Hey Everyone! I have been on quite the adventure and not on T2W in a while... and it looks like I missed some good posts
Anyways, to clear things up... my name is really Jeremi... and what I have been saying is true for my experiences at the moment. I do believe I am intelligent (but humble). I have a strong background in biology and in January of this year I moved to Brisbane to start medical school at University of Queensland. I started trading as a way to establish financial freedom and hopefully pay for the $200,000 of debt I will build in the next 4 years. I may be utterly optimistic at times and make life, and trading, sound all joyous... but I can say that I do not lie, scam, cheat, etc...
For the past 7 months I have been trying to understand the markets in so many ways. Let me update you on my progresses, bumps & falls...
For starters, I blew my second attempt at E-Mini's... even with the TI signals. Why... because of poor money management & psychology. So I decided to attempt Foreign Exchange (FX) with TI as you can trade 10 cents a point. A $5 loss is so much easier than a $75 loss. I traded nearly 16 hours a day following TI, reading about the markets, etc... I was trying to find some magical formula to predict market direction. I tried all the signals, all the time frames, tried reading candlesticks, tried using trend lines, support & resistance lines, etc...
In the end... I just kept loosing money. The TI room for FX was a complete joke. If you want to know how they trade... just sell G/U, E/U, A/U, E/J, and G/J at an 80 pip gain, 50 pip loss at 10am and 4pm everyday... That is how they trade. You don't need a trading room because that is what they did... for over 2 months. Not one trade was ever a buy. I would get so frustrated when 4 trades went -50. Once is a while you would walk out on a day where you were up 300 pips! But over the week you would average like 50 pips... And then a loss at times too. Again... I was only losing 10 cents a pip... but still.
So I quit. I was so frustrated and mad that I quit. I didn't understand it and I felt it was a joke... it was just a gamble... that it was impossible... But I only quit for 2 weeks. I actually requested a refund from TI for reasons I mentioned in previous posts... misleading consumers. Still in the process of trying to get it!!! Lol...
Anyways, the point of this post is this. I have really thought about the markets. I got sim accounts and tried everything. Ironically... the best strategy that worked was just blindly selling everything with a 15 pip gain 30 pip loss.... I literally doubled my sim account in 2 days. But of course in time that even failed.
So what have I learned over the months. Here is the important part for all those that are new to trading. These are the golden keys that I have read over and over in one form or another in so many posts & books from Great Traders!
1.) You can NOT perfect any market. If you try you will lose. So if you are a perfectionist... give it up. Stop trying to get every pip possible out of each trade... and guess exactly when a trade/market will turn.
2.) The market is COMPLETELY unpredictable. It is statistically probable... but unpredictable... You have to not only understand this, but accept this. When you do... you will be so far ahead. Why did the market suddenly turn and go the opposite direction? Who knows, who cares... Maybe in hind sight you can see why... but it is impossible to know before. You will go crazy trying to figure it out.
3.) Learn how to lose. Accept that you will take small loses frequently. It goes with the above two. some days you may hit all 10 trades you place. Other it might be 5 or even 4 trades win... with 6 losing. Just make sure that when this happens you have the odds in your favor so that your wins are just a little more than your losses. That way if you do lose 6 and your profit/loss is set to 60/40... you are at break even.
One additional lesson I learned from TI is to be consistent. I pondered why the moderator ALWAYS sold the currancy at an 80 profit 50 loss. Day after day, month after month. I finally figured out this final key!
The markets are not predictable... so if you are... at some point the markets will follow your predictability. So do the same thing, every time, all the time.
So... in the end I discovered that it doesn't matter what signal you use, what manner your trade in, etc... None of it matters. None of them are better than each other. What matters is that you become predictable, accept that you will lose, accept that you can not predict the market, and know that you will never be perfect. I half knew this when I started, but it took me nearly 8 months of headache and severe emotional distress to just accept these things. I have not given up trading the Foreign Exchange... but I have also not made a lot of money. But I do know that once it clicks, the potential that is waiting there is going to be so great that everything will be ok.
In the near future I am going to be posting some threads on my ideas and strategies to see what others think/have tried. Thanks everyone for the support/criticism. See you all soon!