EUR/USD - Thursday 23rd Oct

andys0506

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Yes we haven't finished for today yet but started my analysis for tomorrow already as I have a few hours spare.
So a quick heads-up of what we can expect.
OK to start with we are still trending down, with a target of 1.2641 as seen by fib extension on daily chart below.

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Going back to the 15 min chart, the pink fibs are key (prior days swing move)
If during the Asian session we see prices fall, we would like to see price return to around the 38% or 50% fib before we would be happy to short. ie 1.2873-1.2903 levels.

Again the red and green lines show prior days highs and lows.
Purple are points of sup/res.

As can be seen from the chart at the moment we are stuck in a consolidation pattern. I expect this to break at some point overnight - probably down. However I do not trade overnight, I will evaluate at the start of the UK session.

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I hope you're right. :LOL:

(Got a short on AUD/USD which moves in the general direction of EUR/USD.)

BTW why not consolidate all your analysis into one journal/thread then it's easier to scan through them and bookmark...
 
Well overnight was relatively quiet.
Opened a short trade at 9am this morning at 1.2816, stop 1.2906, target in the realms of 1.2690 (+126) and then 1.2641 (+175)
 
I am short EUR/USD from yesterday.I am very bearish about that position.Think EUR will sink deeper.If it brakes today and previous day low it should be excellent trade for me...
Cheers,
VTK
 
I am short EUR/USD from yesterday.I am very bearish about that position.Think EUR will sink deeper.If it brakes today and previous day low it should be excellent trade for me...
Cheers,
VTK

Price action looks good for us at the moment.
Next target is yesterdays low, expect a pause when we get there but I don't expect a big bounce up at all.
We just need to be careful around 1:30pm though because of the USD news. We could get a spike up so maybe worth tightening stops or watching carefully.
 
Price has just touched 800, stop reduced in to 865 (just outside the lower triangle trend line) which has been playing out all day.
 
800 round number broken and news in 30 mins.
Price currently at 790. Moved stop to breakeven for risk free trade.
 
As predicted on my blog 774 has now broken. As long as we stay below this we are looking very good. So far +50 in profit, stop moved to 784 (+32)
 
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Re-entered speculative short at 821, tight stop 831
 

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Almost immediately moved stop to b/e.

823 has been a strong level for today, marked in purple on my chart.
I zoomed into the 1 min chart and price action showed the rally had eased at that point.
Took a speculative short, with a tight stop just in case the gamble was wrong.
 
Seems to be getting stronger, expect a push through pivot point at 885.
Long at 1.2878, stop at 1.2818, target 1.2920
 
Need to go away now so set limit at 898 for +20 pips, stop still -60 away.
Fingers crossed lol
 
TS order filled.+24 pips...not so bad,but when i know that i was @ + 169 than it is not so good.
As America is going to close soon and Asia session,IMO,will bring more consolidation for EUR/USD i will look for a possible re-entry in London session.I still think that EUR could sink more,so if 1.2736 level is going to be broken i will try to jump in on short train on a pullback.
All after all it was nice week for now.I am still +3,46% which gives me comfort regarding non realized profits of 169 pips..
All the best,
VTK
 
Hey VTK sounds like you're doing pretty well :)

Not had time to start a thread for today as was busy this AM however just bagged a nice 66 pips on the pop above 1.2600. See my blog for more analysis.
 
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