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slightly out on that dax support....who cares...the trendline kept us in ma sell mood
scalp bounce from 10250
stop tightened
 
slightly out on that dax support....who cares...the trendline kept us in ma sell mood
scalp bounce from 10250
stop tightened

75 pips bounce there
 

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Aside from the indexes opening the year with a huge gap down, the market is somewhat split as we start the year. The Dow, Nas and S&P are doing okay – not great, not terrible, just okay. They’re consolidating near their highs and haven’t enjoyed any directional moves in since October. The small and mid caps are a different story. They’re lagging and trending down. They don’t need to lead, but they can’t lag too much. When the market is healthy, everything participates, so until these two catch up some, the market’s upside will be limited.
Shorter term indicators improved the last two weeks, but I’m not sure it counts much, given the time of year. Volume has been low, and there hasn’t been much conviction. Gains are gains, but if Wall St. is a big voting booth, the gains can’t entirely be trusted given the lack of “voters.” Longer term indicators, such as the percentage of stocks above their 200-day moving averages and the bullish percent charts, are weakish overall. There is no subtle, beneath-the-surface, hint that strength is brewing.
The market can do whatever it wants in the near term – this is always the case – but overall we need to see lots of improvement if any rally attempt is going to hold.

from Jason Leavitt
 
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