Anyone scalping the FTSE Futures??

100pt up move on the FTSE100 on Fri, just about when the new Lawyer turned banker ECB head was speaking and sending EU markets down... Was that UK business cheering and giving Brussels the finger?
 
Time to buy some "cheap" puts?

Not that i expect a hard drop before christmas but when you least expect it?

"Four largely unnoticed market indicators suggest that major turmoil is ahead even as stocks have risen to a series of new all-time highs in seemingly orderly fashion. "Since 2007, no other time has seen all four of them so compressed at the same time," observes Jason Goepfert, the president of Sundial Capital Research "

 
Time to buy some "cheap" puts?
Jason Goepfert prediction seems to be echoed by Jim Carney, the CEO of Parplus Partners, a hedge fund that focuses on trading strategies linked to volatility. He is certain that an upswing in volatility is inevitable.

both views are in line with the fundamentals which indicate that market players have over-projected PEs by 14%. A spike of 50% in VIX would equate to 10% to 12% fall in the S&P500.

A 50% spike in the VIX now would put the VIX at 21, for reference, the VIX spiked to:
37 during the Feb 18 2018 sell-off
36 during the Dec24 2018 sell-off
23 during Trump election
32 during BREXIT referendum
 
SPX in rez
270908
 
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