I'm sitting on the 'Holy Grail' system - How can I fund this?

Sir M

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First: I'm not soliciting investors - rather seeking to get assistance in brainstorming the different ways I can get this business off the ground.

Second: I have 0 interest in going in to any revealing detail about my strategy, even in the highest level. As far as I'm concerned: I'm holding on to a billion dollar ticket and in this trading game, the value of a market advantage deteriorates rapidly if it becomes well known. I will discuss the success of the system a bit to explain why I am so anxious to get off the ground with this full time and so it's understood why even with (relatively) minimal capitalization, getting this going ASAP makes so much sense.

Third: I am not a rookie or a kid. I have studied the markets for over 10 years - traded Forex as an under-capitalized full time trader full time for part of it, and for the other part have been battling with the masses like everyone else while working a straight job.

Fourth: No, I am not joking - Everything contained within is 100% factual and again, I am no rookie.

NOW:

I have developed a 100% mechanical strategy (meaning, the signals are easily seen coming in advance, perfectly defined, and my favorite part - personal discretion is eliminated making back testing 100% legitimate. I don't care if every piece of news and technical analysis says to short the Euro, if this simple system says long - I do it with absolutely 0 regard for anything else) . This strategy is back testing absolutely unreal results; I have never seen anything like it.

The results: after THOUSANDS of trades, over several years, looking at most major currency pairs (and also looking at stocks and futures - I have yet to find an instrument that causes this system to fail but I will stick to FOREX as It's what I know): this system produces consistently greater than 83% win percentage. The losses are capped as a maximum of the win (meaning seeking a 100 pip profit, the maximum loss is 100 pips): but since most losses are actually smaller -the average loss is 65% the size of the winning trade target. Again: 83% wins where the wins are 154% larger than the losses, where the MAXIMUM loss is equal to ONE winning trade = you do the math. I have, and the result is effectively unlimited profits as a function only of what is invested. Trading any given currency pair in my testing resulted in an average of 750% annual return from approximately 100 trades per year (per instrument) and my desire is to trade 4-6 pairs simultaneously and target returns which will only serve to make this post seem even more outlandish to all.

FAQ: backtesting? Meh... tons of systems backtest well but don't work!
Answer: YES, but this system seeks gains large enough and with enough foresight that limit orders are easily used so entry and exit at or within pips of the targets is all but guaranteed. Also, this system is like I said, 100% mechanical meaning the biggest variable in backtesting is eliminated (the human element: errors, emotions, judgement calls, etc). I can say with 100% confidence that this system will trade EXACTLY as it backtests (this statement is no doubt very stinky to many of you as with what most know that isn't possible - it is with what I am doing). I can say with confidence that if this system were traded over the past 365 days, the result would have been +750% trading the EUR/USD alone on 115 trades. Add in additional currency pairs and you can begin to feel my excitement.

What you're describing isn't possible! You sound like a naive idiot. I agree. If myself of 2 months ago were to be reading this I'd think the same. It isn't possible with what I knew from 10+ years of playing in the market; but long story short - I've had a revelation and am staring at unlimited free money. No, not possible with the systems and charts probably everyone is staring at and I stared at for over a decade. I've shifted my entire mindset and the results are staggering.


I provide that back story so that my request is taken seriously. I am 100% committed to getting this off the ground ASAP. I am working full time but need to find the capital to get this off the ground so I can make these 300 trades a year and produce the 1000%+ return.
BACK TO THE POINT OF THIS THREAD::::

Where can a trader, like myself, who is sitting on absolute gold, go to get off the ground. Please help me evaluate the ideas currently in my head, and I'm hoping someone has a better one:

1)Rich friends. I have them. Rich people love nothing more than to invest in ideas like this and I'm 95% confident I can get more than enough money with fairly minimal effort through this avenue. The downsides: 1) they are friends, I don't like discussing finances with friends 2) since I would be managing their account, understandably, the majority of the profits would need to go to them 3) I hate convincing people of things. Ideally, I find a way to finance this thing on my own accord. The idea of having to talk someone into 'investing' in me is wholly unappealing to me. Nonetheless, this remains a possibility and as I consider the alternatives, it may be the most realistic.

2)Piece it together from my own finances. Tax return coming in, I have some home equity, my brokerage takes $5k per month credit card deposits, 401k, etc. I could probably piece together about 50k which is enough clearly with the 750% returns to make a living but ultimately that isn't a lot of money and being undercapatalized in such a way would adversely affect my risk:reward tolerance making 750% alot less likely. This is a possibility, but I don't like it. If i could piece together 100k I'd feel alot better about this option. 50k just feels a little tight, even with the gold I'm sitting on.

