Know This Trade Level For This Leading Regional Bank Stock
Since the start of November, leading regional bank stock, U.S. Bancorp (NYSE:USB), has been pulling back on the charts. On November 2, 2017, USB stock traded as high as $55.08 a share, today the stock is trading at $52.02 a share. The one negative for the stock is that it is trading below its 50 and 200-day moving averages. This chart formation tells us that the stock is vulnerable to lower prices in the coming weeks.
Traders must now watch the $49.00 area as the next major chart support level. This level was defended in September 2017 by the institutional money and it should be defended again when it is retested. It is always important for traders to know where they are wrong, so I would place a stop-loss below the $47.00 level using a weekly chart close. The upside targets for USB stock would be $55.00 as a first target and ultimately $60.00 a share as the final target.
Today, leading retailer of technology products, Best Buy Co., Inc. (NYSE:BBY), is declining sharply lower after reporting earnings. The stock is trading down by nearly 6.0 percent to $53.98 a share. Traders should note that BBY shares are now testing the daily 200-day moving average. A daily chart close below that key moving average should signal more downside for the electronics retailer.
The next major chart support level for BBY stock will be around the $49.00 area. This a scene of the crime support level that will often be defended when retested. Traders should keep an eye on this level as it should give us a solid trading opportunity.
Cummins Inc (NYSE:CMI) Tanks After Tesla Semi Debut
Today, most of the leading truck engine manufacturers are coming under heavy selling pressure after electric vehicle maker, Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA), announced that they are now making electric trucks. Truck engine stocks such as Cummins Inc (NYSE:CMI), Paccar Inc (NASDAQCAR) and Navistar International Corp (NYSE:NAV) are plunging lower on the news.
Cummins Inc (NYSE:CMI) is trading lower by $6.82 to $160.32 a share. Traders should note that CMI stock is now testing its daily chart 200-day moving average. At this time, this important moving average is holding up as support, but a close below this critical moving average would be negative for the stock. The next major support level for CMI stock would be around the $150.00 area. This is where CMI was defended in August 2017 and should serve as a major support when initially retested. Keep this level on the radar for CMI stock as a major bounce level.
This morning, many of the leading biotechnology stocks are trading lower to start the day. The highly followed and traded iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (NASDAQ:IBB) is trading lower by $2.70 to $308.51 a share. One of the most important components of the IBB is Amgen Inc (NASDAQ:AMGN).
This leading biotechnology stock has been pulling back since September 14th when it traded as high as $191.09 a share. Today, the biotech giant is trading at $168.46 a share. The stock is currently holding its 50-week moving average, but a weekly chart close below $167.00 level should trigger further declines. The $160.00 level is going to be the next major support area in the stock. This level is where the stock was defended in June 2017 and should be solid support when retested.
Strong Sell Signal Just Triggered On Bitcoin... Look For This Move
Bitcoin hit a new all-time high $8,285 today. However, it is choppy and has formed a very bearishing intra-day pattern known as a head and shoulders. This dictates that when the neck-line breaks (as seen in the chart below), a fall will follow down to $8,075. This is a classic chart setup that works on anything from stocks to commodities and currencies. If the neck line breaks, the target should be reached within hours.
The Market Is At New Highs, But Not This Tech Giant
Today, all of the major stock indexes are surging to new all time highs. The highly popular NASDAQ Composite which is a technology heavy index is breaking out, but Oracle Corp (NASDAQ:ORCL) is not making new highs. In fact, ORCL stock is actually trading lower today by 0.43 cents to $48.58 a share. The stock is also trading below its 50-day moving average which puts it in a weak technical chart position.
Oracle Corp (ORCL) stock topped out on September 14, 2017 at $53.14 a share. Since that high pivot in the stock it has been pulling back and is now forming a bearish chart pattern on the daily chart. When a stock has no relative strength when compared to the major stock indexes it tells us that this stock should trade lower. ORCL stock has major chart support around the $44.00 area. This is where the stock broke out in June 2017. Often when a stock breaks out of a base it will be defended when the breakout level is retested. The $44.00 area looks solid for a bounce in this popular tech stock.
This morning, many of the leading semiconductor and semiconductor equipment maker stocks are coming under heavy selling pressure. Leading stocks in the industry group such as Lam Research Corp (NASDAQ:LRCX), Western Digital Corp (NASDAQ:WDC) and Micron Technology Inc (NASDAQ:MU) are trading down by more than 4.0 percent on the session. Often, the semiconductor stocks will lead the tech heavy NASDAQ Composite. It has been viewed by many traders that when the semiconductor stocks lose their strength it can be a precursor of a possible correction in the technology stocks.
Many traders such as myself will follow the VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF (NYSEArca:SMH) as a proxy for the semiconductor sector. Today, the SMH is trading lower by $1.71 to $104.04 a share, this is decline of nearly 1.70 percent. Traders should note that the SMH is still trading above its 20-day moving average, so this tells us that the trend is still up for the industry group despite today's decline. Should the SMH start to trade below its 20-day moving average then we would really start to look for a break of the trend, but right now the trend in the semiconductor sector still remains up. Traders will now need to keep a close eye on the semiconductor industry group going forward.
