FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 17th March, 2016 By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
AUDUSD broke above resistance at 0.7600
Since two months there is a bull market on AUDUSD. Today price broke above resistance at 0.7600 and right now is leading to next resistance at 0.7880. Before test of indicated level it is likely that price will re-test 0.7600 again, but this time test will be from the top.
Wider view, time-frame W1
For last 3 years AUD/USD has moved in a downtrend. Return above 0.7600 is a first signal that trend is reversing. However only break above 0.8150 confirms it. As we can see on weekly chart huge problem for bulls will occur at 0.7880. In this area resistance and upper limit of downward channel coincide.
Time-frame D1
Time-frame W1
Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 17th March, 2016 By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
EURUSD - fight at 1.1330 resistance area
EURUSD sharply moved up after FOMC meeting where Janet Yellen FED's chair was very dovish. For last 24 hours price moved up by 300 pips. So far high from February wasn't tested however it is a matter of time that level 1.1380 will be re-tested.
If price continues upward movement the biggest problem for demand will be 1.1490 level. That level was tested only once since last 14 months and there price should rebound and start correction. Alternatively if falls occur earlier nearest supports will be located at 1.1200, 1.1070.
Time-frame H4
Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 18th March, 2016 By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
GBPCAD new 10-months low
Since the beginning of the March GBPCAD moved up in correction. Rebound wasn't very strong because upward movement didn't reach even to Fibonacci 38.2% level. Correction finished on Wednesday when new low occurred. Yesterday price reacted at support and 1.8680 level has been defended.
However right now it is very hard to see any bullish signal and it is more likely that new downtrend wave will occur and GBPCAD will test support at 1.8140 level.
Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 18th March, 2016 By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
OIL WTI - nearest target for upward movement is 43.20
Rebound at OIL WTI is in progress. After new low on 11 February, when price reached to 26.00 rebound occurred and it lasts for today. At chart we can indicate uptrend channel in which price is moving.
Currently upper limit of that channel is at 42.00 and there should occur some correction. However bigger falls may start when price will test area 43.20. If OIL breaks below support at 38.00 it will be a signal that upward movement was finished.
Time-frame H4
Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 21st March, 2016 By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
USDCAD at key level
USDCAD is continuing downward movement which was started in mid-January 2016. Currently further direction of the main uptrend is endangered. Because uptrend line was broken (that line was respected since 2012), return above 1.3200 - 1.3250 area should be treated as a bullish signal. It will inform that demand returned to the market.
Above this area price will be safe again over long-term uptrend line and also short-term downtrend line will be broken (dotted blue line at the chart). Nearest support: 1.2840, Nearest resistances: 1.3050, 1.3410.
Time-frame H4
Time-frame W1
Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
Since almost two weeks AUDCHF is moving inside a triangle. Its breakout will show further direction of price movement. It should occur soon because inside the triangle there is only 100 pips left (0.7330 - 0.7430 range).
Current chart prefers continuation of upward movement because the triangle pattern is a trend continuation pattern. Furthermore on March 10 price reached 11-months high and AUDCHF right now is just below that level. Key level for demand is located at 0.7540. Break above that level allows new uptrend wave. Alternatively if declines occur nearest support will be located at 0.7300.
Time-frame H1
Time-frame D1
Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 22nd March, 2016 By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
GBPUSD - sharp decline after attack in Brussels
Current week began with declines at GBPUSD. Yesterday support at 1.4400 was broken below and today just after attack in Brussels dollar strengthened vs most of the currencies. GBPUSD broke below another support at 1.4300 and right now it is leading towards 1.4220 - 1.4150.
It has to be noted that just after that kind of news emotions are winning and all of the movements that occurred will be corrected later.
At the chart you can see bullish regression channel which lasts from 3 weeks. Lower limit of the channel is located at 1.4150.
Time-frame H4
Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 22nd March, 2016 By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
SILVER - downtrend line was broken at weekly time-frame
Today's terror at Brussels caused temporary volatility, which was corrected in next trading hours. On silver volatility was huge. After sharp upward movement in the morning, decline and rebound occurred which lead price to daily high.