3)slow and steady wins the race. Take a piece of #2, say 10k and over the course of 2 years turn it into 100k by trading in the evenings and on the weekends. This is my absolute last resort: a) that is an incredible amount of patience when again, I'm sitting on solid gold. and b) I've done the full time trading + full time working game for years - it's a hellish workload that is a drain unlike what I want to experience again. If I'm going to be trading for 50 hours a week, that's my job. I've got a family and I've put them through enough Full time job + full time trader for one lifetime. So, while this remains a viable last resort option, it is definitely 'last resort'.

WHAT ELSE IS THERE?
Prop Shops - I know very little about these but could this be the answer I'm looking for?

Banks - maybe not a traditional bank like US Bank or BOA, but are there any financial institutions that might be something I should look into?

Private funding - (again, not soliciting here), is there any organizations I should look into which fund ventures like this with private equity?

Anything else I am not considering?
 
Wow - sorry guys, I type fast and that thread really got away from me. Feel free to skip to the bolded question 2/3 of the way down since it's not until then that I get to the point. Brevity is an art I have not mastered...
 
Trade it live for 6 months, then the world will be your oyster in terms of finding funding.

Not with big money - but with real money in real time.
 
Ok, whoa, calm down first! :LOL:

If you are indeed sitting on a gold mine, I would first suggest testing it out over an extended period of time to see if it really is the gold mine you think it is. Prove it does, indeed, work, before investing anything more than what you have already.

If you are genuinely seeing the sky-high returns you think the strategy provides, then you may be interested in starting up your own fund and soliciting outside investment. Get a track record, and the money will pour in.

Regardless, I strongly suggest giving yourself time to really test if this thing works. Calm down, and think clearly. You have more time than you think.
 
If you youre aiming to return 750% from 100-150 trades per year per year via system signals and limit orders, then surely that wouldnt need much in the way of screen time? Just get the signal and pump in the orders. Should have very little impact on the job/family time.

Things you may not have considered:-
i) Have you considered where youve had problems in past trading?
ii) If they are psychological issues (highly likely) have you considered how this will affect your performance executing your system?
iii) Have you considered how clean your data was used to back test? More so if youre using hard stops?

-----------------------------------------------

Imo, trade it yourself stay away from OPM, especially from friends. Be servant to no-one. 75k from 10k in one year, dont sound bad. What you waiting for?
 
Couple of things I'd add.

Firstly the returns look like its relatively high frequency.
Do those backtested returns take into account the following:

1. Missed limit fills.
2. Slippage on wider disaster market stops.
3. Spreads - earn or pay?
4. Commissions.
5. Tech issues - server downtime, hardware / software issues.
6. Connection latency and fill speed.
7. Hardware costs - co-location servers etc.
8. Tight stops - is account leverage an issue (less than 10x, 5x better)?
9. Realistic drawdown levels?
10. Decent sharpe, sortino & calmar ratios?
11. Test data quality - high freq needs quality tick data.

If its relatively high frequency, and the above points haven't been accounted for
that will seriously dent the live returns, or even wipe them out and then some.

Assuming the above points check out, when you do start live testing,
I'd go with SIM only for 3 months to iron out any oversights.
Then lowest possible size for another 3, then build a drawdown cushion and hit it with
decent size (compound if you can - may not be possible due to high freq liquidity).

Hopefully Random might pop into this thread as he knows his
onions with this stuff.

On another note, you would do better with 2 years decent size live returns (even better audited).
I've not tried this, and personally I'm a bit sceptical, but it may be worth you looking into:
https://www.topsteptrader.com/

Having said that, if the 11 points I raised earlier are accounted for,
then finding funding won't be a problem.
Thats with the proviso that you have the required record and can withstand
much tougher questions than I've just fielded.
 
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1) Remortgage everything that you have
2) max out on credit cards
3) sell all your possessions
4) pimp out wife/girlfriend
5) pimp out children (probably get better rate than mrs)
6) steal
7) ransom demands on your in-laws
8) Beg
9) try selling the system to raise some cash
10) fake your own death and claim on insurance

you've got the holy grail for f*** sake, be imaginitive :whistling
 
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1) Remortgage everything that you have
2) max out on credit cards
3) sell all your possessions
4) pimp out wife/girlfriend
5) pimp out children (probably get better rate than mrs)
6) steal
7) ransom demands on your in-laws
8) Beg
and lastly
9) try selling the system to raise some cash

you've got the holy grail for f*** sake, be imaginitive :whistling

Your list is much better than my list :LOL:
Class :cool:
 
1:1 R/R and 83% success. I simply don't believe it. Especially on Forex.

either this is a synical attempt to solicit funds or you have a completely unrealistic back test.
 
