FXTechstrategy Team: Forex Analysis

What does January holds for EURUSD having continued to hold its medium term downtrend

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Daily Technical Strategist On EURUSD

EURUSD: Halts Decline, Recovers Higher.

EURUSD: With EUR halting its Monday losses and triggering a recovery, the challenge is for it to retake the 1.3772 level broken during Monday trading. If eventually this is seen, further gains could occur towards the 1.3824 level, its Feb 28 2014 high. Above here will pave the way for a run at the 1.3893 level, its Dec 27 2013 high. A turn above here will expose the 1.3950 level and next the 1.4000 level. On the downside, support lies at the 1.3720 level with a violation of here targeting the 1.3698 level, its Feb 28 2014 low where a break will turn focus to the 1.3642 level , its psycho level. A cut through here will aim at the 1.3561 level, its Feb 12 2014 level. All in all, EUR remains biased to the upside in the medium term.
 
Daily Technical Strategist On EURUSD

USDJPY: Bull Pressure Builds Up

USDJPY: With the pair seen building on its Tuesday rally, further bullish offensive is expected towards the 102.82 level. A cut through here will pave the away for a run at the 103.43 level, its Jan 29 2014 high. Above here will set the stage for a push further higher towards the 104.oo level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 104.50 level and then the 105.00 level, its psycho level. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher supporting this view. Support comes in at the 102.00 level, its psycho level. Further down, support stands at the 101.50 level followed by the 100.00 level with a cut through here opening the door for a run at the 99.50 level. A loss of that level will turn attention to the 99.00 level, its big psycho level. On the whole, USDJPY remains exposed to the upside on further strength

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USDCHF: Bearish, Eyes Further Downside With Caution

USDCHF: With USDCHF giving back its earlier gains for the week to close lower marginally lower the past week, more decline is likely in the week. This is with a lot of caution. Support comes in at the 0.8700 level, its psycho level. Below here will set the stage for further weakness towards the 0.8650 level. Further down, support is located at the 0.8600 level and then the 0.8568 level. Its weekly RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. On the other hand, resistance resides at the 0.8895 level where a break will clear the way for a run at the 0.8950 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 0.9050/81 levels followed by the 0.9100 level. All in all, the pair remains biased to the downside medium term.

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EURUSD: Maintains Bullish Tone

EURUSD: Having closed strongly higher for a fourth week in a row, further bullish offensive is likely. As long as it can trade and hold above the 1.3824 level, we look for the pair to strengthen further towards the 1.3914 level where a violation will turn attention to the 1.3950 level and then the 1.4000 level, its psycho level. Its weekly RSI is bullish and pointing higher supporting this view. Conversely, support lies at the 1.3824 level where a break will expose the 1.3772 level. Further down, support lies at the 1.3685 level followed by the 1.3600 level and then the 1.3561 level. All in all, EUR remains biased to the upside on further recovery.

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USDJPY: Bearish On Corrective Pullbacks.

USDJPY: The pair has triggered a correction and looks to extend it further in the days ahead. On the downside, support comes in at the 102.26 level, its Feb 26’2014 high. Further down, support stands at 101.50 level and then the 101.00 level with a turn below here switching focus to the 100.75 level, its Feb 04 2014 low. It daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower suggesting further weakness. On the other hand, resistance is initially seen at the 103.09 level where a break will target the 103.75 level. A cut through here will pave the way for a run at the 104.50 level and then the 105.00 level. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher suggesting further strength. On the whole, USDJPY remains exposed to the downside on correction.

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EURUSD: Bullish, Resumes Long Term Uptrend.

EURUSD: With EUR following through higher on the back of its Wednesday gains, further strength is likely. Resistance resides at the 1.4000 level where we may see the bears come in and push the pair lower. However, if this fails to occur, further strength could build up towards the 1.4050 level, its psycho level. Further out, resistance lies at the 1.4100 level. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher supporting this view. On pullbacks, support comes in at the 1.3914 level where a reversal of roles as support is likely. Further down, support stands at the 1.3824 level where a break will expose the 1.3772 level. Additionally, support lies at the 1.3685 level followed by the 1.3600 level and then the 1.3561 level. All in all, EUR remains biased to the upside long term.

