Long Eur/Usd 1.2199.
TP is 1.2245
SL is 1.2175
Hmm... While this was my only loser this week, it's probably also the one that's got my gears running the most.
Several elements stand out:
1) I could have closed it at a profit of +10 before it shot down against me. Several times.
2) My analysis of the range was correct and my stop of 1.2175 was correct as well. What I hadn't anticipated was the run down to the recent low (below 1.217), which would have triggered my stop anyway and caused a loss.
3) My original view that the 50 would be blown was correct, but it happened later than anticipated.
There are several things to consider here:
- I traded this with the levels present on the 1h chart. That is where my trade idea originated.
- I failed to notice the proper levels on the 5m and the concurrent PA (1.221, 1.2185, and 1.217).
- I set my targets on an un-even mix of the 5m and the 1h. Upper target was based on 1h, lower target had basis in the 5m.
- I managed my trade with a view on the 5m, so I believed 1.2199 was a good entry. It was not. 1.2185 would have been a good entry, with SL somewhere around 1.216. Much better risk/reward. I instead instigated a scalp of the 5m.
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Proper management of this trade would have been to close it out at +10 before it shot down. I had ample warning of this on the 30s. Then observing the development of the low at 1.2185, I could have chosen it as a good entry for low risk and put in a stop below the recent low of 1.217. Target would have been the same, but higher profit at lower risk.
In the future:
More patience before putting on a trade, or better perspective of the levels in play according to time. There was probably no way for 1.221 to be breached during the Asian session given the resistance it encountered on the 5m before shooting down to 1.2185.
While I am used to putting on (waiting for) trades on the 5m as evidenced from my good entry at 1.2199, I need to become better at doing this according to the 1h if I'm to do better swing trades.
*Whew*
There. I feel better now. This one trade was bugging the hell out of me for all the missed opportunities in it.