NFP Payroll Lottery

[FetteredChinos]

Roll up, roll-up, its that time of the month again...


place your bets ladies and gentlemen..

im going for 148k today...

any takers?

 

[Texas_Hedge]

212K

However, I won't be here to see it. I have a long lunch on a Friday, My open positions will no doubt feel the effect though.

 

[marben]

212K

However, I won't be here to see it. I have a long lunch on a Friday, My open positions will no doubt feel the effect though.

Huh??? [pls provide a reference or explanation for the uninitiated ]
...or is this Mornington Crescent, in which case 186K.

 

[Texas_Hedge]

US Econ Data. Last Months Employment numbers.

 

[marben]

US Econ Data. Last Months Employment numbers.

Gotcha - Non-farm Payrolls. Excuse my ignorance. Certainly is a lottery :cheesy:

 

[G-Man]

I'm thinking that the bottom is about to fall out of the $ so I'm going for a bubble bursting 37k.

That should stir things up a bit.

Nobody else got an idea?

G-Man

 

[G-Man]

OK OK, stop laughing.

Looks like the revisions could have saved the buck.

G-Man

 

[marben]

OK OK, stop laughing.

Looks like the revisions could have saved the buck.

G-Man

I'm beginnning to think FC has inside info... or a pretty good crystal ball :cheesy:

 

[FetteredChinos]

who's the daddy lol... )

 

[G-Man]

Looks like we're getting some $ weakness, just like I expected.

G-Man

 

[FetteredChinos]

lets hope it continues....

+60 to the good at the moment.....

 

[G-Man]

How did you determine your entry FC?

G-Man

 

[FetteredChinos]

coin flip G-man... coin flip...



and im not joking!

 

[G-Man]

Doh! Sorry FC, forgot that you currently rely on gravity to determine you entries. Still 50 pip trailing stop?

G-Man

 

[bracke]

coin flip G-man... coin flip...



and im not joking!

Seymour

Very surprised that you have not developed a system to determine the result +/- your usual level of accuracy complete with backtesting to Abraham Lincoln's period in office.

Regards

Bracke

 

[FetteredChinos]

yup.. still 50 pip.. but might tighten that to 30-40 for next week's testing..


Bracke, i have tried that, bit i always found using the Roosevelt factor to be slightly more accurate..

i fear Linc's beard might be obscuring some of the signals...