FXTechstrategy Team: Forex Analysis

What does January holds for EURUSD having continued to hold its medium term downtrend


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USDCHF Closes Flat, Vulnerable To The Downside

USDCHF: Having the pair closed flat the past week, it remains vulnerable to the downside in the new week. On the downside, support lies at the 0.9750 level. A turn below here will open the door for more weakness towards the 0.9700 level and then the 0.9650 level. Below here will expose the 0.9600 level. On the upside, resistance resides at the 0.9850 level where a break will clear the way for more strength to occur towards the 0.9900 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.0000 level and then the 1.0050 level. All in all, USDCHF remains biased to the downside after rejecting higher level prices the past week.

USDCHFWeekly-1.png
 
EURUSD Sets Up To Weaken Further On Loss Of Momentum

EURUSD: With the pair rejecting higher price to close almost flat the past week, more weakness is expected in the new week. Support lies at the 1.1000 level. Further down, support comes in at the 1.0950 level where a violation will aim at the 1.0900 level. A break of here will target the 1.0850 level. Its weekly RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. Conversely, on the upside, resistance comes in at 1.1100 level with a cut through here opening the door for more upside towards the 1.1150 level. Further up, resistance lies at the 1.1200 level where a break will expose the 1.1250 level. All in all, EURUSD remains biased to the downside in the medium term.

EURUSDWeekly-2.png
 
GOLD Triggers Corrective Pullback

GOLD: The commodity triggered a corrective weakness the past week leaving risk lower. But it could move a little bit higher in the new week following its Friday close(see daily chart). On the downside, support comes in at the 1,330.00 level where a break will turn attention to the 1,310.00 level. Further down, a cut through here will open the door for a move lower towards the 1,300.00 level. Below here if seen could trigger further downside pressure targeting the 1,1290.00 level. Conversely, resistance resides at the 1,350.00 level where a break will aim at the 1,360.00 level. A turn above there will expose the 1,370.00 level. Further out, resistance stands at the 1,380.00 level. All in all, GOLD looks to weaken further on correction

XAUUSDWeekly-2.png
 
GBPUSD Retains Downside Pressure Below Key Resistance Zone

GBPUSD: The Unless the pair breaks and holds above the 1.3480 zone, risk will continue to point lower on more weakness medium term. On the downside, support lies at the 1.3200 level where a break will turn attention to the 1.3150 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.3100 level. Below here will set the stage for more weakness towards the 1.3050 level. Conversely, resistance stands at the 1.3400 levels with a turn above here allowing more strength to build up towards the 1.3450 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 1.3500 level followed by the 1.3550 level. On the whole, GBPUSD threatens further downside pressure below its key resistance zone.

XAUUSDDaily-2.png
 
EURUSD: Targets Further Downside Pressure With Eyes On 1.0970 Zone

EURUSD: Having taken back its Tuesday gains on Tuesday, more weakness is expected. Support lies at the 1.1000 level. Further down, support comes in at the 1.0950 level where a violation will aim at the 1.0900 level. A break of here will target the 1.0850 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower suggesting further weakness. Conversely, on the upside, resistance comes in at 1.1100 level with a cut through here opening the door for more upside towards the 1.1150 level. Further up, resistance lies at the 1.1200 level where a break will expose the 1.1250 level. All in all, EURUSD remains biased to the downside on correction.

EURUSDDaily-2.png
 
USDCHF Rejects Higher Prices, Vulnerable On Pullback

USDCHF: Having the pair closed higher on Tuesday, a move higher on recovery is now building up. However, with a large pullback seen intra day on Wednesday, a move lower could be seen in the days ahead. On the downside, support lies at the 0.9800 level. A turn below here will open the door for more weakness towards the 0.9750 level and then the 0.9700 level. On the upside, resistance resides at the 0.9900 level where a break will clear the way for more strength to occur towards the 0.9950 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.0000 level. All in all, USDCHF remains biased to the upside on more strength.