This morning, leading medical device maker, Boston Scientific Corp (NYSE:BSX), is trading lower by 4.1 percent. The negative news for the stock is that the company pulled out of a Piper Jaffray Healthcare Conference today.
Either way, the shares are down and the stock is now trading below its 50 and 100-day moving average. Whenever a stock trades below these critical moving averages it puts the stock in a weak technical position. Traders must now look lower for major chart support. The next major support area would be around the $25.00 level. This area is where the stock broke out in April 2017. Often, when prior break-out levels are tested they will be defended by the institutional money traders. Traders should keep BSX on the radar when it trades around the $25.00 area.
This Is Why Oil And Oil Stocks Are Headed Lower $XLE $USO
Oil is trading near 52 week highs. Just a couple days ago, it grazed $60/bbl, the highest level in well over a year. So why am I so bearish on the commodity and oil stocks? The simple answer comes from looking at the performance of oil stocks. Individually, you can look at Haliburton (HAL) or the ETF that tracks oil stocks, the $XLE. You would expect these stocks to be at or at least near 52 week highs with the bullish market action and oil near multi-year highs. However, that is not the case. In fact, the $XLE (Energy Fund ETF) has a very bearish chart and looks ready to break lower. In addition, Saudi Arabia is likely keeping oil up only until the Saudi Aramco IPO debuts early next year. The US is producing massive amounts of oil/natural gas as well. Even for an economy that is growing, there is too much net oil. The charts signal a bearish drop coming in oil and oil stocks. Watch for the XLE to break the below trend line for a move as low as $62.00.
Workday Inc (WDAY:NASDAQ) is a leading provider of enterprise cloud applications for finance and human resources. The stock recently topped out on November 27, 2017 at $116.89 a share. Since that high pivot, the stock has declined sharply. Last night, the company reported earnings and the stock is falling lower today by $2.54 to $104.00 per share. The pattern forming on the weekly chart is what we call an outside reversal pattern. This is usually a very bearish pattern that indicates further downside is possible in the coming weeks. Traders should realize the stock is short-term oversold on the daily chart already, so there could be some minor bounces or positive trading days in the stock. But please note, the weekly reversal pattern that has formed is not a sign of strength. This pattern will generally indicate more weekly chart selling down the road.
So where are the support levels for WDAY stock? There are several important support levels coming up. The first support level that I see is the 200-day moving average at $98.42. This moving average will be major daily chart support if price trades directly into the level. Should price consolidate above the 200-day moving average then that area will become minor support. In other words, watching the pattern develop is extremely important, you must see how a stock trades into a particular support level. The second major support level will be around the $95.00 area. This is where the 50-week moving average is located. This will likely be a major support level when tested as long as price comes directly into that support level. The next major support area for WDAY stock will be around the $90.50 level. This important area is where the stock broke out in May 2017. If you have been reading my work over the years than you know that prior breakout levels are often major chart support when retested. Again, it is very important to see how the stock trades into that level, the chart pattern is always critical and it can change the odds of the trade.
This is a pretty straight forward trade. The daily Transportation Index ETF $IYT jumped from $173 to $187 in three days. First, this makes it overbought for a swing trade short. Then you note the major trend line price hit today that stretches back to 2015 and the multiple technical indicators screaming overbought. Lastly, add in that this run is factoring in tax reform, which means there will be little further risk even if tax reform gets through (which is likely). This is a solid risk/reward swing trade short. I would like to see a pull back minimally to $168.00.
This Video Game Stock Should Be On Your Trading Radar
Leading video game developer, Electronic Arts Inc. (NASDAQ:EA), has been under selling pressure since August 31, 2017. At that time, the stock traded as high $122.79 a share. Today, EA stock is trading lower by $4.25 to $101.78 a share. The video game giant stock is now trading below its important 200-day moving average. This tells us that the stock is weak and should trade lower before finding institutional sponsorship.
Traders and investors should now look for major chart support around the $96.50 area. This level is where the stock broke out in May 2017. Very often, this prior breakout area will be defended when it is retested. Traders and investors should keep this support level on your radar.
Clovis Oncology Inc (NASDAQ:CLVS) Sinking But Getting Attractive
Clovis Oncology Inc (NASDAQ:CLVS) is leading biotechnology company that is focused on developing and commercializing anti-cancer agents globally. This stock has been under pressure since peaking on July 1, 2017. At that time, CLVS stock traded as high as $99.45 a share. Today, the stock is trading around $59.00 a share. This is about a 40.0 percent decline in the stock in the past six months.
The stock is now trading down towards its 200-week moving average. This important moving average is around the $55.00 level. This area should serve as major chart support when it is tested. This is a very attractive area for a bounce in the stock. Now please understand, all biotechnology stocks do have a lot of risk in them. So the way that I will trade the stock will probably be with a call option. By using options I will simply be risking the premium paid for the call option, therefore knowing my maximum loss if I'm wrong on the trade. The positive upside of using a call options is that the potential percentage gain will be much greater than if I actually bought the stock outright.
