Regulator2005's Blog

[Regulator2005]

Intro to me!

My online record keeping.
(Record thoughts and predictions).


I basically go for trend moves in all markets trying over time to find links between all the markets. I simply use a system that flashes set-ups and don’t do daytrading if I can help it. I tried it in the past and was half good at it (made big then hated the life i was living - it meant watching the markets straight ever bloody blip.The Girlfriend didn't like it and I decided it was no life watching a screen all day. In-addition, I can only trade for three weeks at a time before I have to sail away with my work. So its three weeks trading on leave , then three weeks away at sea with work. Maybe one day ill do it full time, although I do like being at sea so its got a good balance.
Regs

 

[Regulator2005]

27th Dec 2006 Wed

Gold – expect a rise in price maybe today or next few days. Ill buy today.
Silver – Getting close to rise in price.
Crude Oil – I expect fall today- Ill sell.
Cocoa – Sell today
Soybean- Rise today or may delay until Thursday.
Wheat-May rise today or Thursday.

No feel for S&P 500 yet
Have not had enough time for more, bonds, currencies and other markets yet.
Will try for Friday cover them.
Time 01:48 27th.

02:27 Just had look at ftse - expect price drop before end of week

 

[Regulator2005]

27th Update

Gold – Closed up - but small amount (3pts from yesterday 26th)
Silver – Closed up 20pts from 26th and 4pts from open 27th)
Crude Oil – Closed down 0.76 pts from close on 26th)

Cocoa – Closed up 22pts from open 26th (bugger)
Soybean- closed down , still waiting on this for rise before end of week - maybe on 28th)
Wheat- Closed 5.4 pts down .

Went ok- i took the gold, silver and soybean. Hopefully , soybean will turn out correct on the 28th.I should have took my feelings on the Oil( It had strongest flashes-lol)

 

[Regulator2005]

28th Dec

Silver: Things say it should go up in price today.
Gold : I was expecting a bigger move- maybe today?
High grade copper: no indicators on this one just looks ready ? ill watch it only.
Wheat: I expect a drop soon , although tomorrow may give slight rise first then drop friday .
Cocoa : Sell
Will check sp 500 and other when i wake up.

Come on the Soybean!!! lol up ye go .

10:44 : Nasd 100 looks like its going to go up for the day- i say rise for today.

 

[Regulator2005]

28th Update

Gold : Closed up 6pts from yesterday ;->
High grade copper: Closed down.
Wheat: Dropped today yeeeee!
Cocoa : Closed down from yesterday yee!
Soybean! : Closed down from open , but up since yesterday, Yeee!

Nas 100: Closed down Boo!
Silver: Closed down 1.5 down Boo!

Soybean and Gold closed out for profit. All other predicted correct apart from silver and nasdaq. The ftse did close down as I thought. Although, still feel my methods for nas 100 and ftse direction need fine tuning.

Overall good day.- Just need to improve.

 

[Regulator2005]

29th Dec 2006

Feeder :::Looking ready for rise – may buy tomorrow I think
Wheat ::ill most definitely buy Monday.
Silver :::::I still think is due a rise and may buy tomorrow- yeah il check a price for entry tomorrow before open.

Sugar N11,:::: may not happen tomorrow, although I expect rise either tomorrow or Monday . Think ill buy.

Coffee –::: looks like a sell- ill sell tomorrow.
US Dollar –:::: to tricky for me to say
British Pound – :::says buy to me although, I don’t feel sure enough to take it.
Gold : ::::Ill stay out as it should rise , although may hang around at the same price a bit or with slight drop.
S&P: ::::Maybe a fall – no strong direction feel yet – expect fall.
Nas100 –::: nothing for this direction yet.

No really strong setups for me tomorrow, Only top four ill take, with tight stops.

 

[Regulator2005]

29th dec

Bought sugar, silver and sold coffee

 

[Regulator2005]

29th Update

Feeder : Dropped from open, but closed up from yesterday (up trend)
Silver : Dropped from open , but closed up from yesterday – dam missed it , but ill hold for Monday.- Predicted right ,just bought late.
Sugar N11,:::: Dropped down today – Ill hold for expected rise Monday.- Maybe I’m a day early on this one?

