Solid ECN—Gold tests the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level in today's trading session. The XAU/USD price is below the 50-period simple moving average, indicating that the bear market prevails. The technical indicators also suggest the bearish momentum should resume.
However, sellers must close and stabilize the price below the 61.8% Fibonacci level at $2,362 for the bear market to continue. If this scenario unfolds, the 78.6% Fibonacci level at $2,328 will be the next bearish target.
Conversely, the bear market should be invalidated if the price exceeds the 38.2% Fibonacci level at $2,408, a resistance backed by the 50-period SMA.
Solid ECN—Silver closed below the 50-period simple moving average in the daily chart, a robust signal for the current downtrend. However, the stochastic oscillator stepped into the oversold territory, meaning the U.S. Dollar could be overvalued against Silver, and the market might bounce from this point or consolidate.
Going short in a market saturated with buying pressure is not advisable, and the daily chart demonstrates the price is testing the lower line of the bearish channel. That said, we expect the XAG/USD price to consolidate near the key resistance level at 28.5, which should be monitored for bearish signals such as a shooting star candlestick pattern or a bearish engulfing pattern.
Furthermore, please note that if the silver price closes above the $29.4 resistance, the bearish outlook should be invalidated.
Solid ECN—The DAX 30 index struggles with the July 19 low at $18,148 resistance, which has held the selling pressure so far. Meanwhile, the stochastic oscillator has stepped into the oversold territory, indicating that the market could be saturated from the selling pressure.
From a technical standpoint, the primary trend is bearish. However, sellers must close below the $18,148 mark for the downtrend to continue. If this scenario unfolds, the July 2 low at $18,024 will likely be the next target.
On the flip side, the price will likely consolidate if the bulls (buyers) stabilize the price above $18,189 before the downtrend resumes.
Solid ECN—The EUR/USD currency pair moves sideways after it hit the 1.0825 low, below the 50-period simple moving average, signaling a bear market. However, other technical indicators suggest the bearish momentum is weakening, and the price could rise.
From a technical standpoint, for the bearish trend to resume, the EUR/USD price must dip below the immediate support at 1.0825. If this scenario unfolds, the 1.080 level will be the following supply zone.
On the other hand, if the bulls cross and stabilize the price above the immediate resistance at 1.070, which is backed by the 50 SMA, the bear market should be invalidated. In this scenario, the next bullish target will be the 1.090 resistance.
Solid ECN—The USD/JPY currency pair started to consolidate some of its recent losses in today's trading session, testing the 23.6% Fibonacci level at 154.2. The technical indicators suggest the current uptick momentum should resume to the 38.2% Fibonacci, a level coinciding with the descending trendline at approximately 155.68.
From a technical standpoint, a close above the 154.2 resistance could extend the consolidation phase to the 155.68 mark.
On the flip side, the downtrend will likely resume if the price dips below the immediate support at 153.3. If this scenario unfolds, the 151.9 key resistance will likely be tested.
