Monty,
It looks like you are rolling Cable, Euro and Euro/Sterling short?
If you are bearish Euro/Dollar and bearish Euro/Sterling why would you be short Cable?
Sorry, didn't see this. Did I say bearish Euro/Sterling? If I did, that was a mistake.
Oh, I think you are going by those rolling trade finance messages? That's definitely a Buy for EUR/GBP.
I had a long position EUR/GBP which went sour, but (out of obstinacy) I refused to cut.
I am definitely bearish cable, bearish Euro generally, and bullish USD. I'm not sure what I was thinking when I took that EUR/GBP trade, but I now think of EUR/GBP as a kind of special case. In terms of volume (according to the International Bank of Settlement reports), it is tiny compared to EUR/USD and cable, so theoretically, it should be driven by those two.
Unless I suppose there are special economic factors affecting either the Eurozone only, the UK only, or the two of them together, which don't affect the US very much.
At the moment, I'd say I was neutral EUR/GBP. I think it it is in a funny place actually, and am waiting to see what happens. Since I am slightly more bearish Euro than the GBP at the moment, I think it may ultimately come right down again, before ultimately going up, when the Eurozone sorts itself out, and the UK doesn't. If I am awake when it gets to its next proper swing low, I will go long again, and maybe it will one day catch up my other long
(keep missing it though).
I usually
don't cut my losing positions early. I know that is the accepted wisdom, but in this respect, I go along with De Toit. Maybe it will kill me in the end, but, so far it has worked. (Helped by relatively low leverage). What I do tend to kill are trades that start out in my favour and then reverse sharply. I usually try to kill them just before they go against me, ie. for scratch or trivial profit. Then look for a better entry, or just forget it. It just depends though.
I would say that I only hold on to a position if I think on fundamental grounds it is the correct direction. In this respect I think this is something like the way you (TD) trade, i.e. I don't mind being underwater for a good long time if I have faith in the trade at some level. Like you I don't move to BE, although unlike you, I don't seem to succeed in holding on for the longer trend. I usually close when I think I've good a good enough profit. I am learning to hold on for longer, and as I said before, if I leave it to my limit orders, I usually end up with a bigger profit than if I close manually. I know you don't believe in limits though ("they limit your profits"). In a volatile market though I find them essential (for me).
Another reason I haven't cut that long (underwater) EUR/GBP position is that it serves as a good reference point, also as a reminder (of what not to do, perhaps...
). And now it's a very small proportion of the account, so that's not so much of a consideration. I've taken other long EUR/GBP trades in the meantime, within that range, usually for less than a day or so.
Don't trade like this at home kids ...