Buy 'em,
Tried the Schatz today on simulator. Deep market - up to 20,000 on bid/offer. Started with 5-minute bar but later found 2-minute bars far better. Made a net 22 points trading from one contract and adding to position (up to 5) if was moving quickly in my favour. Made 42 net on Bobl. It's the rallies that keep catching me out on the wrong side.
Yesterday on the bobl was pretty good/transparent - any sell-off was countered immediately by buyers taking it up again with monotonous predictability. However, I reckoned it was only a matter of time before a sell-off turned into a (relative) rout. And it did, and I was caught. Such is life. A good day could have been better but I learned from this.
Let's see what happens tomorrow.
Good trading,
Grant.
TD,
**** doesn't translate very well on T2W. Rearrange the letters and I'll work it out.
Can you get bobl and schatz on charts? If you can, it may be an idea to compare them with the bund. I would say the difference between the three is dependent on your time-frame. If it's intra-day/ scalping, the bund is the most volatile. Beyond an hour, I reckon the relative difference between the three (in volatility) is not that great.
The difference in absolute volatility is possbly due to the frequency/size of trades and depth of market - the bund trades more small sizes at a higher frequency but with the least depth; bobl trades larger sizes with less frequency but greater depth; schatz with even larger sizes with even less frequency but with the greatest depth. That said, the Scahtz is no picnic to scalp - it can still catch you out.
Grant.
dont think u can lean on on any bid or offer in the schatz under my opinion the vast majority of the market is manipulated by 1-2 massive guys. same in bobl. anything above 2000 in shatz has a big percentage of flipping. i ve heard scalping days in schatz are over
Right, it's IFO up in 40 minutes.
The rumour is of 101 which is considerably lower which should therefore be positive for Bunds.
Buying coming in on the Bunds now as traders position for this possibly lower report.
I think the best way to play this is to look for it to come in higher which will force all longs to cover and all those on the sidelines to go short.
Should be good for a few ticks.
Opinions?