At time-frame H1 we can see a bullish regression channel and lower limit of that channel is located at 15.40 area. Above that area there is 15.70 (current nearest support). It has to be noted that uptrend on silver continues since December 2015. Important level for demand is located at 116.10, after break above that level price should fast reach 10-months high.
Wider view, time-frame W1
Since 3 months silver is moving in uptrend (new local highest highs and highest lows) but in a long term situation looks worse. Since many years silver moved in downtrend. Breaking the trend line is the first positive signal that demand is trying to reverse. Currently important job to do is to break above resistance at 16.10 and reach above 16.50 which will set new 10-months high.
Time-frame H1
Time-frame W1
Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 23rd March, 2016 By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
GBPAUD - after short break price is continuing downward movement
Last week support at 1.8820 caused rebound which was finished just after two days and at the beginning of current week price returned to declines. Declines lasts since August 2015 and there wasn't any bigger rebound in this period. The support at 1.8820 yesterday was broken and today supply is trying to break another support (but weaker) at 1.8620.
It is likely that this level won't stop declines and another level which may cause rebound is located at 1.8390. This level is strengthened by 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of previous upward movement.
Time-frame H4
Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 23rd March, 2016 By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
EURUSD reached support at 1.1160 strengthened by Fibonacci 61,8%
Since last Thursday EURUSD is sliding down without any hints on the next movement. Declines are very small relative to some previous movements. Today price reached very interesting level, which has a chance to prepare field for a rebound. Mentioned level is 1.1160, it is support strengthened by Fibonacci 61,8% of previous upward movement (it was just after FED's meeting).
However if rebound occurs nearest resistance will be at 1.1200. Next resistances are located at 1.1260, 1.1330 (last week's high). Alternatively if supply breaks indicated level nearest supports will be located at 1.1110 and much stronger at 1.1070.
Time-frame H1
Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 24th March, 2016 By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
USDJPY - rebound in progress
In last analysis I indicated the triangle pattern, as you can see it was broken down. After that declines accelerated, however once again support at 110.90 stopped them and caused rebound. Since the beginning of current week price is moving up and resistance at 111.70 was successfully broken.
Nearest resistances are located at 113.30, 114.50. If one of indicated levels cause rebound nearest supports will be located at levels: 112.70, 112.30, 111.70.
Time-frame H4
Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 24th March, 2016 By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
EURGBP - 16-months high
Since the beginning of December 2015 EURGBP moved in strong uptrend. Short correction which started one month ago probably was finished. New 16-months high confirms that correction was ended.
If price keeps standing above 0.7910 next important resistances will be located at 0.8000 and 0.8150 (strong resistance and long term downtrend line which connects highs since January 2009 coincide in this area). Alternatively if current level breaks and new wave of declines occurs nearest supports will be located at 0.7860, 0.7800, 0.7770, 0.7700.
Time-frame H4
Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 25th March, 2016 By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
GBPCAD - support at 1.8540 stopped declines
Last week supply tried again to broke support at 1.8540 but that attempt failed. Since Wednesday rebound is in progress and upward movement should test at least 1.8830 area. If bulls will be strong enough even 1.9080 level may be tested. Currently there isn't any positive signs for bulls.
Only when price breaks 1.9080 level there will be a bigger chance for a trend reversal. It is likely that in a mid-time support at 1.8540 will be broken and GBPCAD will test 1.8400 or even 1.8140. At this strong support there is a bigger chance that rebound will occur.
Time-frame D1
Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 29th March, 2016 By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
EURGBP
This analysis is a continuation of previous one, published on Thursday 24th of March. Since then, EUR/GBP has failed in getting through the last high resistance and corrected a bit. Of course, since last Thursday we had weekend and Easter which froze the market, but during Monday session EUR/GBP touched first demand zone and it does it twice.
Today we're witnessing another test of gold area which is first demand zone on the chart. It has been tested couple of times in the past, both from up and down. We are also really close to the medium term trend line which was tested 4 times since the begining of March.
It seems that we might see another move up, which should lead us to another test of previous resistance. If supply will be stronger than buyers, then we might have a breakthrough. In this scenario, short positions after retest of blue trendline will be preffered.
Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 29th March, 2016 By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
Crude oil tests the price gap
On the daily chart of May contracts for crude oil, we can see that price once again tested the support area defined by weekend price gap sketched between March 4-7 (ranging over 1.5USD). Declines reached the above mentioned zone after a failed test of resistance level which is determined thanks to the October 2015 lows (42.58).
In this place it is worth watching for further developments – so far there is no indication of the stronger rebound (price stopped at the gap’s upper limit almost to the point), but the situation may change during the next trading sessions. Especially that current week brings a number of important macro data reading which should guarantee higher volatility.
D1 Timeframe
Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 30th March, 2016 By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
EURUSD - the test of March's high
After side trend in which EURUSD moved for a few days (just above 1.1160 level), finally new upward wave occurred. Yesterday first resistance at 1.1200 was broken and a direct cause of larger volatility was yesterday's public speech of Janet Yellen. Chair of the FED indicated anxiety of the low inflation and she said that Federal Reserve has tools to fight with this problem. This could mean a significant extension of the period of low interest rates in the US.
EURUSD sharply moved up and today price is testing 1.1330 (which is March's high). Right now it is likely that price will reach 1.1380 level which is next resistance. After successful breakout of that level price would be at 5-month high. It has to be noted that at the level 1.1490 there is an upper limit of consolidation, in which EURUSD moves over a year.
Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 30th March, 2016 By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
GBPUSD - above resistance 1.4400
After last week’s selloff at GBPUSD which started after terrorist attacks in Brussels, declines reached support at 1.4070. Declines were finished last Thursday after local double bottom pattern and bullish candle (at time-frame H4) with long lower shadow. Demand took over control during end of last week but current week it was a capitulation of supply.
In the last three days demand broke resistance at 1.4200 and today price reached above 1.4400. In the long term the technical situation on the chart continues to favour supply. Because there aren't new higher highs and higher lows which should confirm uptrend. Right now important job for demand is to break above march's high (moves above 1.4514 level). Nearest supports: 1.4400, 1.4290, 1.4200. Nearest resistances: 1.4500, 1.4600.
Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 04th April, 2016 By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
USDCAD back to touch highs as it underpinned long-term support
The USDCAD decreased for nine consecutive weeks as the pair hits fresh 2016 lows near 1.2857. This long-term support level provides signals of a reversal trend as the USDCAD touched 1.2832 lows in October 2015. Thus prices are expected to comeback as the pair breaks 1.3075 reaching 1.3090 and 1.3125 respectively.
However, we could see a further downside direction awaiting crude oil movements and Canadian employment data. Cutting 1.3015 as a major support level will push the USDCAD lower toward 1.2995, 1.2960 and 1.2940 as next support levels.
Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 04th April, 2016 By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
EURUSD further upside direction
The EURUSD started pushing higher after Yellen’s comments last week. The EURUSD is attempting to have a bullish breakout after an increase in US unemployment rate producing a slack in US labor market especially as the price cuts 1.1400 as a strong resistance. Thus next resistances are located at 1.1440 and 1.1470.
However, the ECB easing decisions might push the EURUSD lower and trading below 1.1387 will send bearish signals testing 1.1365, 1.1345 and 1.1330 as next support levels.
Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
FxGrow Daily Technical Analysis – 05th April, 2016 By FxGrow Research & Analysis Team
AUDUSD rallied as RBA kept lending rate steady
The AUDUSD traded higher as the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) weakens rate cut expectations and kept lending rate unchanged at 2%. Breaking 0.7640 increases to 0.7675 as a major resistance level and cutting this point will produce a bullish momentum targeting 0.7723 and 0.7745 respectively.
However, the AUDUSD was testing support point near 0.7570 and breaking 0.7555 will support the near term reversal touching 0.7520 and 0.7485.
Note: This analysis is intended to provide general information and does not constitute the provision of INVESTMENT ADVICE. Investors should, before acting on this information, consider the appropriateness of this information having regard to their personal objectives, financial situation or needs. We recommend investors obtain investment advice specific to their situation before making any financial investment decision.
