Gumping
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IIRC AIG posted massive losses back in May because of their bond insurance activities... I guess if they to tits up, the existing policies are void, thus theres alot of un-insured business that will get unwound because of the risk profile...
... if thats the case, keep an eye on Ambac, MBIA and Assured Guaranty
What would be funny if AIG went t*ts up is if they would consider Man Utd as part of it's assets and put the first team up for sale