The Following are the D TF Charts of three USD pairs.
GU
EU
AU
They are not complete candles as the trading day has not ended. I look at these in the morning +- 9 am GMT + 8 so that I can see what is going to happen today.
I did not take screen shots of yesterdays candle first thing today morning. It was a classic scenario of different bias on different pairs. I should have because it showed a good example of issues with correlation and the reading of bias.
AU had completed the pullback D TF candle as highlighted by the yellow arrow today morning. So AU should most probably be a buy.
But then GU had a bear candle. EU had a bear candle. Bear in mind, you are looking at the chart without today's candles being there. So ignore the last candle and continue reading.
The validity of a reversal is only comfirmed when there is a confirmation candle. So until the confirmation candle for AU that is currently taking place or the pull back candle on EU at the moment was formed, the scenario was still set for a sell. Can u see what I mean?? Picture it by getting rid of the last candles on the charts.
The first rule is if yesterday was a sell then today is a sell. If your correlation is not spot on and you are not sure then you dont take a trade.
I avoided AU altogether.
Skipped GU because of the cluttered candle patterns on previous days around that price range. There are more than one candle that had long wicks in GU at that price level.
EU looked clean. So I stuck to the communist doctrine and went for a sell.
Now this is where experience helps a little. I took 60 pips, my daily target and not hold for more because the correlation was out of whack with AU, which was showing that it might turn around and be an upper. Looked at GU and it was a mess that didnt inspire confidence. What is there to say that prices wont get rejected at one of those areas and it ends up like an AU candle like the previous day?
EU hit my 60 pips, went down a tad bit more then reversed and now it looks like a reversal.
So this is an example where you use correlation to avoid misreading charts. Its an additional layer of safety. It is what I use to judge if my chart reading for the day is solid or not. If correlation is out of whack and I cant see where prices of a pair are going to go, then I avoid trading.
Correlation has one drawback that you have to keep in mind. Prices dont move just because of USD movement. It also can move because of AD, Euro or Pound. Think about that part.
I hope it helps.
Its NFP today.
Have fun and Happy Pipping.