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USDCHF: Bearish, Sees Further Weakness.

USDCHF: With the pair extending its weakness the past week, further downside is expected in the new week. However, it may begin to look for corrective recovery since the mentioned weakness is overextended. On the other hand, support comes in at the 0,8698 level with a break and hold below here resuming its medium term downtrend towards the 0.8650 level. Further down, support is located at the 0.8600 level and then the 0.8568 level and then the 0.8500 level. On the upside, resistance resides at the 0.8804 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 0.8895 level where a break will clear the way for a run at the 0.8950 level. On a break of here, resistance stands at the 0.9050/81 levels followed by the 0.9100 level. All in all, the pair remains biased to the downside medium term but faces recovery risk.

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EURUSD: Bullish But With Caution

EURUSD: Having EUR managed to closed higher the past week after testing a high of 1.3966 level, risk points higher. However, with the 1.4000 level resistance nearby it may continue to fail ahead of that level with downside risk envisaged. Resistance resides at the 1.3966 level, its Mar 13 2014 high with a cut through there paving the way for a run at the 1.4000 level, its big psycho level. We expect bears to come in here and turn it lower but if eventually violated further upside is likely. Conversely, resistance resides at the 1.4050 level and then the 1.4100 level. On the downside, support lies at the 1.3833 level and then the 1.3800 level. Below here will aim at the 1.3772 level. Further down, support comes in at the 1.3685 level. All in all, EUR remains biased to the upside on further recovery.

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AUDUSD: Rallies, Pressure Builds On The 0.9102 Level

AUDUSD: With the pair rallying, the risk is for more strength to occur towards the 0.9102 level, its Mar 13 2014 high. A break and hold above here will turn focus to the 0.9132 level, representing its Mar 07 2014 high. Further out, resistance resides at the 0.9200 level, its psycho level. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher suggesting further strength. On the other hand, in case of a pullback, support lies at the 0.9049 level where a break if seen will aim at the 0.9000 level, its big psycho level. Further down, support comes in at the 0.8923 level, its Mar 12 2014 low where a breach will expose the 0.8900 level. All in all, the pair remains biased to the upside on further bull risks.

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GBPUSD: Bear Threats Seen

GBPUSD: Bear Threats Seen

GBPUSD: With GBP remaining weak and vulnerable to the downside, further weakness is likely. Support lies at the 1.6567 level with a break turning focus to the downside towards the 1.6500 level, its psycho level. A cut through here will pave the way for a run at the 1.6450 level. Further down, support comes in at 1.6400 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. Conversely, resistance resides at the 1.6718 level where a breach if seen will set the stage for a run at the 1.6785 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.6822 level with a turn above here opening the door for a run at the 1.6850 level and then the 1.6900 level. On the whole, GBP continues to retain its downside vulnerability.

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Daily Technical Strategist On EURUSD

EURUSD: Declines, Follow Through Lower

EURUSD: With EUR extending its sell off during Thursday trading session today, further weakness is expected in the days ahead. On the downside, support lies at the 1.3700 level and then the 1.3631 level. Below here will aim at the 1.3561 level. Further down, support comes in at the 1.3500 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower suggesting further downside. On the other hand, if recovery occurs, resistance resides at the 1.3844 level and then the 1.3900 level, its psycho level followed by the 1.3966 level, its Mar 13 2014 high. A cut through there will pave the way for a run at the 1.4000 level, its big psycho level. We expect bears to come in here and turn it lower but if eventually violated further upside is likely. Other resistance levels are seen at the 1.4050 and the 1.4100 level. All in all, EUR remains biased to the downside shorter term

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Daily Technical Strategist On EURGBP