USDCHFDaily-1.png
 
EURGBP: Sets Up To Resume Weakness

EURGBP- The cross looks to weaken further following its Thursday declines after taking back all of its intra day gains. Resistance resides at the 0.8400 level where a violation if seen will turn risk towards the 0.8450 level. On further upside, the 0.8500 level comes in as the next upside target followed by the 0.8550 level. Support comes in at 0.8300 level. Further down, support lies at the 0.8250 level where a violation will turn focus to the 0.8300 level. A break will expose the 0.8200 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower suggesting further weakness. All in all, EURGBP remains bearish on price weakness.

EURGBPDaily-1.png
 
EURUSD Faces Further Weakness Threats

EURUSD: With the pair following through lower the past week, further downside pressure is likely. Support lies at the 1.0900 level. Further down, support comes in at the 1.0850 level where a violation will aim at the 1.0800 level. A break of here will target the 1.0750 level. Its weekly RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. Conversely, on the upside, resistance comes in at 1.1000 level with a cut through here opening the door for more upside towards the 1.1050 level. Further up, resistance lies at the 1.1100 level where a break will expose the 1.1150 level. All in all, EURUSD remains biased to the downside in the medium term.

EURUSDWeekly-3.png
 
USDJPY Targets Further Weakness On Bear Pressure

USDJPY: The pair remains weak and vulnerable to the downside with more weakness envisaged. On the downside, support comes in at the 105.00 level where a break if seen will aim at the 104.50 level. A cut through here will turn focus to the 104.00 level and possibly lower towards the 103.50 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. On the upside, resistance resides at the 106.00 level. Further out, we envisage a possible move towards the 106.50 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 107.00 level with a turn above here aiming at the 107.50 level. On the whole, USDJPY looks to weaken further on bear pressure

USDJPYDaily-4.png
 
AUDUSD Rejects Higher Prices, Vulnerable

AUDUSD. The pair saw a rejection of upside pressure during Wednesday trading leaving risk of dmore weakness on the cards. On the downside, support resides at the 0.7400 level where a breach will aim at the 0.7350 level. Below that level will set the stage for a run at the 0.7300 level with a cut through here targeting further downside pressure towards the 0.7250 level. On the upside, resistance lies at the 0.7500 level. A cut through here will turn attention to the 0.7550 level and then the 0.7600 level where a violation will set the stage for a retarget of the 0.7650 level. On the whole, AUDUSD remains biased to the downside medium term.

AUDUSDDaily-1.png
 
EURUSD Bullish, Sees Price Follow-Through

EURUSD: With the pair extending its Wednesday strength on Thursday, further bullishness is likely in the days ahead. Support lies at the 1.1050 level. Further down, support comes in at the 1.1000 level where a violation will aim at the 1.0950 level. A break of here will target the 1.0900 level. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher suggesting further strength. Conversely, on the upside, resistance comes in at 1.1150 level with a cut through here opening the door for more upside towards the 1.1200 level. Further up, resistance lies at the 1.1250 level where a break will expose the 1.1300 level. All in all, EURUSD remains biased to the upside on further recovery.
 
EURUSD Puts In Temporary Bottom, Bullish

EURUSD: With the pair halting its weakness to close higher the past week, we look for more strength to build up in the days ahead. Support lies at the 1.1100 level. Further down, support comes in at the 1.1050 level where a violation will aim at the 1.1000 level. A break of here will target the 1.0950 level. Conversely, on the upside, resistance comes in at 1.1200 level with a cut through here opening the door for more upside towards the 1.1150 level. Further up, resistance lies at the 1.1200 level where a break will expose the 1.1250 level. Its weekly RSI is bullish and pointing higher suggesting further upside pressure. All in all, EURUSD remains biased to the downside in the medium term.

