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Bear Market almost ready to resume ....... March 12, 2019 posted at ET
- Thread starter fibo_trader
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fibo_trader
Silver:
If Silver busts north of my trendline and > 17.309, then and only then close short and reverse to buy
If Silver busts north of my trendline and > 17.309, then and only then close short and reverse to buy
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fibo_trader
SPY short 319.41 STOP 320.3
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fibo_trader
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fibo_trader
Trying to time the Dow Jones Top again .... and again ... and again .... when quitting is not an option .... how can one quit after having such a stunning Christmas? The question will always be: wtf am I missing? What am I not seeing? So we try this latest one ............... 
Dow Jones Top calculation is 28,844. 144 (a Fibo #) points north of today, December 27, 2019. If so, a January Top? Lovely! Other January Tops: 1966, 1973, 2000, 2018
Dow Jones Top calculation is 28,844. 144 (a Fibo #) points north of today, December 27, 2019. If so, a January Top? Lovely! Other January Tops: 1966, 1973, 2000, 2018
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fibo_trader
All shorts closed/canceled. Drop looks like just a 4th wave on small timeframe which would mean there is a higher high yet to come. FLAT
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fibo_trader
SPY daily ............. major FIBO level hit on Friday at $327.46. See chart right edge gold yellow dashed line.
If there is reaction I will be all over it SHORT.
If there is reaction I will be all over it SHORT.
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fibo_trader
SPY daily in a channel with a throw-over at the end. If this is what Price is doing and its only an IF then the interpretation is that there is excessive bullishness = frothiness and that if Prices then reenter the channel, SPY is dead meat.
We wait and see!
We wait and see!
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fibo_trader
SPY
slight error in grid calculation. the $327.46 target is done off of Daily TF. The one below is off the Monthly. Both are valid. SPY has exceeded the 327.46 target, so the only one I have to go on is the monthly target below
The corrected target SPY = $334.25
slight error in grid calculation. the $327.46 target is done off of Daily TF. The one below is off the Monthly. Both are valid. SPY has exceeded the 327.46 target, so the only one I have to go on is the monthly target below
The corrected target SPY = $334.25
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fibo_trader
SPY TOP call problem since correct call January 26, 2018:
Marginal higher top Sept. 2018 threw me off the scent
Higher top April 2019 opened the door slightly to excuses = Plunge Protection Team, Donald Trump, FED, propping up Mkt.
The excuses were all shut down fast, fast, fast. To allow such bs to enter my sphere is asking for trouble as it is other determinism. Pan-determinism is when the driver of self-determinism is still the driver of the car. So that stupid notion was quickly thrown out the window and there was just "I"
All that was left then is, "Bloody Hell, I've run out of deputies, I got no tools to tell where the SPY Top will occur"
But things are changing fast within the spirit of Fibo. Getting it right by fluke is not a desirable thing for me. There has to be a valid Mathematical resolution.
Its on its way, not there yet, but on its way, in progress. Take months? Fck knows. But I'll tell you this: this bull-market has been going on for 11 years and is the greatest bull-market in HISTORY. Conquer this upcoming TOP and Fibo has tools no mortal Man can ever hope to compete with. That's how big the gig is.
Marginal higher top Sept. 2018 threw me off the scent
Higher top April 2019 opened the door slightly to excuses = Plunge Protection Team, Donald Trump, FED, propping up Mkt.
The excuses were all shut down fast, fast, fast. To allow such bs to enter my sphere is asking for trouble as it is other determinism. Pan-determinism is when the driver of self-determinism is still the driver of the car. So that stupid notion was quickly thrown out the window and there was just "I"
All that was left then is, "Bloody Hell, I've run out of deputies, I got no tools to tell where the SPY Top will occur"
But things are changing fast within the spirit of Fibo. Getting it right by fluke is not a desirable thing for me. There has to be a valid Mathematical resolution.
Its on its way, not there yet, but on its way, in progress. Take months? Fck knows. But I'll tell you this: this bull-market has been going on for 11 years and is the greatest bull-market in HISTORY. Conquer this upcoming TOP and Fibo has tools no mortal Man can ever hope to compete with. That's how big the gig is.
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fibo_trader
SPY perfect golden Ratio hit on the 2015 Top that killed so many and cott them off guard.
tos.mx
Chart_20200116_2
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fibo_trader
SPY angular golden ratio 2: hit coming up at $331.4. Will it be perfect?
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fibo_trader
SPY target based on a simple Wavecount of 5 internal waves (Wave 1) gives wave equality this week. Actually exceeded it a bit today by gap up.