Anheuser Busch Inbev NV (NYSE:BUD) is a leader in the beer brewing industry. Recently, the stock has been coming under selling pressure. BUD stock has been declining since topping out on October 10, 2017 at $126.50 a share. Today, the brewing giant is trading lower by 0.24 cents to $112.73 a share.
Traders should note that BUD stock is now trading below its important 50-day moving average. This chart formation puts the stock in a weak technical position. The next major support level for BUD stock should be around the $109.00 area. This is a very important retrace level and a place where the stock was defended in July 2017. Often, these chart factors will provide a very solid chart level for a bounce and long trade in the stock.
Ciena Corp (NYSE:CIEN) Tanks After Earnings, Watch This Level
Today, leading computer networking company, Ciena Corp (NYSE:CIEN), is tanking after reporting earnings. The stock is falling lower by nearly 5.0 percent to $20.24 a share. CIEN stock is now trading below its 50-day moving average, this puts the stock in a weak technical position. The monthly chart is now signaling further downside for the stock. Traders must now look at the $16.75 area as the next major chart support level. Very often, when a stock declines so sharply in a single trading day it will take time before it will be defended by the institutional money crowd. I will be keeping this stock on my watch list until the equity drops into this important support level.
Shares Of Endo International $ENDP May Have 50% Upside, Note This Chart...
In recent weeks, pharma plays like Valeant Pharmaceuticals Intl (VRX) and Teva Pharmaceutical Industries (TEVA) have surged. Valeant is up almost 100% since October and Teva is up almost 50%. In other words, pharma has become a hot sector as Trump's corporate tax cuts near finalization. One pharma stock that is lagging but has a gorgeous bull flag is Endo International (NASDAQ:ENDP). I have placed this one on my watch list. Should the bull flag start to breakout with price pushing over $7.75, it becomes a strong buy with major upside potential. The upside potential target is $10.65. This would be a catch-up trade to the other pharma plays like Valeant and Teva.
Gold Mining Stocks Keep Falling, Know This Trade Level
Many of the leading gold mining stocks have been declining since September 2017. The highly followed VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSEArca:GDX) peaked out on September 7, 2017 at $25.58 a share. Since that high pivot, the GDX has traded down to the $21.50 level and will likely fall lower in the near term. Leading gold mining stocks such as Newmont Mining Corp (NYSE:NEM), Royal Gold Inc (RGLD:NASDAQ) and Randgold Resources Ltd (GOLD:NASDAQ) are now trading below their important 50-day moving averages. This is signaling near-term weakness for the industry group.
Randgold Resources Ltd (GOLD:NASDAQ) is one gold mining stock that has caught my eye. This stock should have solid chart support around the $86.00 level. This area is where the stock was defended in July 2017 and will likely serve as support when initially tested. Randgold Resources Ltd (GOLD:NASDAQ) could be setting up nicely for a long side trade this level.
Edison International (NYSE:EIX) Sells Off As Wildfires Spread
Edison International (NYSE:EIX) is a leading public utility with a major presence in Southern California. The stock has been declining sharply since the wild fires began in the Los Angeles area last week. On December 1st, 2017, EIX stock was trading as high as $81.96 a share. Traders should note that the stock is now trading around $68.00 a share as the wildfires in Southern California continue to spread. The stock is now trading below its important 50 and 200-day moving averages. This chart pattern indicates weakness in the equity and potentially further downside.
The next major support area for EIX will be around the $62.00 level. This is where the stock should be defended by the institutional money. In February 2016, EIX stock broke out from this area. Very often, when falling stocks retest there prior break-out levels they will be supported and defended. This is a trade area where I will look to get involved in the stock on the long side. I will be trading the stock by buying the equity or by buying call options in the name.
$JUNO Hits Support For Technical Bounce Trade Here...
Shares of Juno Therapeutics Inc (NASDAQ:JUNO) have fallen sharply over the last two trading days. On a technical basis, the biotech hit major support when it broke through $46.00. This is a bounce level for investors looking for a quick couple day bounce. Look for a snap back to $50 in the coming days.
Don't Hit The TAP On Molson Coors Brewing Just Yet
Today, leading brewery stock Molson Coors Brewing Co (TAP:NYSE) is trading lower by 0.64 to $79.51 a share. This stock has been steadily declining since October 2016 when the stock traded as high as $112.19 a share. TAP stock is now trading below its important 50 and 200-day moving averages, this indicates technical weakness. Traders should also note that there is bearish weekly chart pattern forming in the stock. This suggests that the stock could still have one more decline in the cards. Traders should now watch $72.50 area for major chart support. This level was where the stock broke out in September 2015. Often, prior break-out levels will serve as major support when retested. This looks to be a solid trade area for TAP stock.
CAR) and Navistar International Corp (NYSE:NAV) are plunging lower on the news. 
