EUR/USD is in a broad consolidation, after bottoming at 1.2331 (Oct.28,2008). Technical indicators are neutral, and trading is situated above the 50- and 200-Day SMA, currently projected at 1.4037 and 1.3372.
As expected, the test of 1.4310-4330 resistance failed and the pair is in a downtrend for a break below 1.4096, en route to 1.3830 and 1.3746 major support zone. Intraday bias is negative with nearest resistance around 1.4164.
A minor consolidation unfolds above 1.6275, aiming at 1.6428 resistance. Although current intraday bias is positive for 1.6428, we will expect later today a downtrend to emerge, targeting 1.6215 dynamic support, en route to 1.5980. The trigger will be 1.6323 minor support.
The brief consolidation above 1.4045 is already complete and we are expecting a break below 1.4070 to trigger a massive sell-off towards 1.3830, en route to 1.3746. The pair is in extremely bearish condition on the 1h. chart, so a downtrend for 1.3830 seems inevitable.
With yesterday's reversal at 1.6372 the pair is in an uptrend towards 1.6663, en route to 1.6752. Nearest support comes at 1.6475 and the bias on the 1h. and 4h. charts is neutral.
A minor downtrend unfolds from last week's high at 1.4378 and the pair is currently testing 1.4267 support zone. We favor the idea, that a break below that level will aim directly at 1.4167, en route to 1.4006. Crucial on the upside is 1.4340.
Current bias remains negative for 1.6270 and 1.6030. Crucial on the upside is 1.6430, as if we see a break above that level it will signal, that the corrective phase above 1.6273 is not over yet.
Yesterday's test of 1.4350 resistance provoked a sharp sell-off to 1.4209 support zone. Current rebound is corrective in nature and we expect it to be limited below 1.4280 before next leg downwards, to 1.4123.
Last week's rebound above 1.6150 was limited below 1.6380 and the pair renewed its downtrend for 1.5980. Intraday resistance comes at 1.6230, and crucial is 1.6298.
We continue to believe, that current rebound above 1.6150 is corrective in nature, thus precedes next leg downwards, to 1.5980. Intraday bias is still positive and a break below 1.6254 is needed to confirm, that a top is in place. Important resistance on the 4 h. chart is 1.6430-50.
Yesterday's break below 1.4320 confirmed, that a minor top is in place at 1.4378 and a sharp sell-off followed, bottoming at 1.4176. Current rebound is corrective and we expect it to be limited below 1.4280 resistance zone, before next slide towards 1.4110. Intraday bias is positive with a risk limit below 1.4204.
Current rebound above 1.6111 is impulsive in nature and we rather prefer the idea, that a significant bottom is already in place. Intraday bias is positive for 1.6382 major resistance with a risk limit below 1.6235. We expect a break above 1.6382 to target directly 1.6663.
Yesterday's peak at 1.4348 completed the rise from 1.4177, so the pair is again in ranging mode in the 1.4310-4207 area. A break above 1.4348 will renew the overall uptrend for 1.4444, en route to 1.4650.
Yesterday's brief consolidation is already over and the pair renewed its uptrend for 1.4444, en route to 1.4560. Intraday support comes at 1.4363 and crucial is 1.4326.
As expected, the pair reversed above 92.+, but the rise is corrective in nature, so we will expect a break below 92.25 to target next support area around 90.35. Intraday bias is still positive, supported at 92.38, with a maximum target below 93.82 resistance.
Yesterday's corrective phase peaked at 92.60 and the pair broke below 92.04, reaching temporary low at 91.61. Current rebound is corrective in nature, preceding next slide towards 90.35. Crucial on the upside is 92.60.
We think, that a top might be in place, so expect a break below 1.4570 to signal, that a larger corrective phase is on the run, towards 1.4444 support.
Recent high at 1.6741 was confirmed to be the end of the rise from 1.6111, so currently a larger consolidation with a negative bias is underway, targeting 1.6430. Intraday resistance comes at 1.6602, followed by the crucial 1.6625.
We think, that from yesterday's low at 90.12 the third part of the consolidation is underway and it should challenge 91.63 before next leg downwards, to 88.64. Important resistance on the upside is 92.02, followed by the crucial 93.40.
