Why and how? Is there a sensible method of choice? Of course there is! What strikes, when reading 'newbie' posts is thier 'pin pointing'. Forget 'pin pointing'....it does not work! Generalisation is the key! Too many absolute boundaries and not enough dimension to style. There is an obviousness about the markets, for some reason we choose to ignore it at first. You have to give yourself a fighting chance, generalisation will hopefully lead you to a more accurate assumption (experience). There is no 'holy grail', because, there is no reason for one! For all the newbies out there, you need to chill out. If you don't, the market will take the pi ss out of you all year round, or at least until YOUR money runs out. Hope this helps? RUDEBOY.