The S&P Chronicles - An Amalagnation of Wyckoff, VSA and Price Action

ES 8th February 18

Wyckoff and VSA principles at play in today's action:

Classic Wyckoff ''Rally back to Ice'' (setup x 2)
No demand (setup)
Upthrust (setup)
Waves
Structure
Overbought/Oversold conditions
Effort vs. Result
Change in Behaviour

PDF attached (3 pages)
 

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ES 19th February 18

Wyckoff and VSA principles at play in today's market:

Accumulation
Oversold Conditions
No supply (setup)
No demand
Spring (setup)
Mini Apex
Effort vs. Result
Waves
Trend Channels

and a little on price action logic

PDF attached (3 pages)
 

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ES 26th February 18

Wyckoff and VSA principles at play in today's action:

No demand?
Structure
Overbought and oversold conditions
Demand and Supply
Bar by Bar Analysis
Comparative and Relative Analysis
2 bar reversal (setup)
No supply (setup)
Effort vs. Result

PDF attached (2 pages)
 

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ES 5th March 18

Wyckoff and VSA principles at play in today's action:

Wyckoff Classic - BUEC (setup)
Effort vs. Result (setup)
Trend Trading (setup)
Structure
No supply
Reverse use of Trend line
Spring (setup)
Trend Channels
Axis Line

PDF attached (3 pages)
 

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@Peacefull Warrior

You chronicles are paying off and i can't thank you enough from the bottom of my heart.
May the universe bless you and your family with more and more positive vibs.

A Rewarding day.

Even though i only see a miniscule of what you notice live, nevertheless I'm satisfied on what i'm doing. Still a long way to go.
Every time i go back and read your chronicles, i grasp more and more.

Identifying location(s) and waiting patiently for price actin to come to that point i think is rewarding.

Today, i noticed volume at 12:15 bar on 5 min chart is as high as the opening bar and is a little climatic. You talk about aberration and i think, it is, close to it at least to me. Then you also mentioned that high volume bar that aren't the US open or close will always be tested and this is what i'm waiting for.

I had marked the 5 min chart where it springed the low of this bar and we also had No Supply test bar (Y) 5 bars later. We also had tick wave going in our favour as the volume is considerable less when revisiting the area indicating that the low will hold. We springed 15+ points from this point.
Granted i dont see a lot live but this one i'm waiting for it.

Thank you .....Thank you ....Thank you for teaching.
and Thank you for your valuable time in putting the chronicles together.

:)
 

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Response to post #147

Excellent well done.

Genuinely pleases me that the Chronicles are of benefit to others.

As you know it does take time and effort to cement the concepts/principles and even longer to read as the action unfolds bar at a time live. Importantly gaining the confidence in oneself, their analysis and the ability to pull the trigger, takes a long time, completely different skill-set altogether, well done.

Yes, excellent observation, I too noticed the lack of follow through from the aberration, the weak selling as we revisit the area and the spring - an excellent setup. The aberration was a mere shakeout, and the spring was a test and a sign of strength itself. The setup was advanced and required a great deal of chart reading ability, your skills have developed nicely, well done.

However, the best trade on the chart was the second spring after the COB, as you have vocalised is a high odds trade, this is how we like to think and is the better trade of the two. Keep up the good work

All the best,

F
 
ES 14th March 18

Wyckoff and VSA principles at play in today's action:

Effort vs. Result
Structure
Climatic Bars
Upthrust
Classic Wyckoff: Rally to Ice - Setup
No demand (setup)
Classic Trend trading (setup)

PDF attached (3 pages)
 

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ES 23rd March 18

Wyckoff and VSA principles at play in today's action:

Effort vs. Result
Comparative Analysis
Upthrust (setup)
No Demand (setup)
Important price behaviour - Swell in volume

PDF attached (2 pages)
 

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Thanking you for sharing your knowdledge

Every day I'm learning more & more, and thankful to you Sir - Feibel.
Only took 1/3 of the run from B. but happy i was able to read live.

Everytime i read your chronicles i learn something new (I read, reread, reread). i know it is a lot of work on your side, but would appreciate if you can keep posting for a little while.

As you mentioned several times that PA rules, only recently learned/still learning to read the structure by looking at the wave (taking the price bars away, it is much more clear for me).
 

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Response to post #151

Thank you, appreciate the kind words.

The Chronicles of late have been somewhat intermittent, this is due to a little new addition to the family. As blessed as I am to have such a wonderful newborn, free time has been restricted. Hopefully within the next couple of weeks, the Chronicles should return as normal.

