jacinto said:
Socrates, spot on! I don't know if what I wrote above was clear or not. English is not my first language, so probably I didn't write properly.
No, it is not about plans, maps, etc. Yes there are rules, and when rules are broken, the issue is (i guess) what makes one break your own rules. Is it that 1) rule is incorrect and stopping oneself from reaching a target, and therefore needs to be rewritten; or 2) rule is correct but one still breaks it, which is not rational action, and has a deeper problem underneath (emotions dominating reason).
With regards to other comments, I haven't mentioned the lack or excess of profitability as an issue, but the more profound definition of the characteristics of a "real trader" which, as an opinion only, mainly defined by the ability to manage and control the psychological and emotional aspects that define "human weakness" in this "job", and that are by definition the real risk and not financial exposure.
In my experience (and relating to the post between difference system and systematic), trading with no system or indicator becomes a tough test for self control, since one is only reading price action instead of following "instructions from a system or set of indicators". Having said that, not having a system does not mean one cannot be systematic!
Thank you for your comments.
PS Entiendo que usted habla castellano, gracias por sus comentarios. He leido algunas de sus contribuciones, y me parecen interesantes. saludos.
Hi Jacinto,
As your sig says, you have a set of rules which should make a profit.
IMO trading is a business and as such with any business, the first thing you do is devise a business plan which will make your goals. Yours being breaks from patterns and consequent targets. IMO unless you are 200% sure that your business plan works, paper trade until it does. I know many will say paper trading doesn't include emotion but that shouldn't come into it anyway. If you aren't sure its going to work, money shouldn't be put on it. If emotion takes over you don't believe the rules. If you don't believe the rules, don't trade.
At the end of the day until money is put on a trade you need to know that your setup will do X,Y or Z as many times as possible and you have a contingency plan for those that don't reach the targets and/or fail. Once you are confident with proof you just accept the outcome regardless because you know it works.
If after every trade is entered you panic it might not reach the target, paper trade or test until your sure your rules/plan/system/method/strat works. If your not confident, then don't put money on the line.
If your panicking every time you aren't trading your plan properly and you are just gambling.
For example - You run a pub, its 8pm in the evening on a Tuesday. You have 12 people in the pub. 1 family of 4, a few students and a couple of lads on the fruit machines. No-ones drinking much...
1) Do you close early because you panic you might not make enough profits to substain the outgoings or...?
2) Do you carry on till 11 regardless because you know some days are crap and then others (the weekend) will triple the income?
It would make no sense to sit at the bar panicking about it because you knew when you started running the pub, some days you will miss out on money but others will be spot on or more so...
Its all very simple really, a trade makes a profit or it doesn't. You know some will and some won't. Whether it does or not you just keep moving on to the next without thinking about it. If at the end of the month your down, the method doesn't work and you rethink and look back over it and see why not and work it till you find a way it does.
I used to panic all the time but it wasn't until I viewed it the aforementioned way that I started making consistent profit. Regardless of your methods (PA/ FA/ Indicators/ tape/ Moon/ stars /Fib's) until you have a solid plan you can rely on to be robust and reliable, how can you expect to trade emotion free and professionally?