FXTechstrategy Team: Forex Analysis

What does January holds for EURUSD having continued to hold its medium term downtrend


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Daily Technical Strategist On EURUSD

USDCAD: Maintains Offensive Bias

USDCAD: With USDCAD continuing to retain its broader upside bias, further bullishness is now envisaged. In such a case, it will aim at 1.1097 level. On the upside, resistance is seen at the 1.1150 level followed by the 1.1200 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.1250 level where a turn lower may occur. But if further recovery is triggered resistance comes in at the 1.1150 level. On the downside, support lies at the 1.1050 level followed by the 1.1000 level where a reversal of roles as support is envisaged. Further out, resistance resides at the 1.0950 level and then the 1.0900 level. All in all, USDCAD continues to face further upside risk.

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Daily Technical Strategist On EURJPY

EURJPY: Extends Corrective Pullbacks

EURJPY- With the cross vulnerable and targeting further downside, more decline is envisaged. Support comes in at the 138.50 level where a break will aim at the 138.00 level. A break will target the 137.50 level with a breach turning focus to the 137.00 level. Below here will aim at the 136.50 level. On the upside, resistance resides at the 140.00 level where a break if seen will threaten further upside towards the 140.50. Further out, resistance resides at the 141.00 level where a break will aim at the 141.50. All in all, the cross faces correction weakness risk.

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AUDUSD: Price hesitation Sets In.

AUDUSD: W Though seeing a price hesitation during Friday trading session today, it continues to maintain its broader medium term downside pressure. Support lies at the 0.8750 level. A cut through here will turn attention to the 0.8700 level and then the 0.8650 level where a violation will set the stage for a retarget of the 0.8600 level. On the upside, resistance resides at the 0.8850 level where a breach will aim at the 0.8900 level. Above that level will set the stage for a run at the 0.8950 level with a cut through here resuming its broader uptrend towards the 0.9000 level. All in all, the pair faces further downside risk on correction.

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Daily Technical Strategist On AUDUSD

AUDUSD: Price hesitation Sets In.

AUDUSD: W Though seeing a price hesitation during Friday trading session today, it continues to maintain its broader medium term downside pressure. Support lies at the 0.8750 level. A cut through here will turn attention to the 0.8700 level and then the 0.8650 level where a violation will set the stage for a retarget of the 0.8600 level. On the upside, resistance resides at the 0.8850 level where a breach will aim at the 0.8900 level. Above that level will set the stage for a run at the 0.8950 level with a cut through here resuming its broader uptrend towards the 0.9000 level. All in all, the pair faces further downside risk on correction.

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The Week Ahead On USDCHF

USDCHF: Bullish, Threatens, Further Upside.

USDCHF: With USDCHF closing higher on a follow through higher on the back of its previous week gains, further upside is envisaged. On the upside, resistance resides at the 0.9550 level where a break will aim at the 0.9600 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 0.9650 level. A breather may occur here and turn the pair lower. Its weekly RSI is bullish and pointing higher supporting this view. On the downside, support lies at the 0.9450 level with a break targeting the 0.9400 level and then the 0.9350 level. Further down, support comes in at the 0.9300 level. A cut through here will target the 0.9250 level. All in all, the pair remains biased to the upside medium term.

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Weekly Technical Strategist On EURUSD

EURUSD: Continues To Face Downside Pressure

EURUSD: Outlook for EUR remains lower after extending its weakness below the 1.2700 level the past week. Support lies at the 1.2600 level where a break will expose the 1.2550 level. Below here will pave the way for a move lower towards the 1.2500 level. If this continues, expect further downside to occur towards the 1.2450 level. Its weekly RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. On the upside, resistance lies at the 1.2750 level where a break will aim at the 1.2800 level, its psycho level followed by the 1.2850 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.2900 level. All in all, EUR remains biased to the downside in the medium term.

