US Futures Daytrading Example
Some good points there but £250K is too general and in my view, too much!
However this is impacted on by the market you wish to trade e.g. Stocks have less leverage than Futures so more money is needed to achieve the same returns. Also daytrading margins are lower than overnight position holders so this also impacts.How many businesses need £250K to start and run successfully? Trading (or at least daytrading) certainly doesn't.
Trading is like any business in that as part of the Business Plan (i.e. trading plan) one has to look at
- HOW MUCH you want to take out on a regular basis and when you want (or will need) to start drawing this.
- The pace at which you wish to GROW your account i.e. original startup capital and how much and how quickly you wish to grow it from your trading profits
- The impact of ongoing expenses. The most signifcant figure here is of course the drawdowns or controlled losses which are part of the process.
- The timeframe you wish to trade based on time available and trading method you employ.
All of this hinges on
the profitability of the trading model you are employing. I am aware of Futures daytraders in the US who are making 5% ROI on their accounts every single day without too much fuss. Depending on the instrument or market, you'd need about US$2,000 to open the account and then it's US$500-1000 per lot. Based on the assessed performance of your system, anticipated maximum drawdown, trading costs(PC, data, commissions, charts etc), account growth profile and cash withdrawal plan you can decide how much cash you need to run the business. It has to be based on the particular markets and instruments you are dealing in as there are different capital requirements for everything.
It is this overall profitability that allows you to make these assessments. Here is an example for someone who is:-
1. A daytrader looking to spend 2-3 hours daytrading daily.
2. Trading the E-mini Russell2000 contract (ER2)
3. Looking for US$1000 profit per day. Maximum risk is US$1000 per day. The US$1000 may be achieved in any number of trades but trading plan is for 1 point profit per trade based on the Russell’s trading range and movement patterns.
4. His maximum account risk is 2% per trade
5. His account costs are US$300 per month
6. He wants to start paying himself US$6,000 per month from the end of the fourth month
7. His profit split plan is 30% for tax, 30% for Self, 40% to remain in account.
8. The implicit assumption is that his trading methodology will deliver the points of profit needed in 2-3 hours of daily market activity. Anyone who's studied the ER2 knows you can certainly bag 3 points in a hour or less. The daily target assumes commissions and drawdowns will be covered.
9. The biggest assumption of all is that the trader in question has a proven methodology and is already able to trade successfully, on a daily basis.
To achieve the above, you have to work backwards from points 7, 6, 5 to obtain a capital cash indication. Since 1-4 represents his trading constraints, the cash indication can then be applied to the constraints to see how feasible it is. Ultimately, as long as the cash capital is large enough to enable points 1-4 to stay true, that's
the minimum figure he will need to achieve his objectives.
US$6000 = 30% of US$20,000
Assume 20 trading days per month = US$20,000/20 = $1,000 profit per day
Max 2% loss per trade = US$400 (Theoretical 50 consecutive losers to lose all capital)
$1,000 profit per day / $400 risk per trade = Approx 2.5 trades per day
Based on ER2 trading range and typical volatility, a 1 point stop loss is used. @$400 max loss per trade, this requires 4 ER2 contracts to be traded.
Daily goal would therefore require 2.5 points per day profits, or 2.75 allowing for commissions.
4ER2 lots need about US$4,000 margin with most brokers so this is well within the size for a $20,000 account
If we allow for a maximum 40% of account size drawdown (20 consecutive losing trades @$400 = $8,000) this still equates to US$20,000 of capital
The $300 monthly account cost = $15 a day extra profit that’s needed. This equates to 1/20th of a point if trading 4ER2 lots so is easily covered in the 2.75 target above.
Assuming consistent trading performance for the first three months, then beginning with US$20,000, after three months, based on the above projections, account capital will be US$80,000, where no debits have been made. However, allowing for mediocre performance and poor volatility in the market, this can be reduced to US$10,000 per month = US$50,000 trading capital at the beginning of month four.
Bottom line is that the above represents a very credible daytrading scenario which is already being successfully applied by a number of day traders. US$20,000 = UK£10,000 and this is not beyond the reach of many. You could even debit US$2,000/UK£1,000 for a PC upgrade and broadband access etc but it still wouldn’t harm the figures and risk profile much.
If US$ 6,000=UK£ 3,000 monthly income is insufficient you can of course increase this on a percentage basis as the account grows i.e. $40,000 capital = $12,000 pcm salary or simply start with a larger account and trade more lots.