I know that you have never been in favour of attempting to scalp using spread-betting; (who is?). But generally, you have seemed pretty much in favour of the industry, and critical of those who come on here saying that they (the SB firms) are all thieves and robbers). I've read before your point about consolidation, but more generally, your line seems to be changing a bit (since you moved on to a "real" trading platform?
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When you write "bucket shop white labels", that could be interpreted by some to mean that you are saying that all white labels are bucket shops. I don't think that is what you are saying, not exactly, but it does tend to tar all white labels with the same brush, which would be unfair.
I don't think there is necessarily anything wrong with the white label model, and in some cases, it can provide advantages for the trader. For example, in the case of Tradefair, at least for a while, it was providing a more usable platform, and better overnight rates, than CS. Simon has said that their white labels are free to set their own spreads if they wish, so in theory, you could see a spread advantage as well (that was not the case for Tradefair, as far as I know).
I have only quickly read the facts surrounding the 7.7 possible liability for LCG in the opening story, but it seems on the face of it, that that is entirely different to the case of a spread-betting white label going under.
If Tradefair were to go under, I don't see that LCG would be in any way liable. Recovering my funds would be entirely between Tradefair (or Betfair, or the ultimate owners of Betfair *), the FSA and myself, I believe).
I am not sure about consolidation for its own sake. We've seen that in the high-street banking world (& I'm not talking about the credit-crunch era, but years before that), and I don't think it was necessarily all good for the customer; we seemed to end up with a lot of "one turns - we all turn" stuff). I am quite keen on diversification myself.
But better quality (not necessarily "more" or "heavier") - more effective regulation - yes, I can't argue with that.
I also agree that probably sooner or later, a SB firm will go under, and there will be tears before bed-time. But it's a risk business, isn't it, and managing risk is what trading is all about.