Recent content by brettb

  1. brettb

    Brett Bot - Consistent Profits from 52 Week Lows

    According to my testing stop losses don't work with the value stocks I'm trading. In almost all my testing scenarios they significantly reduce returns. A little update... Portfolio has of course been hit by orange man's deluded plans. It's currently down 7-8%, which is less than the S&P...
  2. brettb

    Brett Bot - Consistent Profits from 52 Week Lows

    Why look at 52 week lows? Because everyone else looks at them. Trading known indicators that others are looking for works. Also there are a lot of free 52 week low scanners. Trading news... I don't do that. This is a mechanical trading strategy. I do adjust the 20% profit based on...
  3. brettb

    Brett Bot - Consistent Profits from 52 Week Lows

    Another month in. I now have 110 profitable trades. Stuff is working. I've now expanded my trading into a number of strategies: 52 Week Lows 50 Day Lows Price crosses above 250 DMA Williams %R <95 Price crosses above 100 DMA I've learnt a lot more PineScript so it's really easy to test out...
  4. brettb

    Brett Bot - Consistent Profits from 52 Week Lows

    I'm 3 months into the strategy of buying 52 week lows. On Friday my portfolio hit a new all time high. There is no doubt that this strategy does in fact work. I also met a guy who won a competition using the same strategy. I'm keeping up with the major indices. If the sectors I've mostly been...
  5. brettb

    Swing Trading

    This strategy is indeed looking interesting. However the major issue is that government bonds are no longer a reliable defensive asset. For a UK focused portfolio two alternatives are Personal Assets Trust (PNL) and Ruffer (RICA). Both own inflation linked bonds, gold and Ruffer has black swan...
  6. brettb

    Trading catastrophe rebounds

    I do this sometimes... well not quite the same but I've had good results. Last year I bought Globe Life when that shady short seller released what appeared to be a fake report and the share price crashed and burned. I made 10%+ in a week and could have held for 94%. I often buy profit warning...
  7. brettb

    Swing Trading

    I have a Trading 212 but currently most of my work with ETFs is to try to get them to make decent returns. It's not as easy as it looks. Saltydog's 10% a year is very decent (if true). Sure, the US returned 20 - 30% last year but go take a look at earlier charts... there was practically a lost...
  8. brettb

    Swing Trading

    Thanks - I found that portfoliodb.co site really interesting. I haven't yet created a really good ETF strategy except for the usual 52 week/50 day lows I've been working on. I had another really good go at creating a momentum strategy. I've made something that buys the best ETFs based on the...
  9. brettb

    Swing Trading

    Just found this thread and saw it mentioned 52 week lows. I discuss these in my trading diary thread. I've started a strategy based around them, although my custom backtester consistently shows that 50 day lows are actually more profitable (an extra 2-3% CAGR). I believe this is due buying...
  10. brettb

    Brett Bot - Consistent Profits from 52 Week Lows

    New Year update... I'm continuing to buy 52 week and 50 day lows. The real money portfolio is keeping up with the indexes. I believe I'm slightly ahead of the FTSE 100 but it will take more time for the performance against other indexes to become more apparent. Also there are major currency...
  11. brettb

    Best Stocks Historical Data Provider?

    Tiingo's data is really high quality. There's a free plan but you can only effectively get 2 stocks per hour if you want the historic data. It's US stocks only. Also you can't republish, but it's fine for private use. Their API is easy to use (and not much different to the other ones). I also...
  12. brettb

    Brett Bot - Consistent Profits from 52 Week Lows

    Thanks - I might check out something like that once I've improved my system. I've now rebuilt my backtester. It now takes prices from the middle of the candle itself (excluding wicks). I've done this because buying midway between the opening and closing price seems more realistic than buying...
  13. brettb

    Brett Bot - Consistent Profits from 52 Week Lows

    The real money portfolio's recovering. The Santa rally's very late this year but it looks like we're climbing the wall of worry. Historically this is looking like being one of the least profitable times to be buying 52 week lows. I will continue with the experiments. I'm getting the hang of...
  14. brettb

    Need 50 Day Low Screener for UK Stocks!

    As title suggests... does anybody know of a (preferably) free screener for UK stocks at 50 day lows? I already know FinViz have one for US stocks. Also MarketBeat have a UK one for 52 week lows. Thanks!
  15. brettb

    Please convince me that technical analysis works

    Thanks - I use FinViz a lot. I found they have a free 50 day high/low scanner. Buying 50 day lows appears to be potentially much more profitable than 52 week lows. It's probably because there are many more stocks to buy and also higher quality stocks are more likely to be regularly putting in 50...
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