1:1 R/R and 83% success. I simply don't believe it. Especially on Forex.

either this is a synical attempt to solicit funds or you have a completely unrealistic back test.

Fair and valid point.
I'm just suspending disbelief for now as he hasn't made any vendor moves yet
and only asked a question.

Personally, atm I'm just taking it at face value, but most likely the back test is flawed.
Time will tell.
 
I saw the system :) ... Valid :) ... If tomorrow's close is up, buy today's close ... If tomorrow's close is down, sell today's close ... the 83% is due to a wrong angle looking at the crystal ball ;-) Good Luck evreybody ... holy grail ... again? :)

ROFL. I had to read that twice to get it.

I'm slow today :eek:

Peter
 
Take a piece of #2, say 10k and over the course of 2 years turn it into 100k by trading in the evenings and on the weekends. This is my absolute last resort: a) that is an incredible amount of patience when again, I'm sitting on solid gold. and b) I've done the full time trading + full time working game for years - it's a hellish workload that is a drain unlike what I want to experience again. If I'm going to be trading for 50 hours a week, that's my job. I've got a family and I've put them through enough Full time job + full time trader for one lifetime. So, while this remains a viable last resort option, it is definitely 'last resort'.

[/B]


Firstly you can't trade weekends as markets are closed.;)

Secondly you say a purely mechanical system, but not automated. How have you back-tested it ?

If you have programmed it into a bot or something then I assume you can run it live in the same way. So your problem of sitting in front of the screens is eliminated.

If its still manual then your options are still limited until you get a live track record.

Best way forward is to trade it yourself, get some real results and see if its as good as you as you say.

From your post I gather the wins are quite large, and so can that one loss be. Trading and sitting through that one loss in real-time with real money will give you another perspective and maybe a cause to reevaluate part of it.
 
1) Remortgage everything that you have
2) max out on credit cards
3) sell all your possessions
4) pimp out wife/girlfriend
5) pimp out children (probably get better rate than mrs)
6) steal
7) ransom demands on your in-laws
8) Beg
9) try selling the system to raise some cash
10) fake your own death and claim on insurance

you've got the holy grail for f*** sake, be imaginitive :whistling

11) emulate "Breaking Bad"
 
1) Remortgage everything that you have
2) max out on credit cards
3) sell all your possessions
4) pimp out wife/girlfriend
5) pimp out children (probably get better rate than mrs)
6) steal
7) ransom demands on your in-laws
8) Beg
9) try selling the system to raise some cash
10) fake your own death and claim on insurance

you've got the holy grail for f*** sake, be imaginitive :whistling

give u dolla for wife?
 
Trade2Win community - I'm honestly impressed. I posted this on another forum as well and it the openmindedness and maturity wasn't like T2W. Bravo.

Allow me to address what I can remember from the posts I just read:

> No, it is not a 1:1 system. It is better than a 1:1 system. Yes, any one given trade is in fact 1:1 but the worst risk:reward I tested all trades factored in on an annual basis was 1:1:33 and the average was 1:1.54. And yes, that is with 80%+ wins. Believe or not, that is what I am looking at so you can imagine (if this were true.......) why I am so eager to get running with this.

> Mr.Charts comical list was meant to be funny but yes, I will aboslutely look into credit cards and home equity to fund if neccessary. Again, if you were looking at a system as I described above, wouldn't you? I'd rather not go that route, but it remains an option.

> Now someone posted a long list of 'have I considered' regarding my back testing. My backtesting produced approximately 100 trades per instrument per year. So, yes, fairly high frequency (that's all relative though) but I use an inflated spread, comission-free pricing structure. Go ahead, factor in some missed limit orders, some slippage and lets really be conservative and say the win percentage drops ten percent to 73% (it won't) and the R:R ratio drops 20% to 1:1.23 (it won't) and it's still phenominal. In general response to many of these questions/consdierations: the system is incredibly simple, additional hardware and any latency reducing methods aren't neccessary. It is a slow paced trading method I liken to fishing. I'll see the setup comming from a distance and can carefuly enter the entry and exit orders and they'll be in long before they're excecuted. If I win 200k tomorrow, I quit my job and sit in my home office - no additional anything is needed.

> Drawdown: the maximum consecutive losing trades I tested was 3 and this was exceedingly rare. With a 1:1.54 R:R ratio the fluctuations in the projected equity curve are minimal. The variable of course is how much is being traded. If I'm risking 10% of the total account on any given trade then even with an 83% system the draw down is significant. I don't think anyone should be trading that much. The more money I have, the less % of total equity I'll need to risk on each given trade.

