So, the pound got its obligatory rally last week. Question here is will it revisit August highs or April lows? Trendlines (or just one) can help. If you're following the #/$ and you haven't drawn a trendline from April lows to last week's lows, you might want to. How that trendline holds up might tilt the market's hand. If we break that trendline before price makes new highs, we could be very well looking at Jan 2009 lows (remember, the candle should close below the line - I'm talking daily.) Does anyone think the dollar has that kind of strength? Hell, I don't know. I would think the pound would gain some strength with the US markets tumbling (and there's more gas in that can!) Should be an exciting fall season.
If you're short NOW, look to cover at 1.5416, maybe even down to 1.536. Longs COULD push this to 1.5536, but I have a feeling we'll see the downside first.