dowtrader2006
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Nadex is a little different because they have multiple strikes. So your ITM return depends on which strike you choose. For example, if you buy the near the money strike at 52 and held to expiration, you would recieve $48 if it finished in the money, less commissions. So if you take commissions into consideration, this would be about 88%. If you bought a strike at 20, you would have a lower probability of finishing in the money, but if you held to expiration and finished in the money, it would be a 300%+ return. But the probability of your strike finishing in the money would be less b/c you are essentially buying an out of the money option. Or at the other extreme, if you bought at 80 and finsihed in the money, your return would be around 22%, but you are in a higher probability trade. So it's really just a different structure -- different strikes each with their own payout percentages.