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Daily Technical Strategist On GBPJPY

GBPJPY: Faces Corrective Pullback Threats

GBPJPY – Although GBPJPY may be holding on to its medium term uptrend, it faces corrective pullback threats. While the 180.70 level continues to hold as resistance, corrective pullback cannot be ruled out. On the downside, support comes in at the 177.00 level where a violation will aim at the 176.50 level. A break below here will target the 176.00 level followed by the 175.50 level. Further down, support lies at the 175.00 level. Resistance lies at the 178.50 level followed by the 179.00 level where a break will aim at the 179.50 level. A cut through here will aim at the 180.00 level. All in all, the cross remains biased to the upside medium term

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GBPJPY: Faces Corrective Pullback Threats

GBPJPY – Although GBPJPY may be holding on to its medium term uptrend, it faces corrective pullback threats. While the 180.70 level continues to hold as resistance, corrective pullback cannot be ruled out. On the downside, support comes in at the 177.00 level where a violation will aim at the 176.50 level. A break below here will target the 176.00 level followed by the 175.50 level. Further down, support lies at the 175.00 level. Resistance lies at the 178.50 level followed by the 179.00 level where a break will aim at the 179.50 level. A cut through here will aim at the 180.00 level. All in all, the cross remains biased to the upside medium term

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GBPJPY: Faces Corrective Pullback Threats - Reminds me a part of the script from the Shipping News.

[Points at dark clouds at the horizon]
Billy: Tell me the headline.
Quoyle: Horizon Fills With Dark Clouds?
Billy: Imminent Storm Threatens Village.
Quoyle: But what if no storm comes?
Billy: Village Spared From Deadly Storm.


My point being you can claim to be right whatever happens. Which is great PR but not particularly useful for trading. You've quoted a bunch of support and resistance levels at the usual half and full century levels, but what you haven't done is suggest how you, yes YOU, will trade depending on what it does around each of these levels. That's left undefined and ambiguous.
 
Daily Technical Strategist On EURJPY

EURJPY: Weakens, Maintains Downside Bias

EURJPY- With EURJPY turning lower on a sell-off during Tuesday trading session, the risk is for more weakness to occur. Support comes in at the 137.50 level where a break will aim at the 137.00 level. A break will target the 136.61 level with a breach turning focus to the 136.00 level. Below here will aim at the 135.50 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. On the upside, resistance resides at the 138.50 level where a break if seen will threaten further upside towards the 138.92. Further out, resistance resides at the 139.50 level where a break will aim at the 140.00. All in all, the cross continues to face correction weakness risk.

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Daily Technical Strategist On EURGBP

EURGBP- Bearish, Threatens Further Downside

EURGBP- We continue to hold our downside bias on the cross as it continues to maintain its bearishness. On the downside, support lies at the 0.7800 level where a break will expose the 0.7780 level. Further down, support comes in at the 0.7750 level where a violation will turn attention to the 0.7700 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. On the upside, resistance lies at the 0.7900 level where a violation if seen will turn focus to the 0.7950 level. All in all, the cross is biased to the downside in the medium term.


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Daily Technical Strategist On EURJPY

EURJPY: Bearish, Vulnerable

EURJPY- While the cross continues to hold on to its downside pressure, further decline is possible. However, we think a correction higher cannot be ruled out. Support comes in at the 137.00 level where a break will aim at the 136.50 level. A break will target the 137.00 level with a breach turning focus to the 136.00 level. Below here will aim at the 135.50 level. On the upside, resistance resides at the 138.00 level where a break if seen will threaten further upside towards the 138.50. Further out, resistance resides at the 139.00 level where a break will aim at the 139.50. All in all, the cross faces correction weakness risk.

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Yen gained a bit of momentum today climbing to 137.67 as traders wait for the Bank of Japan decision due tomorrow.
 
Daily Technical Strategist On USDCAD

USDCAD: USDCAD: Corrective Pullback Not Yet Over.

USDCAD: With the pair weakening strongly on correction on Monday, it face further downside pressure. Despite price hesitation corrective bias remains. On the downside, support lies at the 1.1100 level followed by the 1.1050 level where a reversal of roles as support is envisaged. Further out, resistance resides at the 1.1000 level and then the 1.0950 level. On the upside, resistance is seen at the 1.1200 level followed by the 1.1250 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.1300 level where a turn lower may occur. But if further recovery is triggered resistance comes in at the 1.1350 level All in all, USDCAD continues to face further upside risk.

