FXTechstrategy Team: Forex Analysis

What does January holds for EURUSD having continued to hold its medium term downtrend


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The Week Ahead On USDCHF

USDCHF: Retains Recovery Risk

USDCHF: With the pair taking back almost all of its past week losses to close marginally higher, it faces the risk of a move higher in the new week. On the downside, support comes in at the 0.9550 level. A turn below here will open the door for more weakness to occur towards the 0.9500 level and then the 0.9450 level. A cut through here will open the door for additional weakness towards the 0.9400 level. Resistance resides at the 0.9650 level with a breach targeting the 0.9700 level. A breather may occur here and turn the pair lower but if taken out, expect a push higher towards the 0.9761 level. All in all, the pair remains biased to the upside on further strength.

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Weekly Technical Strategist On EURUSD

EURUSD: Biased To Upside On Recovery.

EURUSD: Having EUR taken back most of its previous week losses to close higher the past week, we could see more recovery occurring. This development leaves risk higher in the new week though with caution. Support lies at the 1.0900 level where a violation will aim at the 1.0850 level. A break of here will aim at the 1.0600 level with a turn below that level targeting the 1.0550 level. Resistance is seen at 1.1050 level with a cut through here opening the door for more downside towards the 1.1100 level. Further up, resistance lies at the 1.1150 level where a break will expose the 1.1200 level. All in all, EUR remains biased to the downside medium term.

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Daily Technical Strategist On GBPJPY

GBPJPY: Triggers Recovery, Eyes More Upside.

GBPJPY: Outlook for the cross remains higher having triggered a strong recovery on Tuesday. We look for more strength to occur towards the 194.00 level. On the upside, resistance lies at the 195.00 level followed by the 196.00 level where a break will aim at the 197.00 level. A cut through here will aim at the 198.00 level. Further out, the 197.00 level comes in as the next resistance. Its daily RSI has turned higher supporting this view. On the downside, support comes in at the 192.00 level where a violation will aim at the 191.00 level. A break below here will target the 190.00 level followed by the 189.00 level. All in all, the cross remains biased to the upside on correction

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Daily Technical Strategist On GBPUSD

GBPUSD: Outlook Remains Higher On Corrective Recovery

GBPUSD: Having continued to hold on to its recovery bias by extending its strength during Wednesday trading session, further move higher is expected. On the upside, resistance resides at the 1.5700 level with a break aiming at the 1.5750 level. A violation will aim at the 1.5800 level and possibly higher towards the 1.5850 level. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher supporting this view. On the downside, support lies at the 1.5600 level where a break if seen will aim at the 1.5550 level. A break of here will turn attention to the 1.5500 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.5450 level. On the whole, GBP looks to retain its recovery bias.

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Special Focus On EURUSD

EURUSD: Sees Price Extension, Eyes The 1.0800 Level

EURUSD: With EUR extending its price weakness during Thursday trading session, threats of further downside pressure is envisaged. Support lies at the 1.0850 level where a violation will aim at the 1.0800 level. A break of here will aim at the 1.0750 level with a turn below that level targeting the 1.0700 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. Conversely, resistance is seen at 1.0950 level with a cut through here opening the door for more downside towards the 1.1000 level. Further up, resistance lies at the 1.1050 level where a break will expose the 1.1100 level. All in all, EUR remains biased to the downside in the medium term.

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Daily Technical Strategist On GBPJPY

GBPJPY: Sets Up To Correct Lower

GBPJPY: The cross remains vulnerable to the downside after failing at higher level prices on Thursday. On the downside, support comes in at the 193.00 level where a violation will aim at the 192.00 level. A break below here will target the 191.00 level followed by the 190.00 level. On the upside, resistance lies at the 194.00 level followed by the 195.00 level where a break will aim at the 196.00 level. A cut through here will aim at the 197.00 level. Further out, the 198.00 level comes in as the next resistance. All in all, the cross remains biased to the downside short term.

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The Week Ahead On USDCHF

USDCHF: Sees Price Hesitation

USDCHF: Broader outlook for USDCHF may be higher but it faces the risk of a move lower following its price hesitation the past week. Resistance resides at the 0.9700 level with a breach targeting the 0.9750 level. A breather may occur here and turn the pair lower but if taken out, expect a push higher towards the 0.9800 level. On the downside, support comes in at the 0.9600 level. A turn below here will open the door for more weakness to occur towards the 0.9550 level and then the 0.9500 level. A cut through here will open the door for additional weakness towards the 0.9450 level. All in all, the pair remains biased to the upside on further strength.