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fibo_trader
Don,
there is a fella named Oscar Reed from Australia who just went into Page 1 of this thread and read my staggering losses in post #1 and laffed his ass off. I saw his laffff and I started laffffing too.
But knowing the short attention span of your gang here, its not likely he got up to page 6, heheheehe. I know, who the heck wants to red this stuff? But he would get very depressed to see how not only I recovered all losses, but turned the whole episode around into PROFIT. Since then there have been just a few short-term trades in trying to catch the called BEAR but no luck yet, but no losses overall either despite a couple individual losing trades - overall +ve SPY trading but a far cry from my expectations
SPY trade was closed profitably 3 weeks after arrival at T2W .............. see below
The record in Signature still stands firm -
there is a fella named Oscar Reed from Australia who just went into Page 1 of this thread and read my staggering losses in post #1 and laffed his ass off. I saw his laffff and I started laffffing too.
But knowing the short attention span of your gang here, its not likely he got up to page 6, heheheehe. I know, who the heck wants to red this stuff?
But he would get very depressed to see how not only I recovered all losses, but turned the whole episode around into PROFIT. Since then there have been just a few short-term trades in trying to catch the called BEAR but no luck yet, but no losses overall either despite a couple individual losing trades - overall +ve SPY trading but a far cry from my expectationsSPY trade was closed profitably 3 weeks after arrival at T2W .............. see below
The record in Signature still stands firm -
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fibo_trader
Don,
Your army has a high mortality rate. They laffff first when they outnumber me at least 3 to 1 and whn I ask if they brought a horse for me, they lafff even more and reply, "No, looks like we're shy one horse"
The smile gets wiped off their faces when they hear my reply, "You brought two too many"
You know how it will end! Always ends badly for them
Oscar reed has been reading my thread for quite some time today. His ass is grass. He is now under the spell of Fibo
Your army has a high mortality rate. They laffff first when they outnumber me at least 3 to 1 and whn I ask if they brought a horse for me, they lafff even more and reply, "No, looks like we're shy one horse"
The smile gets wiped off their faces when they hear my reply, "You brought two too many"
You know how it will end! Always ends badly for them
Oscar reed has been reading my thread for quite some time today. His ass is grass. He is now under the spell of Fibo
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fibo_trader
Refer to video clip above for TRADING tip:
Why did Harmonica get off the train on the other side, away from the 3 cats sent to kill him?
Because he knew by delaying, they would conclude he was not on the train and then come closer to each other as they walked away. That saves nanoseconds between shots#1 & 2 and shots#2 & 3. That's all the Edge an Alpha needs when outnumbered.
Parallel to trading? A Fibo level + trendline + internal real-time 30-min. 4th wave low = EDGE so huge it could cripple any Casino in Las Vegas. Only Fibo can do this nowadays. Loads of time has passed since May 4th, 2019 when Fibo first came here to T2W. Loads of time. Improvement is of the order of 75% better already.
My expectation is that by July this year 2020 I will gain yet another 45% improvement.
How good am I right now, at this current moment? (tradingwise of course)
The main ingredient of confidence is off the charts
The 2nd most important ingredient of ALONE = LONER = self-sufficient warrior ............. is also off the charts
What's missing? My failure in SPY to be converted to resounding understanding and implemented. that's what's missing. to be corrected this year itself by July or sooner
This is how good I am right f***in now see below in video clip
Why did Harmonica get off the train on the other side, away from the 3 cats sent to kill him?
Because he knew by delaying, they would conclude he was not on the train and then come closer to each other as they walked away. That saves nanoseconds between shots#1 & 2 and shots#2 & 3. That's all the Edge an Alpha needs when outnumbered.
Parallel to trading? A Fibo level + trendline + internal real-time 30-min. 4th wave low = EDGE so huge it could cripple any Casino in Las Vegas. Only Fibo can do this nowadays. Loads of time has passed since May 4th, 2019 when Fibo first came here to T2W. Loads of time. Improvement is of the order of 75% better already.
My expectation is that by July this year 2020 I will gain yet another 45% improvement.
