counter_violent
Legendary member
- Messages
- 12,669
- Likes
- 3,787
Hindenburg Omen US Markets.
It’s a stock market technical indicator when on the same day:
The 10-week moving average is rising
New Highs are greater than 2.2% of total issues traded
New Lows are greater than 2.2% of total issues traded
The McClellan Oscillator is negative
The omen is said to be confirmed if it occurs twice in a a 30 day span
and points to a serious drop in stocks. It occurred April 14 and today
(31 May); which is of course more than 30 days apart (46 days).
Still significant?
Falls in June? or Not?
or
A scare tactic to drive the markets lower to create a buying opportunity?
I wish I knew.
Ok then, the Hindenburg Omen is news to me. Never heard of it before today
However, i've just had a very interesting chat with Barjon prior to your post, where we discussed the very strong possibility of significant falls on the horizon. There is a wealth of co-ordinated instrument based evidence across different classes where prices are at "interesting levels". Conditions for a perfect storm perhaps. Timing though is a different matter altogether.
Found this ref previous H O signals.
"If we define a crash as a 15% decline, of the previous 26 confirmed Hindenburg Omen signals, seven (27.0 percent ) were followed by financial system threatening, life-as-we-know-it threatening stock market crashes. Three (11.5 percent) more were followed by stock market selling panics (10% to 14.9% declines). Four more (15.4 percent) resulted in sharp declines (8% to 9.9% drops). Six (23.0 percent) were followed by meaningful declines (5% to 7.9%), four (15.4 percent) saw mild declines (2.0% to 4.9%), and two (7.7 percent) were failures, with subsequent declines of 2.0% or less. Put another way, there is a 27 percent probability that a stock market crash — the big one — will occur after we get a confirmed (more than one in a cluster) Hindenburg Omen. There is a 38.5 percent probability that at least a panic sell-off will occur. There is a 53.9 percent probability that a sharp decline greater than 8.0 % will occur, and there is a 76.9 percent probability that a stock market decline of at least 5 percent will occur. Only one out of roughly 13 times will this signal fail."