Shortly, Twitter will be used for additional analysis for other futures and stocks primarily GC (Gold), CL (Oil), 6B (GBP) with stocks to include, FB, MSFT and AAPL. There will be no indepth analysis; just the trade setups with limited annotating, along with entries and exits.
A deep understanding of the methodology found within the Chronicles is preferable to extract the most from the tweets.

All the best,

F
 
ES 4th April 18

Wyckoff and VSA principles at play in today's action:

Effort vs. Result
No supply (setup)
Trend Trading (setups x 2- weak pullbacks in an uptrend)
Reverse use of Trend Line
Structure
Overbought and Oversold conditions
Testing Action

PDF attached (3 pages)
 

Attachments

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Congrats to you! A recent addition has slowed me down a bit as well, but progress is still coming. Thanks for the Chronicles - they have been a great read and I appreciate your efforts.

Thank you, appreciate the kind words.

The Chronicles of late have been somewhat intermittent, this is due to a little new addition to the family. As blessed as I am to have such a wonderful newborn, free time has been restricted. Hopefully within the next couple of weeks, the Chronicles should return as normal.
 
ES 19th April 18

Wyckoff and VSA principles at play in today's action:

Effort vs Result (few cases)
Upthrust (set up)
Waves
Structure
Confluence
No demand
Context

PDF attached (2 pages)
 

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ES 24th April 18

Wyckoff and VSA principles at play in today's action:

Effort vs. Result
Structure
Trend Channels
Upthrust (setup)
Confluence
2 bar Top Reversal (setup)
Waves
Comparative Analysis
Classic Wyckoff Setup ''Rally Back to Ice''

PDF attached (3 pages)
 

Attachments

  • ES240418-1.pdf
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  • Like
Reactions: 2be
Wyckoff and VSA principles at play in today's action:

Effort vs. Result
Structure
Trend Channels
Upthrust (setup)
Confluence
2 bar Top Reversal (setup)
Waves
Comparative Analysis
Classic Wyckoff Setup ''Rally Back to Ice''

PDF attached (3 pages)
Very meaningful explanations on using volume.
Is the volume that is displayed a tick volume or underlying market volume, the real volume I mean, of the amount of traded contracts?
The composite volume of a given move (swing) is a very helpful indication alongside the volume of a given single bar.
Many thanks for sharing your trading insights, and the work you have put into all these posts!
My best wishes to you!
2be
 
Response to post #157

Very meaningful explanations on using volume.
Is the volume that is displayed a tick volume or underlying market volume, the real volume I mean, of the amount of traded contracts?
The composite volume of a given move (swing) is a very helpful indication alongside the volume of a given single bar.
Many thanks for sharing your trading insights, and the work you have put into all these posts!
My best wishes to you!
2be

Thank you, appreciate the kind words.

It is tick volume, and a fantastic surrogate for ''Real volume'', as we can see the flow of institutional (large players) buying or selling as it unfolds, due to the nature of how a tick bar is generated.

The cumulative volume and the use of tick charts is an incredibly powerful combination, especially in the realms of FX, where volume is sketchy at best.
The market cannot hide activity through tick data, after all, activity is volume; in essence we gain an edge over conventional volume

Hope this helps,

F
 
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Reactions: 2be
ES 30th April 18

Wyckoff and VSA principles at play into today's action:

Structure
Hidden Upthrust (setup)
Apex
Confluences
Reversal (setup)
No demand (setup)

and a volume action aberration

PDF attached (2 pages)
 

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Response to Emails

Hi all,

Apologies for the lack of Chronicles of late; for those who have been following the thread are aware of a new little addition to my family - who knew how time consuming a little new born could be....

The Chronicles will return, hopefully from next week. In the mean time I have included the past two weeks of trades from twitter; oil, gold, and some currency futures. Enjoy
 

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ES May 14th 18

Wyckoff and VSA principles at play in today's action:

Upthrust (setup)
Hidden Upthrust (setup x 2)
Structure
Oversold Conditions
Multiple Time Frames
Effort vs. Result
No demand?

and a volume aberration

PDF attached (2 pages)
 

Attachments

  • ES140518-1.pdf
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ES 29th May 18

Wyckoff and VSA principles at play in today's action:

Effort vs. Result
Structure
Confluence
Waves
Hidden Upthrust (setup)
Classic Wyckoff ''Rally Back to Ice'' (setup)

PDF attached (2 pages)
 

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  • ES290518-1.pdf
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