How good am I right now, at this current moment? (tradingwise of course)
The main ingredient of confidence is off the charts
The 2nd most important ingredient of ALONE = LONER = self-sufficient warrior ............. is also off the charts
What's missing? My failure in SPY to be converted to resounding understanding and implemented. that's what's missing. to be corrected this year itself by July or sooner
This is how good I am right f***in now see below in video clip
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fibo_trader
Not even Nadine has seen this yet. She has no clue that it even exists. And dig this, she is a monthly timeframe investor of massive proportion. This gal can plunk down 100 million in one trade without batting an eye. I am showing it to her today as I myself only just saw it. Her Trend Stop is 232.01
In July 2007, I told her, "cash out now and prepare to go short" .................. Her exact words? "Joe you're f*****in crazy. Short this market? Are you insane? Its going to go for another decade at least, can't you see how rosy the Economy is?"
Nadine lost hundreds of millions because she froze and could not summon the action needed to bail. Then in December 2008 she came crying to me and said, "Sorry Joe, I apologize for being so mean to you, can you help me?"
Then she got even more pissed off with me when I said, "its too late to bail now. Suffer thru' another 90 million in losses and then put the rest of your ranch in it LONG" this time she would dare not cuss and swear at me and call me a fool, she had learned not to go against fibo - she learned the hard way at staggering cost.
The low came-d in on the March 6, 2009. When an internal 4th + Fibo + trendline on internal for the entire 5th wave weree took-ed out, I held her hand and walked her thru' 25 entrees over the next weeek.
Nadine cott the bottom of the BEAR at Fibo's direction. Her advisors at Goldman Sachs were telling her, "do not buy, instead, sell sell selll go short, bla bla bla"
In July 2007, I told her, "cash out now and prepare to go short" .................. Her exact words? "Joe you're f*****in crazy. Short this market? Are you insane? Its going to go for another decade at least, can't you see how rosy the Economy is?"
Nadine lost hundreds of millions because she froze and could not summon the action needed to bail. Then in December 2008 she came crying to me and said, "Sorry Joe, I apologize for being so mean to you, can you help me?"
Then she got even more pissed off with me when I said, "its too late to bail now. Suffer thru' another 90 million in losses and then put the rest of your ranch in it LONG" this time she would dare not cuss and swear at me and call me a fool, she had learned not to go against fibo - she learned the hard way at staggering cost.
The low came-d in on the March 6, 2009. When an internal 4th + Fibo + trendline on internal for the entire 5th wave weree took-ed out, I held her hand and walked her thru' 25 entrees over the next weeek.
Nadine cott the bottom of the BEAR at Fibo's direction. Her advisors at Goldman Sachs were telling her, "do not buy, instead, sell sell selll go short, bla bla bla"
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fibo_trader
BEAR aka "666" aka Devil aka Lucifer hates everyone. But he does have a soft spot for Fibo. Why? Becasue God told him, 'You mess with this boy, your ass is grass"
666 was the low of the SPX on March 6, 2009. Its HIS signature. Its the Devil's marking.
Confluence of 3 monster tsunami type trendlines right at where Dow Jones is currently at - all super close - these lines are from the Great Depression 1929 era and from the 1982 low
There is also a fibonacci 423.6% right there in the close vicinity.
Dow Jones monthly from the 1900s
666 was the low of the SPX on March 6, 2009. Its HIS signature. Its the Devil's marking.
Confluence of 3 monster tsunami type trendlines right at where Dow Jones is currently at - all super close - these lines are from the Great Depression 1929 era and from the 1982 low
There is also a fibonacci 423.6% right there in the close vicinity.
Dow Jones monthly from the 1900s
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fibo_trader
Fibo takes out the mighty Dow Jones with a simple logarithmic trendline channel and a 5-wavecount move, the 5th subwave being the extended wave that fooled even Fibo. But not for long.
Fooled again? Maybe. So what? Look at the majesty of my adversary! HE has a bigger problem than I. He must be asking hissself, "how can somebody so small as Fibo keep coming at me since January 2018 when I tore him a new one 3 times?
The channel is complete replete with my required 5 waves. Jones arrives at the top channel line. Now remember that there can be a throw-over. this is due to the extreme bullishness. So it will not come unexpected if it does.
Little Fibo goes up against the mighty Dow Jones
Fooled again? Maybe. So what? Look at the majesty of my adversary! HE has a bigger problem than I. He must be asking hissself, "how can somebody so small as Fibo keep coming at me since January 2018 when I tore him a new one 3 times?
The channel is complete replete with my required 5 waves. Jones arrives at the top channel line. Now remember that there can be a throw-over. this is due to the extreme bullishness. So it will not come unexpected if it does.
Little Fibo goes up against the mighty Dow Jones
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fibo_trader
This is how it would like in the Bible for real - for fibo is but a boy like malaguti said, "your'e 12 years old, fibo"
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