Coffee –::: Dropped from open – yeee!
British Pound – :: It went up today – feeling held true on this one.Yee!
Gold : :::It continued its rise as expected- made some profit on investment made 26th Yeee!!- No sb taken today..

Not as good as other days , probably came out equal today. I should have not got greedy, I did say nothing strong was flashing for Friday. However, have decided to hold for Monday with expected trends to continue.
Reg

 

[Regulator2005]

New Year

I’ve been thinking about my latest plays . Coffee, Sugar and Silver.
Now I expect coffee to make a drop maybe a week into Jan
Silver has already begun its up move and ill hold.
Sugar – is the tricky one for me. I think it may not move up until the 19th of Jan.
We will see.

In-addition, I’m thinking of searching for currencies, indices or commodities that I expect to make long term trend moves as it suits my lifestyle and time frame better.
Ill post any trend changes I expect and compare the success failure as I go along.


However, i will try when i'm at home to see if my pre-market predictions get better with time also.
Reg

 

[Regulator2005]

Argh

Been ill in bed with cold/flu . Not taking anymore trades until feeling tip top.

 

[Regulator2005]

Friday 5th Jan 2007

Feeling better and had time to do some slight work into the markets.

SugarN11
Stopped out with Sugar for loss. Still annoyed with myself for taking it, although have learned from it and will be less greedy next time. I held on to sugar even though my indicators started to tell me it was heading south.

Coffee: Exited Coffee for very small profit. Mistake was taking it too early. Will short coffee, once trend line is crossed.

Silver: expecting rise again very soon maybe even tomorrow.

Predictions

NASDAQ 100 : Looks near to a trend change upwards : has not hit indicators yet – will keep eye for move tomorrow.

Australian Dollar: Expect downward trend- has crossed trend line

Corn: Missed it crossing trend line while sick: expected downtrend, although might have missed major downward price slope.

Cotton. Missed it crossing trend line while sick: expected downtrend, although might have missed major downward price slope.

Gold: still think it has some steam in its uprally.

Soybean: Just crossed trend line, although, contradicting another indicator – I still say it will drop in price although volatile: No deal!
Will rest friday and check later.

 

[Regulator2005]

Friday

Coffee: Coffee crossed trend line heading south – here we go
Silver: Not crossed yet.

Predictions

NASDAQ 100 : Still near trend change.
Australian Dollar: Expect downward trend- It did as thought continue its downward trend. Yee

Corn: Not going to trade corn – for long term trend- looks close to maybe ending it s downward slope already.
Cotton. Continued its downward trend- more downward juice still in it I feel.
Gold: Bugger – changed trend direction today southward- maybe short term- Did not expect that- should have paid more attention to crossing of 50 and 20 day mov avg.- Ah well- good day to watch markets with a blocked nose (Boo!)

Soybean: Expecting a drop more so now - other signs flashing - will most likely short Monday- would have today - if fully recovered.

 

[Regulator2005]

Monday

Coffee: Did as thought continues south. - Yee


Predictions :Tuesday and end of week action:

NASDAQ 100 :May see trend direction change within the week..
Australian Dollar: Closed lower from open also today.


Cotton. Little change today. Expect price drop later in week.
Gold: Keeping close eye on gold – will know if recent price drop is short term near middle of the week.

Soybean: Continued Drop today as expected.- Holding short position. Most likely price will rise tomorrow before in week continuing drop.

Nikkei 225 : Already changed trend on Friday. Today showed some small price rise, although we are still in a downward trend. Price will drop tomorrow. Might take this one.

Ftse 100 : Just changed trend : Expect price drop this week – I expect price dropping tomorrow with a slight recover Wed- Thurs.

Will also begin playing S&P 500 before market open for small profits , then- awaiting the others.

 

[Regulator2005]

Tuesday

Results
Coffee: Down it goes again -yeee




NASDAQ 100 : Still awaiting – not changed yet.
Australian Dollar: Big drop to the low then closed small amount up for day.


Cotton. Little change today. Expect price drop later in week.
Gold: Keeping close eye on gold – will know if recent price drop is short term near middle of the week.

Soybean: Made some dosh with Shot position since Monday.
Nikkei 225 : Already changed trend on Friday. Today showed some small price rise, although we are still in a downward trend. Price will drop tomorrow. Price did drop from open today –yeeee.

