively busy week for Asia and the resources sectors.
from Marc Ostwald
 
DAX into the open

bears are goin to have a hard job to break that aqua horizontal/ green trendline
should bounce from that
a bad bounce and bears in for a kill
support starts at 10.5K
this is not a screamin short with that support area looming
IMHO

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