With the recent changes to BOM it appears the profitability has gone. I have sent an email to PGI regarding this asking if there is another platform to place bets with. Here's a copy of the email which shows how much the profitability using BOM has changed
I was wondering if there has been an alternative found to BOM for trading. As the return is now down to 78% (was 100% a year ago) it now requires around a 92% strike rate just to break even. It used to be profitable but now does not appear to deliver.
To give an example on how much has changed based on a 92% strike rate (which PGI has delivered so far this month for the first time going back as far as May 2009).
***Note here I already sent the email but it is actually 90% this month, 90% last month and 89% in November***
Bet 1 to win 400
Bet 2 to win 800
Bet 3 to win 1750
With Original 100 % return on bet
Bet 1 cost $200
Bet 2 cost $400
Bet 3 cost $875
Losing Bet cost $1475
Profit per 100 bets at 92% strike rate = $7650
Ave profit per bet =$76.50
Change to 6.5% premium on bet
Bet 1 cost $21
Bet 2 cost $426
Bet 3 cost $931
Losing Bet cost $1571
Profit per 100 bets at 92% strike rate = $3747
Ave profit per bet =$37.47
Change to 12% premium on bet (20Jan10)
Bet 1 cost $224
Bet 2 cost $448
Bet 3 cost $980
Losing Bet cost $1652
Profit per 100 bets at 92% strike rate = $444
Ave profit per bet =$4.40
As you can see using BOM is no longer productive to the system. So what other platforms can we use?
Thanks
I hope they do reply to this as even though they are delivering a better strike rate they are no longer delivering profit with it. It is not PGI's fault but it is affecting them.
I also noticed the new (maybe I just haven't noticed lately) trading results shown which show 2007 and 2008 figures for the FTSE, DAX and CAC. Interestingly they show the Dax (63% and 60%) and CAC (62% and 58%) providing over 60% 1st bet strike rate over a year period. If they were doing that now it would be far better. FTSE has 52% and 54% 1st bet strike rate.
Since May they have been
FTSE 41%,
DAX 52%,
CAC 44%.
With better overall results recently, since November they have been
FTSE 46% (28 alerts 5 losses),
DAX 60% (15 alerts, 0 losses),
CAC 39% (31 alerts, 3 losses).
If not for the losses it wouldn't be bad figures. Interestingly the CAC going down in 1st bet wins.