EURGBP- With EURGBP halting its weakness and triggering corrective recovery higher, the risk is for more strength to occur. Immediate upside target resides at the 0.8397 level where a breach will set the stage for a run at the 0.8450 level and subsequently the 0.8500 level, its psycho level. Its daily RSI is bullish and pointing higher supporting this view. On the other hand, support comes in at the 0.8328 level where a break will expose the 0.8300 level. Further down, support lies at the 0.8247 level where a violation will pave for a move towards the 0.8197 level. A turn below here if seen will open the door for a return to the 0.8157 level, its Feb 17 2014 low. All in all, the cross has halted its weakness and now looks to extend that strength

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The Week Ahead - USDCHF

USDCHF: With the pair closing higher following its price halt the past week, the risk is for more gains to occur. However, the situation on the daily chart is different as its mentioned rally has printed a reversal candle (shooting star) suggesting it may be tough for USDCHF strengthen further for now. If it cannot go up we think it should head lower on correction. Support comes in at the 0.8768 level where a violation will turn focus to the 0.8698 level. Further down, support is located at the 0.8600 level and then the 0.8568 level followed by the 0.8500 level. On the upside, resistance resides at the 0.8868 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 0.8895 level where a break will clear the way for a run at the 0.8950 level. On a break of here, resistance stands at the 0.9050/81 levels. All in all, the pair remains biased to the downside medium term though attempting a recovery.

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Weekly Technical Strategist On EURUSD

EURUSD: Closes Lower On Sell Off.

EURUSD: With EUR triggering weakness the past week to close lower at the end of the week, further decline is likely. However, we are watching out for signs of corrective recovery in the new week. Support lies at the 1.3749 level. Further down, support comes in at the 1.3685 level where a violation will target the 1.3600 level. Its weekly RSI is bearish and pointing lower supporting this view. Conversely, on recovery higher, the pair will aim at the 1.3844 level. Further out, resistance resides at the 1.3900 level where a violation will aim at the 1.3966 level followed by the 1.4000 level. All in all, EUR remains biased to the upside on further recovery.

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Daily Technical Strategist On GBPUSD

GBPUSD: Consolidates, Looks For A Bottom

GBPUSD: GBP continues to look for a bottom to signal a correction. If this occurs, further upside should build up towards the 1.6589 level where a breach if seen will set the stage for a run at the 1.6653 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 1.6718 level with a turn above here opening the door for a run at the 1.6785 level and then the 1.6822 level. On the other hand, support lies at the 1.6425 level with a break turning focus to the downside towards the 1.6350 level, its psycho level. A cut through here will pave the way for a run at the 1.6300 level and then the 1.6250 level. On the whole, GBP continues to retain its downside vulnerability but recovery risks are envisaged.

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USDJPY: Looks For Directional Trigger

USDJPY: The pair remains trapped in a range as it looks to create directional moves. This development leaves it vulnerable to the downside possibly towards the 101.27 level. Below here will expose the 100.75 level with a violation aiming at the 100.00 level and subsequently the 99.50 level. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower suggesting further decline. On the upside, resistance resides at the 102.62 level. A cut through here will aim at the 103.00 level and then the 103.50 level, its psycho level. On the whole, USDJPY faces downside pressure on correction.

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EURGBP – Bearish, Extends Sell Off

EURGBP- With a third day of decline now underway, the cross looks to weaken further in the days ahead. Support lies at the 0.8250 level where a break will expose the 0.8230 level. Further down, support resides at the 0.8200 level where a break will pave the way for a run at the 0.8157 level, its Feb 17 2014 low. Its daily RSI is bearish and pointing lower suggesting further weakness. Conversely, resistance resides at the 0.8300 level where a break will pave the way for a run at the 0.8350 level. A cut through here set the stage for a move higher towards the 0.8399 level. Further out, resistance comes in at the 0.8450 level and then the 0.8500 level. All in all, the cross remains biased to the downside on bearishness.

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