Hi Guys and welcome solskjaer20,
Just to give signs of life. I am so staying out of this market
Meanwhile I'm doing a little bit of research as a result of the bad results I've got with HG. short (by the way theblackmamba, I think you've got out really well there). Even when the trade didn't cost me more than 3% of my trading capital, It did raise questions about how to deal with the unpredictable rare event that wipes out what you made before. How many of these would make me broke? How profitable do I need to be in order to cope with these? What's the right balance between the risk exposure to these big gaps and profitability? I've got in a very interesting subject. I'll post some of my little findings later, they're well known by all of you as you demonstrated in previous posts, but I'd enjoy discussing the subject with you. I'll post it somewhere else though, to not disrupt this thread. I'll let you know
My vision of this big down days: I don't know! It's too early for me. Even when the size of the correction makes me feel we are near the end of this long bull market we enjoyed the last few years, we're are getting near the 200-ema (I'm talking FTSE100). I looked at individual shares, and as Jon said in a previous post, it takes courage to go long (what I'm lacking
). Most signals are long, but it's true that when price approaches support, signals are going to indicate to go long! What doesn't mean the support is not going to be broken. I think more experienced traders than me probably are out there taking their chances, and there are what look like good opportunities out there. But I'm still waiting...If we're entering a bear market, I'm waiting for a rally after this big reaction is finished. This rally should fail very clearly previous high. For example, up to 5400 (300 points, which raises the question: shouldn't I be going long? The problem is that I don't know when this reaction will be finished...it should be soon, at 5100?) Well, anyway. I'm not going short because I'm expecting this rally. I also don't know if the bull market is finished. After the reaction is finished the bull market can be back very strong, renewed and rejuvenated after this big breath. However, I don't want to stay out of the market for so long. I'm watching everything very closely, and I'm stuck!
Ok guys, wish you good trading!
Silvia.