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oh grimweasel, THAT is SO wrong !
all one has to do is watch the preceeding price action before the announcement to FULLY see what the banks and brokers are doing
if one has support and resist on their charts, they can practically predict to the penny (which i did last nite) WHERE the price is going ---- its not simple for those with a minimum of experience, but its "practically" a snap for those with experience and knowledge of how the market works.
if the price is going up before news, one looks at the 240 min chart, finds resistance, and thats where the news will take it before it then reverses, and WE KNOW it will reverse, or the banks would not have driven the price UP.
by driving the price UP, the banks are SHOUTING that they will be shorting it, you simply wait for top resistance on the LRC to be hit.
before news, they are so predictable as to be a joy !
oh laddie, what most of you simply dont know and yet could learn so easily !
enjoy and trade well
mp
I'm sorry, but that is complete ********!!... and by advising people to get in before a data release after judging the preceeding price action or automatically shorting the first big resistance you are going to get a lot of people badly burned. Nobody "with experience and knowledge of how the market works" would do this except in some extreme circumstances after taking other factors into account.
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INEVITABLY the brokers and banks will be moving the prices on the daily or 10 day/240 min charts in the direction OPPOSITE to where they will REALLY move the price. Reasons are, the banks already KNOW what the news is (or have a REALLY good guess from their battalions of analysists) so they move the price UP to its high, if they expect bad news (like todays brit decrease)--- If the price is not yet at its highest point, when news comes out they will continue the price UP till it hits topside resistance (theyre selling into the rally and doing it by SHORTING the currency) then, with their short positions firmly held, they reverse the direction of the currency and DOWN SHE GOES !
The banks very rarely get leaked data on major releases.... And if they did know a release was going to beat expectations they would get long beforehand and COVER into the buying. Sure, the initial reaction almost always overextends but they would very rarely put on a big short position after positive news unless they were taking into account other factors.
You are right, working out what "They" are doing is massively important for short term trading but you are way off the mark here and you are going to cost people a lot of money if they follow your advice.