did he have a good first day then?
dare i say 89 again?
There are times after a big drop at the open when you start looking for a reversal. What you want is confirmation of that reversal, and sometimes a failed reversal pattern on the 1 min chart will tell you soon enough that your bias should remain bearish.
This morning we had a 60 pt drop from the open, and your natural tendancy is to look for a bounce. On the 1 min chart we got a nice setup for a reversal with a strong pullback above the mid boly band, but then it failed to continue the move up. This failure should alert you to the fact that the move down is not done and a break of the morning's low will result in a further strong move down.
There are times after a big drop at the open when you start looking for a reversal. What you want is confirmation of that reversal, and sometimes a failed reversal pattern on the 1 min chart will tell you soon enough that your bias should remain bearish.
This morning we had a 60 pt drop from the open, and your natural tendancy is to look for a bounce. On the 1 min chart we got a nice setup for a reversal with a strong pullback above the mid boly band, but then it failed to continue the move up. This failure should alert you to the fact that the move down is not done and a break of the morning's low will result in a further strong move down.
Thanks for that. With your scalping, would you not consider entering on the pullback to the mb from the bounce off ub a bit risky? It had come from a strong move down with a RSI below 20. Would it not be best to confirmation of the reversal and wait for a 5ema or 10 ema pullback?
Thanks for sharing your charts Martin, they really help.
You're welcome reksa.
In the first hour of trading I tend to be more aggressive. I took the long at point B on the 1 tick break up, because price action despite being bearish had been relatively quick. I probably entered a little to hastily, as I usually like to see the price pull back and touch the mbb first before I enter long. It didn't quite make it to the mbb, but I thought it was close enough. I was wrong and got stopped out at point C. But it was point C that alerted me to the fact that there probably was not going to be a reversal.
A safer lower risk entry would definitely have been to wait for confirmation and get in on the pullback to the 5 or 10 EMA, which I would more likely have done if the price action was slower or later in the morning.
I don't use RSI, and if I did I would have looked at a reading of 20 as being oversold and would have been looking for an entry long.
I was also up 30+ pts from the down move at the open, so I was willing to take a greater risk than usual with the aggressive entry.
Thank you Dick. Yes he had a good time. They tought him how to hot wire cars, make false benefit claims, and he also got a tattoo. Can't wait to see what he does today!
As for this morning, I got a little surprised by the strength of the move down. The FTSE fought the move early despite the ES and FESX heading straight down. I must make a note to be cautious of a FTSE trying to hold on while other indices are falling. It usually caves in and follows the others.
It has been a tricky day, so far all the attempts at a reversal have been short lived. Nice one taking 30 points on the open. I was expecting a quick reversal so missed out.
I thought 8:01 was the start, but i take it you triggered your short here on the pullback to the mid boly?
big fight going on at this level 78-106, in the balance as far as I can see , thoughts anyone?
As i type it has just broken that range. I think it will be pulled back at 5120. Or maybe go on to 5138 as Martin said.
Not sure if the US will pull us up again. Things seem too Bearish.
But i do have DC2000 target it the back of my head. 330. Seems like a mission impossible though.
big fight going on at this level 78-106, in the balance as far as I can see , thoughts anyone?
It has been a tricky day, so far all the attempts at a reversal have been short lived. Nice one taking 30 points on the open. I was expecting a quick reversal so missed out.
I thought 8:01 was the start, but i take it you triggered your short here on the pullback to the mid boly?
As i type it has just broken that range. I think it will be pulled back at 5120. Or maybe go on to 5138 as Martin said.
Not sure if the US will pull us up again. Things seem too Bearish.
But i do have DC2000 target it the back of my head. 330. Seems like a mission impossible though.
Remember DC2000 has a time machine so ignore his targets at your peril...... but I agree things look pretty bearish with all this italy, greece, france stuff going on. It just mean volatility and sharp spikes out of nowhere.
"up , up and awayyyyyyyyyyyyy" !! the room here is blue with all shorting except for yours truly, who feels rather smug now. Think I will call it a day before I get too clever , (with help from DC of course )
many thanks all - 100 prices today !