Melvyn Bragg radio 4 discussion on mathematical probability and randomness

[redart]

How about a poll for this (but dont answer if you already know the correct solution)

Suppose you're on a game show, and you're given the choice of three doors: Behind one door is the star prize; behind each of the others, a booby prize. You pick a door, say No. 1, and the host, who knows what's behind the doors, opens another door, say No. 3, which has a booby prize He then says to you, "Do you want to pick door No. 2?" Is it to your advantage to switch, stick or it doesnt matter; your choice?

A) Switch
B) Stick
C) dosen't matter

switch

 

[the hare]

I won't spoil the suspense over the answer, but I wonder whether a hidden agenda is at play by the host to maximise on theatrical effect and so boost the ratings for next show ?

G/L

IIRC Jeff Yass when interviewed by Schwager about why so many people couldnt see such an obvious edge said "I dont think they understood conditional probability, you have to remember that we are talking about a show where contestants had to wear funny rabbit ears to get picked"

 

[TheBramble]

a show where contestants had to wear funny rabbit ears to get picked"

Relatives?