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Daily Technical Strategist On EURUSD

EURUSD: Eyes Further Upside On Recovery

EURUSD: With EUR remaining biased to the upside on recovery, further strength is envisaged. Support lies at the 1.2570 level where a break will expose the 1.2500 level. Below here will pave the way for a move lower towards the 1.2450 level. If this continues, expect further downside to occur towards the 1.2400 level. On the upside, resistance lies at the 1.2750 level where a break will aim at the 1.2800 level, its psycho level followed by the 1.2850 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.2900 level. All in all, EUR remains biased to the downside in the medium term.

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Daily Technical Strategist On EURUSD

EURUSD: Eyes Further Upside On Recovery

EURUSD: With EUR remaining biased to the upside on recovery, further strength is envisaged. Support lies at the 1.2570 level where a break will expose the 1.2500 level. Below here will pave the way for a move lower towards the 1.2450 level. If this continues, expect further downside to occur towards the 1.2400 level. On the upside, resistance lies at the 1.2750 level where a break will aim at the 1.2800 level, its psycho level followed by the 1.2850 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.2900 level. All in all, EUR remains biased to the downside in the medium term.

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Daily Technical Strategist On USDCHF

USDCHF: Bearish, Extends Weakness

USDCHF: With the pair remaining vulnerable to the downside and extending its weakness during Thursday trading session, we look for more decline to occur. On the downside, support lies at the 0.9450 level with a break targeting the 0.9400 level and then the 0.9350 level. Further down, support comes in at the 0.9300 level. A cut through here will target the 0.9250 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. On the upside, resistance resides at the 0.9532 level where a break will aim at the 0.9595 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 0.9650 level. A breather may occur here and turn the pair lower. All in all, the pair remains biased to the downside on correction

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Daily Technical Strategist On AUDUSD

AUDUSD: Declines, Targets Further Downside

AUDUSD: Having turned lower off its higher prices following an end to its correction on Thursday, further decline is now seen. Support lies at the 0.8650 level with a cut through here turning attention to the 0.8600 level and then the 0.8550 level where a violation will set the stage for a retarget of the 0.8500 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. On the upside, resistance resides at the 0.8800 level where a breach will aim at the 0.8850 level. Above that level will set the stage for a run at the 0.8900 level with a cut through here resuming its broader uptrend towards the 0.8950 level. All in all, the pair faces further downside risk.

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The Week Ahead On USDCHF

USDCHF: Weakens But With Caution

USDCHF: With the pair closing lower the past week, it faces further downside pressure. However, on the daily chart that weakness seem to have been halted suggesting a resumption of its broader upside could be developing. On the downside, support lies at the 0.9500 level with a break targeting the 0.9450 level and then the 0.9400 level. Further down, support comes in at the 0.9350 level. A cut through here will target the 0.9300 level. On the upside, resistance resides at the 0.9680 level where a break will aim at the 0.9750 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 0.9800 level. A breather may occur here and turn the pair lower. All in all, the pair remains biased to the upside in the medium term despite recovery threats.

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Weekly Technical Strategist On EURUSD

EURUSD: Recovers Higher On Correction

EURUSD: Except EUR returns above the 1.2791 level, it faces a possible reversal of its corrective recovery triggered the past week. Support lies at the 1.2550 level where a break will expose the 1.2500 level. Below here will pave the way for a move lower towards the 1.2300 level. If this continues, expect further downside to occur towards the 1.2250 level. On the upside, resistance lies at the 1.2791 level where a break will aim at the 1.200 level, its psycho level followed by the 1.2650 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.2700 level. All in all, EUR remains biased to the downside in the medium term.

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GOLD: Faces Recovery Risk

GOLD: With GOLD triggering a recovery higher the past week, further bullishness is expected in the new week. However, its Thursday and Friday trading activities may suggest a halt in that recovery. On the upside, resistance lies at the 1,250.00 level where a break will target the 1,280.00 level followed by the 1,300.00 level. A cut through here will extend gains towards the 1,330.00 level. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher supporting this view. On the downside, support stands at the 1,200.00 level. Below here could trigger further downside towards the 1,170.00 level where a break will aim at the 1,150.00 level. A break will target the 1,100.00 level. All in all, GOLD remains biased to the downside in the medium term though facing recovery threats.

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