Ftse 100 : It did drop - yeeee
Got back into playing S&P 500 before its open – made 100% back yeee.

Good day over all – all main predictions came through.
Reg

 

[Regulator2005]

Wed

Held onto Soybean Short position - Made some more profit.
Nasdaq 100 Just crossed trend line - we will now see the nasdaq making some higher prices with the new trend.

 

[Regulator2005]

Back from sea/work - ready to rock

Spent some time at sea/work testing some ideas with rgds swing points, volatility avg and cot reports. Have a sell order in place for gold. See if its hit?I fancy trying some of my ideas out after testing them.

No other orders at the moment - busy with life and dont feel up-to-date with markets -will only play gold until work/ life calms down.

Having fun with small 12% profit for 2007 so far - not much but ok.
Regs

 

[Regulator2005]

Gold

Have two SP 500 orders waiting to be hit and my Gold sell order still in place.
Now gold has risen the last few days, although three of my indicators say a drop is due and the rise is false? Question is should I try for another sell at the peak which may be this week or not get greedy and await my safe sell to be hit via the real selling momentum? After all indicators can be wrong lol.

I will take any further trade action after tomorrows price movement.


Just Noticed a new indicator ive set up which says crude should rise in price next week and maybe this week? Its New so ill just watch and maintain other 3 orders.
Regs

 

[Regulator2005]

Gold 1

Ah gold gold gold.

I spent some time looking more into my gold indicators and have now decided that I may be wrong. True three are showing that a drop should come. However, three others both good, show that a big rally just like April 2006 may be upon us? Now I have the sell order in place and shall move it up gradually for the expected drop. However, I shall also go long with a tight stop until I see the rise fading or the notion of a April 2006 rally subsiding.
Ill go long gold tonight - expect higher open tomorrow or maybe steep jump in price?Also i'll still have sell order moved upwards and kept waiting if it gets hit.

Ah most annoying when you feel split on the gut feelings. Greed is oh so strong lol;->
Regs

 

[Regulator2005]

Gold 2

SP 500 order got hit going up for small profit. Gold SpreadBet for small small profit – testing idea.


Went long gold yesterday.
I expect gold prices to rise, although I am aware that a gold sell set up on a weekly basis has appeared. Action: Hold gold long until price action confirms sell setup. Then exit and short.

Crude oil: still watching - One of my market setups flared a buy situation, although it can be delayed and price action still seems to show it being a long time off? Action: watch and wait for price confirmation prior to any trade.

Regs

 

[Regulator2005]

Gold update other markets.

Gold you are a bugger - Hope gold opens up a bit higher and exit for small small profit or loss. My gold short got hit so im in both directions and will hopefully take a small loss in one for the other.

I'm going to see if these trend predictions come through.
Bullish = Prices rises expected:

Swiss Franc Crossed and expected up.
Japanese Yen Crossed and expected up.
Sugar Crossed and expected up.
Lumbar : might have ran out of steam?
Copper HG crossed and expected up

Bearish:
Soybean expected price drop.
Pork Bellies Expected drop is price
Cocoa Expected price drop - although still awaiting short entry signal.
Corn Sell set up - no price entry yet.


Past Prediction results for January 2007:

10th Nasdaq 100:: Would go up- Went up 50 point rise over following two days.

8th Cotton:: Would go down went 53.11 to 52.51 until the 10th.=0.6

8th Soybean: Went as predicted dropped then rose. 28.95-28.50=0.45

8th Nikkei 225::::::Said would drop and it rose 9th and dropped 10th 1705.5-1700=5.5

8th FTSE 100::::::: Dropped as thought then recovered. 6192-6158=34

5th Jan Australian:: Dollar dropped rose a bit then dropped steep 0.7771-0.7754=0.0017

5th Soybean::::::::::: Thoughts on soybean going down came true- although I was unsure.29.26-28.95=0.31

5th Silver :::::::::::::::: Expected rise next day – Its did rise 1223.0-1259.5=36.5




2nd Sugar:::::::::::::::: Got this one way wrong. It dropped ahhhh lol!!
2nd Coffee::::::::::::::: Said I expected drop after 1rts week into Jan it dropped 2nd week in

5ht Gold::::::::::::::;::: direction wrong on 5th.

Went back to sea 15th Jan until 5th Feb 2007