> Bots. This system is perfect for them, yes I've given it thought and some preliminary research. I know nothing about them but what I do know is that I'll have to learn it and program it myself. I am paranoid and will keep these cards close to the vest. This is another option I didn't list: program a bot to excecute the system while I continue to work and this may be the smartest option but I'd obviously need to be very careful about making sure I program it properly since I imagine a rogue bot could ruin anyone. I'll look in to this in time.

> Regarding trading for a bit and then the world of funding will open to me. Of course it will, but the catch-22 is by that point I'll be fine. This doesn't require a ton of capital so if I take the capital I have and trade it into an impressive ammount then I'll no longer have a need for external funding. This is where the bot will potentially come in, if I go this route getting a bot to do the work will make a ton of sense but of course outside money and outside oppinion means nothing to me then.

> regarding past trading (I enjoyed this post particularly) psycological mistakes. Very thoughtful response because I absolutely think this is critical in trading success. My past trading has been affected no doubt by my emotions and perceptions, fears, greed, self-worth, all that stufff. one of the many things I'm excited about what I'm about to get in to is that being 100% mechanical, there are no decisions to be made. I believe I mentioned, I dont' care what is going on outside of the system, if the system says go - I'd go. The decisions are made in designing the rules for the system which I've already done. They are incredibly simple and require 0 human insight in the moment, and in fact the system leaves 0 oportunity for me to even attempt to interject my opinion. It's simple - it says sell, you sell, and it's frequent enough that any one given trade doesn't matter.


In sum, guys - I'm with you. You should be skeptical as I absolutely would be if I read this a couple months ago. Particularly since I type so fast I tend to get wordy and the use of bold, itallics, and FAQs in my post probably came off like I was selling an idea. The only idea I'm trying to sell to you all, my peers, is that I have a feasible reason to pose the question which I am posing. My view, mindset, and the way I'll be approaching the market has been absolutely flipped on it's head though and without that breakthrough "aha!" moment I would probably be more skeptical than any of you. Believe me, I've been looking for a hole in this all over. I am not a rookie trader here, I am familiar with the pitfalls. I've traded full time, part time, and everything in between for a long while now. All I know is at tihs point this is what I'm looking at and it is what it is: I can't find an issue with it and I can't forsee any issues in the real life excecution of it.

I would like to repeat - I am THOROUGHLY impressed with how the group here has responded. Some very thoughtful and genuine responses and the critcisms were clever and humorous. I'll take that.

Regardless though, discussing the system isn't the point here and in hindsight I REALLY should have just asked the question flat out without trying to justify it (I was hoping to explain my enthusiasm and get the question answered for just what it is but I've made it worse, I see that now). Beside the distraction the system discussion has caused, I'm also getting a bit burned out on justifying it (again - I just replied to another forum's responses and they were much less fun to respond to so I'm losing interest in caring/justifying my numbers)

So back to the point, the question I have:You've read the funding methods I'm considering; what else should I be thinking? I've heard a bit about prop shops over the years but never actively looked in to them - is there anything like a prop shop or similar institution that which provides increased trading capital with some sort of loan (unsecured, secured, whatever [I have 2 houses with some equity])? Insert general "yeah, it's called a bank" statements here. You know what I mean - something meant for trader like me with a real reason to enthusiastically pursue this.

In the absence of securing decent funding to get underway getting a bot going may in fact be my best alternative thinking this through. I know next to nothing about programing them but am generally a saavy guy and can figure it out with the wealthy of resources online. I'm also not to that point quite yet so I'll leave the bot feasibility/programing questions for another day.

Thanks again all!
 
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A prop shop can offer you increased leverage and reduced commissions. You'll have the peace of mind that you're not dealing with a "bucket shop" either as your broker. They may charge fees and/or a % of your trading profits, though this varies from shop to shop.

Best bet is making a list of shops and interviewing there. Be aware your strat is likely going to be in the open here if that's something you'd prefer keep to yourself.

If the prospect of making your strat open to others like that isn't for you, then starting off with automation/botting might be an idea.

And yes, keep a healthy dose of skepticism all along. Poke as many holes as you can into your system. That's the only way to really know if does indeed provide the returns you think it does. The last thing you'd want is to notice something at the last minute that proves to be a gamechanger which invalidates your strat, eh?
 
It's easy, get hold of £1k. Anyone can do that. Put it on a card if necessary, after all your 750% return nukes the paltry 30% you'll pay on a card. Compound your returns for 5 years and you'll have £45m. Another five and you'll have overtaken UK GDP. I can't see any problems at all with that, so best of luck.
 
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