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Weekly Technical Strategist On EURUSD

EURUSD: Loses Upside Momentum, Faces Downside Risk

EURUSD: Having EUR reversed its entire past week gains to close flat, it now faces risk of a move lower in the new week. Support lies at the 1.0900 level where a violation will aim at the 1.0850 level. A break of here will aim at the 1.0600 level with a turn below that level targeting the 1.0550 level. Resistance is seen at 1.1050 level with a cut through here opening the door for more downside towards the 1.1100 level. Further up, resistance lies at the 1.1150 level where a break will expose the 1.1200 level. All in all, EUR remains biased to the downside medium term.

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Daily Technical Strategist On GBPUSD

GBPUSD: Risk Points Lower On Correction

GBPUSD: GBP continues to look vulnerable to the downside on correction with more decline envisaged. On the downside, support lies at the 1.5550 level where a break if seen will aim at the 1.5500 level. A break of here will turn attention to the 1.5450 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.5400 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower leaving risk to the downside. Conversely, resistance lies at the 1.5650 level with a break aiming at the 1.5700 level. A violation will aim at the 1.5750 level and possibly higher towards the 1.5800 level. On the whole, GBP continues to retain its downside bias but with caution.

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Daily Technical Strategist On USDJPY

USDJPY - Vulnerable Below The 124.47/57 Zone

USDJPY - With the pair continuing to maintain below its key resistance at 124.57 level, a move lower should occur. Support resides at the 123.50 level with a turn below here aiming at the 123.00 level. A break will target the 122.50 level. Further out, support comes in at the 122.00 level where a violation will aim at the 121.50 level. Conversely, resistance comes in at the 124.47/57 levels where a break will target the 125.00 level. Below here if seen will aim at the 125.50 level followed by the 126.00 level. On the whole, USDJPY remains exposed to the downside on corrective weakness.

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Daily Technical Strategist On GBPUSD

GBPUSD: Reverses Gain, Eyes Further Upside Pressure

GBPUSD: With GBP reversing its two-day weakness on Wednesday following a strong rally, risk of further move higher is likely. On the downside, support lies at the 1.5550 level where a break if seen will aim at the 1.5500 level. A break of here will turn attention to the 1.5450 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.5400 level. Conversely, on the upside, resistance resides at the 1.5700 level with a break aiming at the 1.5750 level. A violation will aim at the 1.5800 level and possibly higher towards the 1.5850 level. Its daily RSI is has turned suggesting further strength. On the whole, GBP looks to retain its recovery bias.

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Daily Technical Strategist On GBPJPY

GBPJPY: Turns Lower On Price Failure

GBPJPY: The cross turned lower on Thursday taking back most of its Wednesday gains. This development leaves the cross targeting further downside pressure. On the downside, support comes in at the 193.00 level where a violation will aim at the 192.00 level. A break below here will target the 191.00 level followed by the 190.00 level. On the upside, resistance lies at the 195.00 level followed by the 196.00 level where a break will aim at the 197.00 level. A cut through here will aim at the 198.00 level. Further out, the 198.50 level comes in as the next resistance. All in all, the cross remains biased to the upside.

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USDCHF: Closes Higher On Price Extension With Eyes On 0.9900

USDCHF: With USDCHF extending its bullishness the past week, it now faces further upside pressure. However, with its daily hart spotting rejection candles, correction weakness could be seen in the new week. Resistance resides at the 0.9900 level with a breach targeting the 0.9950 level. A breather may occur here and turn the pair lower but if taken out, expect a push higher towards the 1.0000 level. Its weekly RSI is bullish and pointing higher supporting this view. On the downside, support comes in at the 0.9750 level. A turn below here will open the door for more weakness to occur towards the 0.9700 level and then the 0.9650 level. A cut through here will open the door for additional weakness towards the 0.9600 level. All in all, the pair remains biased to the upside medium term.

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EURUSD: Risk Builds Up On With Eyes On 1.1128 Zone

EURUSD: Having EUR taken back most of its previous week losses to close flat the past week, we could see more recovery occurring in the new week. This development leaves risk higher in the new week though with caution. Support lies at the 1.0900 level where a violation will aim at the 1.0850 level. A break of here will aim at the 1.0600 level with a turn below that level targeting the 1.0550 level. Resistance is seen at 1.1050 level with a cut through here opening the door for more downside towards the 1.1100 level. Further up, resistance lies at the 1.1150 level where a break will expose the 1.1200 level. All in all, EUR remains biased to the downside medium term but faces a recovery higher.

