my S&P500 prediction for this week

Nostradamus359

Established member
Messages
592
Likes
3
as you can see it is OK till now and will continue to be.
it is local time in Moscow!!! UTC+3 . its 11 PM now.

some good moves have passed, but the rest is here.
 

Attachments

  • sp500_6-10jun2011_2h_eng.PNG
    sp500_6-10jun2011_2h_eng.PNG
    63.3 KB · Views: 501
Interesting, I assume the red bars correspond to the big sell off at the end of the day.

Can you explain this system and how you plot this?
 
Interesting, I assume the red bars correspond to the big sell off at the end of the day.

Can you explain this system and how you plot this?

I try to identify a move at a specific time. Number of moves plot the curve. Using the projected curve I get an idea when to do what. It is one of the uses of the strategy.

For example I do believe that now is a good time to buy s&p500 and sell tomorrow at 10pm Moscow local time (UTC/GMT +4 hours). but actually I bought RTS index futures, that have a similar pattern, with the same target. And this particular s&p500 prediction is used as a back up for the latter calculation.

There are of course tools used to identify only big moves so to evoid noise and make more profit and some other know-how.

check my RBS thread http://www.trade2win.com/boards/uk-...plc-rbs-l-2-weeks-price-pattern-strategy.html with grafical patterns for a UK bank stocks and the correlations. Is is done using the same system for this year but with weekly intervals.
 
Interesting, I assume the red bars correspond to the big sell off at the end of the day.

Can you explain this system and how you plot this?

reds are either lows or moves when the price goes down to your liking. also the most impoortant are two horizontal lines. greens are vs reds.
 
Interesting, I assume the red bars correspond to the big sell off at the end of the day.

Can you explain this system and how you plot this?

and as for Friday this week, the move at 2pm is a reflection of a high, and the price drops.
 
attached is and example of RTS index futures prediction for the 6th of June.
 

Attachments

  • RTS_30min_6jun2011.png
    RTS_30min_6jun2011.png
    44.2 KB · Views: 329
my today's buys using the strategy. the two lows were identified.
 

Attachments

  • buys.png
    buys.png
    24 KB · Views: 337
Interesting, I assume the red bars correspond to the big sell off at the end of the day.

Can you explain this system and how you plot this?

now you can see it in action... but it's only 9pm
 

Attachments

  • sp500-9pm.gif
    sp500-9pm.gif
    8.7 KB · Views: 365
What's your prediction for today ?

it's on the first page, last day, but here is today's RTS, whuich copies S&P500. Hi is about 2pm Moscow time, when S&P reverses, both indices have the same 22pm small move up at close of the day.

see attached picture and compare it with S&P500 from the first post in this thread.
 

Attachments

  • rts10jun2011.PNG
    rts10jun2011.PNG
    27 KB · Views: 319
so to be on the safe side short from round 2pm local time (now it's 13.47 in Moscow) and close it before 22pm ...
 
so to be on the safe side short from round 2pm local time (now it's 13.47 in Moscow) and close it before 22pm ...

I will keep 2pm in mind for shorting
They have given you a USA flag ?
Wish I could understand Russian

thanks

Pat
 
I will keep 2pm in mind for shorting
They have given you a USA flag ?
Wish I could understand Russian

thanks

Pat

it's very funny to see the market works as planned, but seems S&P is harder to crack.
on that picture I wrote: "possible higher open, or rise from the open. all strategies are marked on the chart".
see what would be at the time of the second high at 5pm.
 

Attachments

  • signal.png
    signal.png
    23.3 KB · Views: 219
  • signal2.gif
    signal2.gif
    9.1 KB · Views: 256
something wrong with the pic ?

no, it's the yesterday's close. time UTC+3. same for the S&P500. the fix is the place at which I actually exited as an hourly daily prediction warned me to do so.

here is the move at 2pm today. that was more than 3 hours and 30 minutes ago.
http://www.trade2win.com/boards/us-indices/127036-my-s-p500-prediction-week-2.html#post1583080

I added the current time pic to show the predicted level for safe shorting at 2pm today. I do it in my local time to avoid possible errors in calculations.

moreover this level is on my first weekly map marked by the double horizontal line, which means dead level or a stop of movement of price.
 

Attachments

  • 14.gif
    14.gif
    11.8 KB · Views: 194
Last edited:
Top