We know that traders use reactions at round numbers and whether the market breaks above or below as triggers to be bullish or bearish. In fact 3600 was key today, and NQ provided the best value for trades. Question is, should you set in stone that we will have a break below here? Why not use it as an initial target and read how we approach, what sort of order flow is logical to take place at the number, and how that will affect your trade or potential opposite trade? Did you consider that others would also see this number and have a plan for how to trade their decisions?
Think through what will be the desire of traders coming into the market today, and consider how one can affect the other - eg weak longs entering on assumed continuation trades in the first half hour helping fuel the pullback we needed to make upside more sustainable later in the session.
A few observations. First, when you shorted, how did you know we wouldn't take out yesterdays high? Did you have a stop, and where was it? What stopped you getting spooked by the velocity of the next bar as the market moved rapidly against you?
Looks like you are using too high a timeline for the players who you want to be reflecting today. I used a 1 minute chart with a 20 second chart to refine entries. There are 3 simple trades today.
Short at 09.54 hold for 3 minutes. I had 3600 in mind for the correction today but not the info to make it a high probability short trade until long after the open. Trade taken to target as I don't get greedy on this type of setup. 16 ticks.
Then a scalp long 10.00 off the round number, exit is on the first push up, 3 minutes later. 22 ticks.
Then a bigger picture long at 10.09 on the test of the low, closed at 10.17. 8 minutes. 33 ticks.
Need to be aware of the other correlated markets also rather than looking in isolation at NQ.
My point is that people need to know a lot more about their method and the market before trading it. Using a slow timeline and waiting for the market to go against you from 3600 before realising the move is over and giving back a chunk of your profits isn't efficient.
Depends on your objectives, but most traders don't put enough thought into what information they display, how to see which timelines to play, how to identify high probability zones to look for trades, position management, etc. I am still going through this process, continually refining and looking for ways to improve, to better order the concepts I was taught and have discovered.
Maybe if some traders want to post a 1 minute chart of NQ and discuss where and why they traded, what they expected, what information they used to come to these conclusions, etc we could have a more interesting discussion than just posting trade calls. Not offering to give any knowledge out, fight club rules apply, but sometimes folks need some help learning to ask the right questions.