One more safe strategy in trading , i read it a day back.
When you usually enter with say 100 £ at one go , try this. Enter with just 25 £. Keep wide stop.
If you are good enough to judge the trend (which is easy) , let the entry run.Whenever it goes into profit and breaks above a important resistance , add more. Thus keep doing this. You will find you small small investments in market ranging from say 790 $ till 840 $. There will be many sell positions and buy positions. Then again , if you smart in trend guessing, you can find that . . . 80 % of your positions are in profit. Just keep trailing stops and book profit . Who cares if its going up or down ? If price goes below 800,then someday it will come above it too.
Then again , one should not compare one position with other (like you do in hedge position). Every position holds the potential of giving you some profit today or tomorrow.