AdjustedFX

[tradedoctor]

Hi guys,

Just thought I would share our strategy seeing as I came across this page.
Basically our strategy is based on fundamentals, technical analysis and news releases. It uses dynamic stop losses based on price action and news releases and very rarely holds trades open over the weekend.

The system is backed by a combined 30+ years of trading experience for leading banks and investment firms such as J.P Morgan, Goldman Sachs and Barclays Investment Bank to name a few. Our strategy has been many years in the making and it has taken us 9 years to develop the trade triggers alone.

Note that the realized drawdown is 20% the higher figure was caused by a withdrawal of 3/4 of the balance due it being carried out while a few open trades were running.

Our results are fully verified and backed by a 3rd party service.

http://www.myfxbook.com/members/markdoc1/adjustedfx/1242988

Cheers,
AdjustedFX

 

[Forexmospherian]

Morning Trade Doctor

I was interested to read your comment and see what your strategy might be - and of course with you allowing members to see advanced statistics summary on trades you have taken its then possible to work out your method (s) etc

The good part is the fact that your strategy is based on FA / TA and news releases and is similar to ones used by large financial institutions etc - so they say - but remember they also nowadays use HFT and extreme scalping of very small movements - maybe because they found the previous 30 yrs of results were not as good as they would ideally like.

First big negative - you will not allow us to see your Open Trades - that is of course a "minefield" - especially if you are hedging or not using any stops. This could end up in a disaster - as its inefficient and very risky if your hedging is based on pairs that can be so called decoupled from their normal correlations etc.

Next major worry - your average losses are larger than your average wins - OK if you have a win ratios average of over say 65 - 80% etc - but your win ratio on long trades is only 29% - so all out of sync - showing maybe more of maybe a hedging strategy?

If you only had say 2 or 3 open trades still in the market and all in profit - or not in say 100's of pips of losses - then no problem - but I guess maybe that might not be the case. If it is then your scalping method is working well on the EU and the 78% increase in your account over 2 months is extremely good and positive - maybe shown by the 89% win ratio of your 200+ trades taken short

Noticed you had a major blip on the Gbp /Cad - but maybe your forte is really all with the EU and GU

Also noticed your leverage is very high at 500 - that's also a big worry if you were trading with larger multi lot size - 100 -200 is even a bit risky unless you are very experienced with your method and have enough safety nets to not have a 20 - 30% drawdown on your capital account.

Less than 500 trades is maybe not enough to get a really good picture of your strategy - will be interested to see after say a year and a few thousand trades.

I wish you well and look forward to seeing more updates etc over then next few months

GL and Good Trading

Regards


F

 

[tradedoctor]

Hi Forexmospherian,

Thank you for your message. Not many traders will in fact let people see this information you are after I have opened as much information as I can on myfxbook apart from one setting. The one you mention which is open trades. The reason for this is simple, it is so open trades can not be copied.

However clients are allowed access to this feature. F, I have had many years experience with major institutions back when the functions of a trading platform where extremely basic and every trader had to phone in to place an order and by the time it had been placed it might have not been the price they were after. So your "minefield" term is very naive and strong systems won't show open trades as mentioned why should we?

You are looking at the picture wrongly I am afraid and looking into something too much which is basically driving you too overthink and in trading that can turn into too much fear or too much greed which kills most traders, all you have to do is look at our overall winning percentage. As you can see there are many losses which are small on "buy" positions this is because we were testing the copier system out during that period all you have to do is see that most of the small losses are on long positions and not short positions. And our ratio is more than 60-80% at the moment, which we also expect to hit the mid 90's but don't take our word for it, watch this space.

We trade mainly, GBP/USD, EUR/USD and AUD/USD however will trade most pairs if we sense an opportunity although we do stay away from certain pairs including the swiss franc and others.

This is based on opinion, leverage can be interpreted in many ways however it suits our trading style better which is why we use it. The trading method is mixed which is based on intra day trading and a scalping method which during so we are in the market for a short period of time. When our secondary trade trigger goes off depending on our analysis we are in the market for longer and looking to scope 40-100+ pips. There is no hedging involved. And as mentioned stop losses are dynamic based on price action strategies and news releases at the time.

Again in reference to drawdown on our master account we are comfortable with a drawdown of 20%, generally speaking unless your starting balance is very large you will 9 times out of 10 have a drawdown of more than 15% if you are looking for a considerable gain. Drawdown is often over speculated unless it is going into 50%+ territory then its time to worry however it is merely a mindset and it is stop out and margin call levels that should be noted as every broker differs. For example, you have a trader over a 5 year period with drawdown of 30% and a trader with drawdown of 15%. Both have the same strategy but the second trader is stopped out because he wants to keep the drawdown to as low as he can and in theory not allowing the market to "breathe". Trader one allows more movement. In the end trader one has a 300% gain on the account while trader 2 has a 150% gain on the account after the period. But because the second trader was too fearful he did not receive the same gain, it is important to get the balance of greed and fear right and typically most traders are too much of one or another. So as you can see the drawdown in this case was merely a mindset and had no major affect on the trading. As the great Warren Buffet said "Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful."

Of course I value your opinion and it will be a long term strategy so feel free to continue following.

Thanks for your kind words and you too.

Kind regards,

TD.