Daily Dax

Dax looked a bit confusing to me tfirst thing..
inretrospect the 4870 area
was probably a good area to asdd to shorts..

I can see it sliding down slowly during the the morning.
or trading 60-70 at best..
 
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Joules MM1...heeding your comments

much appreciated


Zeloe the trouble with ranges is that they get broken...
 
I know. Target 4750 (based on weekly chart and moving averages) . We will see.
I'm using bow tie strategy from Dave Landry on dax intraday.
 
Dax still looks like it prefers to go lower
and 4812 might be a good place to add to a short position...
 
took some profits down in the 4802-4808 area...
some support not suprisingly in the 4800 area
 
Joules MM1

I have been looking at those fibs... you mentioned...
if as you say this is just a counter trend rally
infact drawing a fib down from the 8137 high in Mar 2000 to the low
of Mar 2003 we have retraced 50% of that allmost to the point

also the Mar 03 lows to the recent high..23.6% retracement of that takes us back down to 4443..is that where you get 4456- 4516 from as a smallish band above that

Unless I am barking up the wrong tree

David
 
Following on from last night..Dax seems to have support in the 4800 area..
small long at 4797

However heeding another posters advice :)
am now looking for a medium term short

but we will need to see some strength though before
I am comfortable with that
 
Closed my longs at 4820
More nervous to the long side
or cautoius perhaps

+23 and +17
 
Starting to look like my long close
might have been a nice short entry point
certainly 5200 ftse seemed more obvoius at the time
 
Looks overdone small long 4771

though rather have had the short from 4820 :-(
 
Very useful information thanks for taking the trouble to post it

Probable retracement on Fibonacci..
based on the recent high is giving us 4450 to 80 area

also we are nicely in the middle of a daily downtrend at the moment..
the low of which is the 4700 area

though we are currently getting support from the end August lows that could keep us in the 4760-90 area for a while

I am therefore looking to establish a low risk medium term short...
this mornings high of 4820 would have been a good area
and 4860 before that

I suppose I am waiting for some strength to sell into
so that I can ween myself off the pinch hit mentality

David
 
great posts
thats is a lot to take in
especially on a Friday

watching 4810 closely...
keeps bouncing off it..post figures..
but personally dont feel it will hold

Taken out at short at 4820 the post
1:30 US figures high...

Would be great to have targets.. to work to
put trade one and stops around

I certainly want to move away from
the "smash and grab" mentality
of quick trades...that leave so much more on the table
 
4833 the 161.8 fib
and support level of these
last 10 days which was taken out yesterday
now showing itself as resistance

two attempts at getting past that
level so far have failed

added to my short at 4830..perhaps this part at least could be my
longer term position..

this going back to test a level just broken and subsequent fall away
coupled with the fib level
has to be a powerful reason to establish shorts
at this level...
 
I can see that came off the 161.8 fib perfectly...

Your prices are slightly different to mine on the CMC chart
with me using the "ukindex cash bid" chart
for the same 3 month time frame 15 min bars

CFD Bid...chart
not one of CMC's standard charts perhaps
 
thanks for that

picked a bad day to try and start initiating
some medium term positions..

But thats trading...
and positions only small
 
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Doing a few short term "in and outers"
to get back the loss made from
establishing a medium term position
just as the market turned...
on Friday

Short Dax from 4899

though mindful of 4908 38.2 retracement of recent fall
and top of the range we fell from on 26th
it will definately be a market target today


EDIT target hit....
 
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Joules

Any more Fibonacci info relating to the current market...would be very gratefully received
especailly given the interesting 80 point fall we have just seen in the dow..

Never say never in this market....
 
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