Vaco
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I know this has been done to death and i'm not trying to reignite the spreadbet vs dma argument but i would like some feedback on the following sums. i posted this on the futuresbetting thread but i now wish it to reach the wider community. PLease let me know your views.
The spreadbetting company used is only relevent with regard to the spread and its impact on the calculations. I do not want this thread to discuss any other potential issues with spreadbetting i simply wish to calculate and discuss which route is more profitable for someone tht can afford future contract sizes.
Lets break this down as i dont believe size matters. more importantly how many points you ave per trade after losses
Lets use ym as a simple example with 1 contract. futuresbetting commission is $20 r/t vs $3.50 as in your example.
if you ave 10 points per trade (after losses) then you have made $50 per trade.
take away the commision from futuresbetting and u are left with $30.
if you were dma it would be $50 -$3.5 =$46.5 minus 40% CGT ($18.60) and you are left with $27.90.
Lets now say tht you are trading 10 contracts, futuresbetting commission is now $200 r/t vs $3.50.
10 pts per trade = $500 - commision leaves you with $300
dma $500 -$3.5 = $496.5 - CGT ($198.60)
lets look at what happens when you ave 20 points per trade, 1 contract to keep it simple.
20*5 = $100 minus comms $20 leaves $80 if with FB
$100 - $3.5 = $96.5 - CGT ($38.6) leaves $57.9
The above is a very crude example done for my benefit as much as everyone elses, other factors such as the 8k tax allowence and reducing tax further by offsetting profits against other costs will make the comparison more favourable for dma.
So how to decide which way to go. well lets say you have a system tht gives you a 50% win rate and a risk reward of of 1:2 profit is 20 points per trade loss is 10. this would give you an ave of 5 points per trade so i would say dma. even if your doing 40 points a winner 20 points a loser with a 50% this would only give you an ave of 10 points per trade. I would still favour dma at this point.
Any system generating better then 40 points per trade i would probably go with FB.
However heres where it gets confusing the above is based on the assumption that you will be able to make the extra 4 points out of the market tht you would lose to fb if you were going dma. if you use set point targets/stoploss then the above is not so relevent as you are making the same no of points.
so if i make make 10 points with a spreadbetting account i've made $50 and thts the end of my costs as the commission is built into the spread.
However with Dma you still have to take out comms and tax.
The spreadbetting company used is only relevent with regard to the spread and its impact on the calculations. I do not want this thread to discuss any other potential issues with spreadbetting i simply wish to calculate and discuss which route is more profitable for someone tht can afford future contract sizes.
Lets break this down as i dont believe size matters. more importantly how many points you ave per trade after losses
Lets use ym as a simple example with 1 contract. futuresbetting commission is $20 r/t vs $3.50 as in your example.
if you ave 10 points per trade (after losses) then you have made $50 per trade.
take away the commision from futuresbetting and u are left with $30.
if you were dma it would be $50 -$3.5 =$46.5 minus 40% CGT ($18.60) and you are left with $27.90.
Lets now say tht you are trading 10 contracts, futuresbetting commission is now $200 r/t vs $3.50.
10 pts per trade = $500 - commision leaves you with $300
dma $500 -$3.5 = $496.5 - CGT ($198.60)
lets look at what happens when you ave 20 points per trade, 1 contract to keep it simple.
20*5 = $100 minus comms $20 leaves $80 if with FB
$100 - $3.5 = $96.5 - CGT ($38.6) leaves $57.9
The above is a very crude example done for my benefit as much as everyone elses, other factors such as the 8k tax allowence and reducing tax further by offsetting profits against other costs will make the comparison more favourable for dma.
So how to decide which way to go. well lets say you have a system tht gives you a 50% win rate and a risk reward of of 1:2 profit is 20 points per trade loss is 10. this would give you an ave of 5 points per trade so i would say dma. even if your doing 40 points a winner 20 points a loser with a 50% this would only give you an ave of 10 points per trade. I would still favour dma at this point.
Any system generating better then 40 points per trade i would probably go with FB.
However heres where it gets confusing the above is based on the assumption that you will be able to make the extra 4 points out of the market tht you would lose to fb if you were going dma. if you use set point targets/stoploss then the above is not so relevent as you are making the same no of points.
so if i make make 10 points with a spreadbetting account i've made $50 and thts the end of my costs as the commission is built into the spread.
However with Dma you still have to take out comms and tax.