Profitable support trading on indices Dow ,dax ,Nasdaq and s&p

Here :80 % of trend breakouts fail ,that is why nobody posts breakouts here anymore.40% is up breakouts + 40 % is down breakouts , 10 % is down breakouts on indices = 90 % cause we only trade longs on up biased indices.

Evidence shows indices shorts are only profitable 25% of the time , failure of shorts is 75%.:)

well your post here is quite explicit

that almost 80% of ALL breakouts fail
http://www.trade2win.com/boards/technical-analysis/223916-wot-happens-next-9.html#post2911962

so now its not 80% of all breakouts fail, its just 40%. The only reason i say that is Barjon was talking about a breakout long strategy which you responded as saying that 80% fail
so in other words the breakout strategy will be profitable 60% of the time?
thats great for all breakout traders then. 60% of breakouts are successful if long..

this is great news. so if 60% of all long breakouts are successful why are you changing your strategy from a breakout strategy to a non breakout strategy?

i think your village want you back foroom
 
well your post here is quite explicit

that almost 80% of ALL breakouts fail
http://www.trade2win.com/boards/technical-analysis/223916-wot-happens-next-9.html#post2911962

so now its not 80% of all breakouts fail, its just 40%. The only reason i say that is Barjon was talking about a breakout long strategy which you responded as saying that 80% fail
so in other words the breakout strategy will be profitable 60% of the time?
thats great for all breakout traders then. 60% of breakouts are successful if long..

this is great news. so if 60% of all long breakouts are successful why are you changing your strategy from a breakout strategy to a non breakout strategy?

i think your village want you back foroom

40 % equates to 80% , say you have 20 trades ,10 longs and 10 shorts , if you take only 10 trades 40% don't fail but 80/90 % of breakouts fail.

It is % of total trades placed ,80 % of uptrend breakouts fail and 80% of down trend breakouts fail , as Barjon's only 2 out of 2 potential trades both failed in uptrend on BT and Diageo.:LOL::LOL:
 
40 % equates to 80% , say you have 20 trades ,10 longs and 10 shorts , if you take only 10 trades 40% don't fail but 80/90 % of breakouts fail.

It is % of total trades placed ,80 % of uptrend breakouts fail and 80% of down trend breakouts fail , as Barjon's only 2 out of 2 potential trades both failed in uptrend on BT and Diageo.:LOL::LOL:

no, I think your maths is wrong..you have just stated quite clearly
http://www.trade2win.com/boards/ind...indices-dow-dax-nasdaq-s-p-3.html#post2920088
40% fail if long, 40% fail if short

so if you take 10 long and 10 short, 40% of 10 will fail ie 4 trades, 40% of shorts will fail. so thats 8 out of 20 will fail
8 out of 20 is not 80% failure its a 60% win rate

is maths not one of your strong points either?

your village foroom, think of your village
 
40 % equates to 80% , say you have 20 trades ,10 longs and 10 shorts , if you take only 10 trades 40% don't fail but 80/90 % of breakouts fail.

It is % of total trades placed ,80 % of uptrend breakouts fail and 80% of down trend breakouts fail , as Barjon's only 2 out of 2 potential trades both failed in uptrend on BT and Diageo.:LOL::LOL:

thats 100% by the way, in case you needed your toes
 
no, I think your maths is wrong..you have just stated quite clearly
http://www.trade2win.com/boards/ind...indices-dow-dax-nasdaq-s-p-3.html#post2920088
40% fail if long, 40% fail if short

so if you take 10 long and 10 short, 40% of 10 will fail ie 4 trades, 40% of shorts will fail. so thats 8 out of 20 will fail
8 out of 20 is not 80% failure its a 60% win rate

is maths not one of your strong points either?

your village foroom, think of your village


How can 8 out of 20 fail , if only 8 out of 10 are traded?
 
It could be said that every single dax 1min breakout worked over the last 25 years. If worked meant goes into profit at some point.

6099-darktone-albums-general-7-picture4750-breakout.jpg
 
40 % equates to 80% , say you have 20 trades ,10 longs and 10 shorts , if you take only 10 trades 40% don't fail but 80/90 % of breakouts fail.

It is % of total trades placed ,80 % of uptrend breakouts fail and 80% of down trend breakouts fail , as Barjon's only 2 out of 2 potential trades both failed in uptrend on BT and Diageo.:LOL::LOL:

How can 8 out of 20 fail , if only 8 out of 10 are traded?

http://www.trade2win.com/boards/ind...indices-dow-dax-nasdaq-s-p-3.html#post2920104
you have stated 10 long and 10 short
if you trade all of them its 40% fail. thats what you said
if you trade 10, ie the long ones thats 40$ fail.

but im even more confused..
here you said 40% fail
http://www.trade2win.com/boards/ind...indices-dow-dax-nasdaq-s-p-3.html#post2920088

now you're saying 40% don't fail
http://www.trade2win.com/boards/ind...indices-dow-dax-nasdaq-s-p-3.html#post2920104

which is it..40% of long breakouts fail?
or 40% of long breakouts don't fail?

your village foroom...
 
http://www.trade2win.com/boards/ind...indices-dow-dax-nasdaq-s-p-3.html#post2920104
you have stated 10 long and 10 short
if you trade all of them its 40% fail. thats what you said
if you trade 10, ie the long ones thats 40$ fail.

but im even more confused..
here you said 40% fail
http://www.trade2win.com/boards/ind...indices-dow-dax-nasdaq-s-p-3.html#post2920088

now you're saying 40% don't fail
http://www.trade2win.com/boards/ind...indices-dow-dax-nasdaq-s-p-3.html#post2920104

which is it..40% of long breakouts fail?
or 40% of long breakouts don't fail?

your village foroom...

still waiting foroom, as is your village
 
no, I think your maths is wrong..you have just stated quite clearly
http://www.trade2win.com/boards/ind...indices-dow-dax-nasdaq-s-p-3.html#post2920088
40% fail if long, 40% fail if short

so if you take 10 long and 10 short, 40% of 10 will fail ie 4 trades, 40% of shorts will fail. so thats 8 out of 20 will fail
8 out of 20 is not 80% failure its a 60% win rate

is maths not one of your strong points either?

your village foroom, think of your village

go back to school and learn maths
 
In any case, buying upward break-outs from an uptrend is a mistake. Trading options is a mistake. Buying at increasing position sizes below support to recover losses is a mistake.

I am glad to be able to firm up my conclusions on what not to do.
 
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