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GBPUSD: Sets To Recover Higher On Rejection Candle Formation

GBPUSD: GBP looks to recover higher following its rejection candle print on Friday. This development leaves the immediate risk higher with its lower level charts (see 4 hourly chart) turning higher. On the downside, support lies at the 1.5450 level where a break if seen will aim at the 1.5400 level. A break of here will turn attention to the 1.5350 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.5300 level. Conversely, resistance lies at the 1.5550 level with a break aiming at the 1.5600 level. A violation of that level will open the door for more strength towards the 1.5650 level. Further out, the 1.5700 level comes in as the next upside target. On the whole, GBP faces the risk of a recovery higher on correction.

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USDCAD: Bullish, Looks To Recapture Key Resistance

USDCAD: With the pair reversing its Monday losses on Tuesday to lose strongly higher, it now faces further move higher towards its key resistance at 1.3212 level. We may see price hesitation at that level but if taken our expect more strength to build towards the 1.3200 level followed by the 1.3250 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.3300 level where a turn lower may occur. But if further additional strength is triggered resistance comes in at the 1.3350 level. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher supporting this view. On the downside, support lies at the 1.3100 level followed by the 1.3050 level. Further down, support resides at the 1.3000 level and then the 1.2950 level. All in all, USDCAD remains biased to the upside in the medium term.

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USDCHF: Tumbles Lower On Strong Sell-Off

USDCHF: With USDCHF turning lower on a strong sell-off on Wednesday, it now faces further corrective weakness in the days ahead. On the downside, support comes in at the 0.9700 level. A turn below here will open the door for more weakness to occur towards the 0.9650 level and then the 0.9600 level. A cut through here will open the door for additional weakness towards the 0.9550 level. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing lower supporting this view. Resistance resides at the 0.9800 level with a breach targeting the 0.9850 level. A breather may occur here and turn the pair lower but if taken out, expect a push higher towards the 0.9900 level. All in all, the pair remains biased to the downside on corrective pullback

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USDCAD: Trades Below Key Resistance, Retains Corrective Pullback Bias

USDCAD: Trades Below Key Resistance, Retains Corrective Pullback Bias

USDCAD: With the pair reversing its Tuesday gains to close lower on Wednesday, risk of a follow through lower is envisaged. Despite its present price hesitation downside threat remains while the pair holds below the 1.3100/49 zone. Resistance resides at the 1.3050 level followed by the 1.3100 level. Further out, the 1.3150 level comes in as the next resistance with a break turning attention to the 1.3200 level. Above here if seen will expose the 1.3300 level. On the downside, support lies at the 1.2900 level followed by the 1.2850 level. Further down, support resides at the 1.2800 level and then the 1.2750 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. All in all, USDCAD remains biased to the downside on correction

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EURGBP- Corrective Recovery Remains Intact.

EURGBP- Despite the cross’s price hesitation on Thursday, it continues to maintain its corrective recovery outlook triggered off the 0.6950 low on August 05 2015. On the upside, resistance lies at the 0.7200 level where a violation if seen will turn risk towards the 0.7250 level. Further out, the 0.7300 level comes in as the next upside target followed by the 0.7350 level. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher suggesting further strength. Conversely, support lies at the 0.7100 level where a violation will turn focus to the 0.7050 level. A break below here will expose the 0.7000 level. Further down, support comes in at the 0.6950 level. All in all, the cross is biased to the upside on further corrective recovery.

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EURJPY: Remains On The Offensive With Eyes On 140.00 Level

EURJPY: The cross remains biased to the upside with eyes on its key resistance at the 140.00 level. This is coming on the back of recent bullish offensive following its corrective recovery triggered off the 133.29 level. Resistance lies at the 139.50 level followed by the 139.50 level where a break if seen will threaten further upside towards the 140.00. Further out, resistance resides at the 140.50 level. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher supporting this view. On the downside, support comes in at the 138.00 level where a break will aim at the 137.50 level. A turn below here will target the 137.00 level with a breach turning focus to the 136.50 level. All in all, the cross now faces upside risk on recovery.

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