firewalker99
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I curse my forgetfullness every day - would be more helpful if I actually remembered stuff
The reason I said it is because no-one with any serious money to trade with actually looks at those charts, and so you can imho get caught up with reading far too much into every uptick, downtick and candle pattern on a chart like that.
Say you had a candlestick formation that was meant to be the strongest possible sign of a turn in the market. Say you had all your moving averages crossing juuuuust right. Say you saw the fundamentals were also in alignment with your view, maybe even the market positioning was also favourable.
if you're looking at all this on a five minute chart you might decide that the timing is perfect and you should go long EUR/USD (or whatever) in your maximum size, with a tight stop because i) movements on these 5 min charts aren't huge and ii) because hey, what could possibly go against this perfect setup.
Now say I'm sitting there at the same time and I'm an institutional trader looking to sell 500m EUR/USD. Guess what - I don't care about your 5 min setup - the daily, weekly and hourly charts are all telling me it's a good time to sell, and anyway, liquidity's drying up - it's 16:15 London time and I need to get this trade done today because I have a massive European pension fund that's got a large buy program of U.S. equities and I need the dough in dollars. I'm selling now - end of story.
It's like thinking that the skipper of a supertanker is worried about every bit of swell over 6 feet in the ocean - if you're on a rubber dinghy you get tossed about but up on the deck of your supertanker it doesn't even spill your coffee.
Just my $0.02 as always
GJ
All very true, but that's also exactly the reason why big players will never reach the same astonishing % returns as some traders playing on smaller timeframes do.