john jackson III
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a 1 hour chart is about 1 hour behind any bounce
Wow, that's a serious set up! Bet you know your fees 😝 BTW some major changes coming with regards to commission rates. Schwab already doing zero rate in some products, so others will follow for sure.Thanks for the encouragement! The tax point definitely makes sense for UK traders.
My setup monitors ~30 futures markets and trades in ~18 of them. There is a (crude) process for monitoring daily range, tick value, and all in RT costs (in instrument currency) to give a guide to which markets are cheap vs expensive to trade. The assumption is I always also pay a spread of 1 tick per RT which isn't 100% accurate but gives a workable guideline. See the "ratio" column in the attached screengrab:
View attachment 267802
I'd find it very hard to replicate most of what I do on a spreadbetting platform but can see from your posts that you can find sufficient opportunities in YM and execute very accurately. Another question, if you don't mind: your bigger picture calls seem very accurate, but I believe you've stated that higher timeframe trading didn't produce as well for you. Is this purely a personal preference or was it significantly harder to model conditions further out in time?
Last week I see also the need for the US to move lower so not trusting any upside beyond an intraday rally, but two swing buys in the ES 2955 area (similar to your Dow zone but not quite as deep) last week (Tuesday and Friday I believe) worked out well. I've considered allocating some risk to longer term trades via options as I wouldn't want exposure in leveraged outrights overnight. The spreads on IG are quite reasonable on some of them, and you're guaranteed a fill (unlike futures options where you'll frequently not find a counterparty at a fair price and would need to offset your exposure in the underlying and wait for expiry). Nudges gratefully received.
3 minutes before the close the Fed cavalry will come charging over the hill.not looking good for tonight's close...i need out of my dax long
What a shocker.We could be looking at a dow 26560 finish tonight followed by a gap up and go higher tomorrow.
What a shocker.
bought @ 26667
YM 26534another contract YM @ 26586
5 MIN SIGNAL | 1 HOUR SIGNAL | 1 DAY SIGNAL |
---|---|---|
STRONG SELL | STRONG SELL | STRONG SELL |
Because fundamentals havent been driving this market for years. Its all propped up by the Fed until confidence comes back.Looks like we have a downtrend now, and with the 'good' fundamental reason, why would you expect it to rise?