EURUSDWeekly-4.png
 
GOLD: Risk Points Higher Medium Term With Eyes On 1,358.28

GOLD: Having the commodity closed higher the past week, more strength is envisaged. On the downside, support comes in at the 1,340.00 level where a break will turn attention to the 1,330.00 level. Further down, a cut through here will open the door for a move lower towards the 1,320.00 level. Below here if seen could trigger further downside pressure targeting the 1,1310.00 level. Conversely, resistance resides at the 1,360.00 level where a break will aim at the 1,370.00 level. A turn above there will expose the 1,380.00 level. Further out, resistance stands at the 1,390.00 level. All in all, GOLD looks to strengthen further on correction.

XAUUSDDaily-3.png
 
EURUSD: Recovering But With Caution

EURUSD: The pair may have stalled and headed higher on Tuesday but still maintain its medium term downside pressure. Support lies at the 1.1050 level. Further down, support comes in at the 1.1000 level where a violation will aim at the 1.0950 level. A break of here will target the 1.0900 level. Conversely, on the upside, resistance comes in at 1.1150 level with a cut through here opening the door for more upside towards the 1.1200 level. Further up, resistance lies at the 1.1250 level where a break will expose the 1.1300 level. All in all, EURUSD remains biased to the downside in the medium term but faces recovery threats

EURUSDDaily.png
 
USDJPY: Weakens, Remains Vulnerable

USDJPY: With the pair closing lower on Tuesday and extending it on Wednesday, more weakness should build up. On the downside, support comes in at the 101.00 level where a break if seen will aim at the 100.50 level. A cut through here will turn focus to the 100.00 level and possibly lower towards the 99.50 level. On the upside, resistance resides at the 101.50 level. Further out, we envisage a possible move towards the 102.00 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 102.50 level with a turn above here aiming at the 103.00 level. On the whole, USDJPY looks to weaken further.
 
This has already failed to break out above the month's initial trading range (see 02/08 range and retreat from its high on 08/08) so expect only downside in the short term.
 
USDCHF: Weakens With Caution

USDCHF: With the pair closing lower the past week, further weakness is likely. However, we may see an initial run to the upside in the new week. On the downside, support lies at the 0.9700 level. A turn below here will open the door for more weakness towards the 0.9650 level and then the 0.9600 level. Its weekly RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. On the upside, resistance resides at the 0.9800 level where a break will clear the way for more strength to occur towards the 0.9850 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 0.9900 level. All in all, USDCHF remains biased to the downside on correction.

USDCHFWeekly.png
 
EURUSD: Vulnerable Despite Higher Close

EURUSD: Except the pair returns above the 1.1233 level. A move lower cannot be ruled out. Support lies at the 1.1100 level. Further down, support comes in at the 1.1050 level where a violation will aim at the 1.1000 level. A break of here will target the 1.0950 level. Conversely, on the upside, resistance comes in at 1.1250 level with a cut through here opening the door for more upside towards the 1.1300 level. Further up, resistance lies at the 1.1350 level where a break will expose the 1.1400 level. All in all, EURUSD remains biased to the upside on recovery.

EURUSDWeekly.png
 
GBPUSD: Sets Up To Weaken Further Medium Term

GBPUSD: Having the pair continued to weaken, further decline is envisaged in the days ahead. On the downside, support lies at the 1.2900 level where a break will turn attention to the 1.2850 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.2800 level. Below here will set the stage for more weakness towards the 1.2750 level. Conversely, resistance stands at the 1.3000 levels with a turn above here allowing more strength to build up towards the 1.3050 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 1.3100 level followed by the 1.3150 level. On the whole, GBPUSD threatens further downside pressure.

GBPUSDDaily-1.png
 
USDJPY Remains Vulnerable But With Warning

USDJPY: The pair remains vulnerable to the downside despite price hesitation seen on Monday. While the 102 .65 level remains unbroken, our bias remains lower. On the downside, support comes in at the 101.00 level where a break if seen will aim at the 100.50 level. A cut through here will turn focus to the 100.00 level and possibly lower towards the 99.50 level. On the upside, resistance resides at the 101.50 level. Further out, we envisage a possible move towards the 102.00 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 102.50 level with a turn above here aiming at the 103.00 level. On the whole, USDJPY looks to weaken further.

USDJPYDaily-1.png
 
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